Home
Search Forums
Keywords:
Search Titles Only
User Name:
Exact Match
Show Results As:
Advanced Options
Reply
 
Thread Tools Search this Thread
  #22577  
Old Feb 26, 2009 6:53am
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Piproo View Post
hey guys, I spot this g/u PB. But I think because we got resistence right above, so it's not a good setup right?

please comments, thank's

Looks tradable Pip. But remember this from James16:


THIS IS CRITICAL.

WE MUST LEARN TO:

1. notice a strong s/r area just beyond our pa if it exists.
2. know that if we trade into it we had better be prepared for a quick reversal that could give us a loss if we are not prepared.

if we know its there we have several choices.

1. get out when it gets there for a small profit.
2. take a small partial profit and move the remainder to BE.
3. stay in with your total position hoping for a break and move your stop to BE.
4. Dont enter until the level has been broken.


http://www.forexfactory.com/showpost...ostcount=15568

Jim
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #22577  
Old Feb 26, 2009 6:53am
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Piproo View Post
hey guys, I spot this g/u PB. But I think because we got resistence right above, so it's not a good setup right?

please comments, thank's

Looks tradable Pip. But remember this from James16:


THIS IS CRITICAL.

WE MUST LEARN TO:

1. notice a strong s/r area just beyond our pa if it exists.
2. know that if we trade into it we had better be prepared for a quick reversal that could give us a loss if we are not prepared.

if we know its there we have several choices.

1. get out when it gets there for a small profit.
2. take a small partial profit and move the remainder to BE.
3. stay in with your total position hoping for a break and move your stop to BE.
4. Dont enter until the level has been broken.


http://www.forexfactory.com/showpost...ostcount=15568

Jim
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #22601  
Old Feb 26, 2009 1:15pm
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by hijackxx View Post
Good post jim, very good thinking. Btw i spotted this BUOB as well on the 4hour, took it and I'm setting my SL and TP with the ratio 1:1 there. I've highlighted how I do it and I think this is going well. ohh while typing this post it shot up Comment please
1.4150 is a Daily and Weekly Support level.
1.4300 is a Daily PPZ level.

1.4305 entry. Next bar break that was hard and fast.
Clear 1st target (blue area)

(4.) was the option I took for 63 pips on the 1st half, stopped out at break even on the 2nd half.
Attached Images
 
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.

Last edited by jarroo, Feb 26, 2009 3:17pm Reason: 1.4150
Reply With Quote
  #22601  
Old Feb 26, 2009 1:15pm
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by hijackxx View Post
Good post jim, very good thinking. Btw i spotted this BUOB as well on the 4hour, took it and I'm setting my SL and TP with the ratio 1:1 there. I've highlighted how I do it and I think this is going well. ohh while typing this post it shot up Comment please
1.4150 is a Daily and Weekly Support level.
1.4300 is a Daily PPZ level.

1.4305 entry. Next bar break that was hard and fast.
Clear 1st target (blue area)

(4.) was the option I took for 63 pips on the 1st half, stopped out at break even on the 2nd half.
Attached Images
 
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.

Last edited by jarroo, Feb 26, 2009 3:17pm Reason: 1.4150
Reply With Quote
  #22629  
Old Feb 26, 2009 3:02pm
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by arcus View Post
Jarroo,

Is there any particular reason that you don't take the bearish PB (the one where your TP hitted). It bounce off Daily PPZ. Is it b/c of the it has small room to move before hitting another PPZ below it and small nose. It been days without setup on the daily, still waiting lol.
Not sure what your pointing out. Tough to see without a chart. Got one?
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #22632  
Old Feb 26, 2009 4:11pm
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by arcus View Post
Sorry about that. Here you go. I used your chart b/c can't post chart right now. It's the one that I marked with arrow. Thanks Jarroo.
I see now what you were looking at. The PPZ may be right, but it's a poor looking PB in shape and location. Notice the one I took was off the 1.4150 level which has been recent Lows on the Daily.
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #22638  
Old Feb 26, 2009 5:45pm
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by arcus View Post
Thanks Jarroo. The PB I mentioned was directly above 1.4300 level (PPZ and RD). Looking at hourly chart, price stalled at that level as expected.
An important point to remember is that if one is going to venture down in the 4 Hour/Hourly time frames your Price targets would obviously be looked for on those time frames (4 Hour/Hourly). But the key point is the Location and PPZs should be based on the Daily and Weekly time frames. imo.

Jim
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #22639  
Old Feb 26, 2009 5:48pm
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Rainmaker View Post
And if I may quote James16 or Jarroo, respectively:
RM
That was all James16 (the big guy).
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #22646  
Old Feb 26, 2009 7:11pm
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by arcus View Post
That clear things up. I thought, if one venture down in lower TF, the target would still based on higher PPZ. I mean everything based on higher PPZ. I still stick on the daily currently, no clear PA signal yet on the daily. Almost 2 weeks I think.

Do you play breakout like Mike? Cause I see we have consolidation on pairs like E/CHF and U/CHF. Based on my experience (only a year), we will usually have tremendous move like what happened in U/J. Sorry if I sound noob cause I totally separate my other method with J16 for the time being.
The Price Target can evenually be hit on the higher time frame, that's what the breakeven half of the position would be looking for.

Breakout trades; I'm not as thorough as Mike but if one catches my eye I'll take a second look. Breakout trades are still based on PA set-ups.

Jim
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #22647  
Old Feb 26, 2009 7:13pm
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Jigsaw View Post


If we talk about the J16 sniper rifle . .

Location (Where you plot PPZ, Fibs, round numbers) - Is where you load up your rifle, prepare and ready yourself and set your sights on where you want to shoot.

Price Action - Is pulling the trigger.


just my two cents
Nice analogy Jig. lol
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #22629  
Old Feb 26, 2009 3:02pm
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by arcus View Post
Jarroo,

Is there any particular reason that you don't take the bearish PB (the one where your TP hitted). It bounce off Daily PPZ. Is it b/c of the it has small room to move before hitting another PPZ below it and small nose. It been days without setup on the daily, still waiting lol.
Not sure what your pointing out. Tough to see without a chart. Got one?
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #22632  
Old Feb 26, 2009 4:11pm
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by arcus View Post
Sorry about that. Here you go. I used your chart b/c can't post chart right now. It's the one that I marked with arrow. Thanks Jarroo.
I see now what you were looking at. The PPZ may be right, but it's a poor looking PB in shape and location. Notice the one I took was off the 1.4150 level which has been recent Lows on the Daily.
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #22638  
Old Feb 26, 2009 5:45pm
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by arcus View Post
Thanks Jarroo. The PB I mentioned was directly above 1.4300 level (PPZ and RD). Looking at hourly chart, price stalled at that level as expected.
An important point to remember is that if one is going to venture down in the 4 Hour/Hourly time frames your Price targets would obviously be looked for on those time frames (4 Hour/Hourly). But the key point is the Location and PPZs should be based on the Daily and Weekly time frames. imo.

Jim
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #22639  
Old Feb 26, 2009 5:48pm
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Rainmaker View Post
And if I may quote James16 or Jarroo, respectively:
RM
That was all James16 (the big guy).
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #22646  
Old Feb 26, 2009 7:11pm
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by arcus View Post
That clear things up. I thought, if one venture down in lower TF, the target would still based on higher PPZ. I mean everything based on higher PPZ. I still stick on the daily currently, no clear PA signal yet on the daily. Almost 2 weeks I think.

Do you play breakout like Mike? Cause I see we have consolidation on pairs like E/CHF and U/CHF. Based on my experience (only a year), we will usually have tremendous move like what happened in U/J. Sorry if I sound noob cause I totally separate my other method with J16 for the time being.
The Price Target can evenually be hit on the higher time frame, that's what the breakeven half of the position would be looking for.

Breakout trades; I'm not as thorough as Mike but if one catches my eye I'll take a second look. Breakout trades are still based on PA set-ups.

Jim
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #22647  
Old Feb 26, 2009 7:13pm
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Jigsaw View Post


If we talk about the J16 sniper rifle . .

Location (Where you plot PPZ, Fibs, round numbers) - Is where you load up your rifle, prepare and ready yourself and set your sights on where you want to shoot.

Price Action - Is pulling the trigger.


just my two cents
Nice analogy Jig. lol
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #22670  
Old Feb 27, 2009 6:41am
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by aarangio View Post
Hi ya Jim,

Could you please correct me but I was thinking this trade was in way to much traffic so it should be left alone??

Adrian
Your thinking was correct. It was in traffic and I'm sure many left it alone wisely.

For me, it meet certain criteria before the break of my entry (higher time frame Location and S/R levels) and after the break of my entry (hard and fast next bar break)

Jim
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #22675  
Old Feb 27, 2009 7:19am
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by ghous View Post
Jarroo is such a catalyst to this learning process is'nt he??
Your doing pretty good yourself in that department ghous.
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #22670  
Old Feb 27, 2009 6:41am
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by aarangio View Post
Hi ya Jim,

Could you please correct me but I was thinking this trade was in way to much traffic so it should be left alone??

Adrian
Your thinking was correct. It was in traffic and I'm sure many left it alone wisely.

For me, it meet certain criteria before the break of my entry (higher time frame Location and S/R levels) and after the break of my entry (hard and fast next bar break)

Jim
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #22675  
Old Feb 27, 2009 7:19am
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by ghous View Post
Jarroo is such a catalyst to this learning process is'nt he??
Your doing pretty good yourself in that department ghous.
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #22699  
Old Feb 27, 2009 10:25am
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by raczekfx View Post
gj.
.
I thought it was one of these (purple lines) I just didn't know which one to wait for.
Attached Images
  
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #22700  
Old Feb 27, 2009 10:26am
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by raczekfx View Post
dj.
.
There's my answer.
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #22707  
Old Feb 27, 2009 10:48am
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

4 or 5 times is a charm razcek?
Attached Images
 
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #22699  
Old Feb 27, 2009 10:25am
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by raczekfx View Post
gj.
.
I thought it was one of these (purple lines) I just didn't know which one to wait for.
Attached Images
  
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #22700  
Old Feb 27, 2009 10:26am
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by raczekfx View Post
dj.
.
There's my answer.
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #22707  
Old Feb 27, 2009 10:48am
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

4 or 5 times is a charm razcek?
Attached Images
 
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #23036  
Old Mar 4, 2009 7:56pm
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by raczekfx View Post
fiber ran into daily p pivot.
swissy broke pin mentioned before.
stops at BE.

Jarro w.a.you?
.

Can't see my regular charts right now. Euro Weekly PB failed, not a good sign for longs. I see Euro testing 1.2400 and Swissy testing the 1.2000es. As always, I'll let PA be my guide. Just been able to peek at my charts lately. (or the thread)

I'm glad I played the Weekly Euro PB like J16 . . . I got 75 pips off that PB. I hope others didn't ride that draw to long . . . . . . I hate draw down.
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #23041  
Old Mar 4, 2009 9:10pm
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by raczekfx View Post
oh so you're playing on weekly....

..and I thought it was you, who made 1500% profit in February and cashed in $ 25k price....

http://learncurrencytrading.com/Micro/KOM/FebResults/KOM1st.pdf

Scalping forex can also be profitable...

. . . . . .
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #23052  
Old Mar 4, 2009 11:26pm
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by artov View Post
I traded that one too, had my TP @ 1.30 but it hit 1.2990, 10 pips too short and it stopped at low of weekly pb. So I was very unlucky with that one.
Never turn a winner into a loser. A classic Jim drum beat. Easy to say, tough to do. At least for me it was. Now it seems if I'm up 10 pips on a trade, I find myself moving my stop loss to breakeven. "Hoping" for a trade to get back-in-the-money has left many scars.
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #23055  
Old Mar 5, 2009 12:19am
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by bundyraider View Post
LOL. Yeah.....

"A little bit more, a little bit more!! Come on baby!!!! You can do it!!!"

"Ooooo.... Now it's gone negative. ....Can't book a loss.... I'll give it a little longer."

" DAMN!!!!..... Hit my stop loss!! If only I'd taken profit at the first barrier I'd be up."

"Where's the next trade?? ..This chart??... Nup... ...How about this one? ....Nup.... This pair?? ...hmmm.... there's an outside bar. That'll do.... "

"hmmmm..... If I go extra tight on the stop and go double or nothing I can make...

How did you get my exact wording. lolol

Also, it wasn't "Damn, it hit my stop loss" it was "I'll remove my stop loss" Ouch!
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #23041  
Old Mar 4, 2009 9:10pm
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by raczekfx View Post
oh so you're playing on weekly....

..and I thought it was you, who made 1500% profit in February and cashed in $ 25k price....

http://learncurrencytrading.com/Micro/KOM/FebResults/KOM1st.pdf

Scalping forex can also be profitable...

. . . . . .
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #23052  
Old Mar 4, 2009 11:26pm
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by artov View Post
I traded that one too, had my TP @ 1.30 but it hit 1.2990, 10 pips too short and it stopped at low of weekly pb. So I was very unlucky with that one.
Never turn a winner into a loser. A classic Jim drum beat. Easy to say, tough to do. At least for me it was. Now it seems if I'm up 10 pips on a trade, I find myself moving my stop loss to breakeven. "Hoping" for a trade to get back-in-the-money has left many scars.
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #23055  
Old Mar 5, 2009 12:19am
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by bundyraider View Post
LOL. Yeah.....

"A little bit more, a little bit more!! Come on baby!!!! You can do it!!!"

"Ooooo.... Now it's gone negative. ....Can't book a loss.... I'll give it a little longer."

" DAMN!!!!..... Hit my stop loss!! If only I'd taken profit at the first barrier I'd be up."

"Where's the next trade?? ..This chart??... Nup... ...How about this one? ....Nup.... This pair?? ...hmmm.... there's an outside bar. That'll do.... "

"hmmmm..... If I go extra tight on the stop and go double or nothing I can make...

How did you get my exact wording. lolol

Also, it wasn't "Damn, it hit my stop loss" it was "I'll remove my stop loss" Ouch!
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #23036  
Old Mar 4, 2009 7:56pm
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by raczekfx View Post
fiber ran into daily p pivot.
swissy broke pin mentioned before.
stops at BE.

Jarro w.a.you?
.

Can't see my regular charts right now. Euro Weekly PB failed, not a good sign for longs. I see Euro testing 1.2400 and Swissy testing the 1.2000es. As always, I'll let PA be my guide. Just been able to peek at my charts lately. (or the thread)

I'm glad I played the Weekly Euro PB like J16 . . . I got 75 pips off that PB. I hope others didn't ride that draw to long . . . . . . I hate draw down.
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #23094  
Old Mar 5, 2009 8:43am
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by dmc View Post
Anyone's thoughts on this? 4hr BEOB

Pros: swing high, triple top, divergence and off 140 round number

It is only one hour into the bar but I don't like that it looks like a pin is forming the other way. anyone think I set my TP too far away or are there some PPZ's i am not aware of?
I didn't take this one. But it looks like a very successful trade dmc for 30-40 pips.

I like your confluences. 139.00 looks like a better 1st target (round number, and past points of S/R). Also, a hard break at the trigger would also confirm the entry for me.

Is 30-40 pips to little amount? Are you expecting more then this?
Attached Images
 
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #23097  
Old Mar 5, 2009 8:56am
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by dmc View Post
I guess I just looked down a little too far I was looking at 138.85..some bar highs there. I think what I usually forget is that these are areas and not specific points. 30-40 pips is great don't get me wrong I have had much more success by setting my tp's then trying to let my trades run, guess I just sized this one up wrong.
I thought you sized it up great dmc. Your not off base, just need to fine tune a little more. Once you have some positive pips (like 30 pips), put some in the bank and let the other half run at break even. If you get stopped out at break even on the second half . . or the full position . . . so what. There will be a time where it will run to the moon.
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.

Last edited by jarroo, Mar 5, 2009 9:24am
Reply With Quote
  #23099  
Old Mar 5, 2009 9:20am
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by dmc View Post
Thanks jaroo, yea I usually put 2 orders in, but I woke up a little late for this one and wanted to get it in before it broke so I only put 1 order with full position size. As you said it broke extremely quickly.
The one thing about a good PA setup is the momentum of Price at the break. Think of momentum like your driving a boat on a lake and you want to make a complete and sudden stop. It just isn't going to happen in a boat. lol
PA setup, the good ones, then to act in this way. imo.

Well look at that (Gbp/Jpy) looks like it hit your 138.85. Good momentum on that setup dmc.
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #23041  
Old Mar 4, 2009 9:10pm
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by raczekfx View Post
oh so you're playing on weekly....

..and I thought it was you, who made 1500% profit in February and cashed in $ 25k price....

http://learncurrencytrading.com/Micro/KOM/FebResults/KOM1st.pdf

Scalping forex can also be profitable...

. . . . . .
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #23052  
Old Mar 4, 2009 11:26pm
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by artov View Post
I traded that one too, had my TP @ 1.30 but it hit 1.2990, 10 pips too short and it stopped at low of weekly pb. So I was very unlucky with that one.
Never turn a winner into a loser. A classic Jim drum beat. Easy to say, tough to do. At least for me it was. Now it seems if I'm up 10 pips on a trade, I find myself moving my stop loss to breakeven. "Hoping" for a trade to get back-in-the-money has left many scars.
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #23055  
Old Mar 5, 2009 12:19am
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by bundyraider View Post
LOL. Yeah.....

"A little bit more, a little bit more!! Come on baby!!!! You can do it!!!"

"Ooooo.... Now it's gone negative. ....Can't book a loss.... I'll give it a little longer."

" DAMN!!!!..... Hit my stop loss!! If only I'd taken profit at the first barrier I'd be up."

"Where's the next trade?? ..This chart??... Nup... ...How about this one? ....Nup.... This pair?? ...hmmm.... there's an outside bar. That'll do.... "

"hmmmm..... If I go extra tight on the stop and go double or nothing I can make...

How did you get my exact wording. lolol

Also, it wasn't "Damn, it hit my stop loss" it was "I'll remove my stop loss" Ouch!
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #23102  
Old Mar 5, 2009 9:45am
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by dmc View Post
Looks like it did ... Thanks for the compliment Jaroo, and your help, it is always appreciated.
The key to your setup , as always, was the location. Off of recent Daily and Weekly Highs. A must if your trading off the 4 hour time frame. ( along with Daily/Weekly PPZs, Fibs, etc)

Glad I could help.

Jim
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.

Last edited by jarroo, Mar 5, 2009 11:49am
Reply With Quote
  #23105  
Old Mar 5, 2009 10:09am
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by ikki View Post
Hey Jarro.
It's shaping a good pinbar in EUR/JPY + fibo 61.8+ S/R
any comments, and suggestions are welcome?
Didn't close as a PB.

If it did, I still would have been hesitant and passed. Would have liked it at a Daily/Weekly PPZ level and/or their Lows.
Attached Images
  
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #23110  
Old Mar 5, 2009 10:48am
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Turtle View Post
Good day Jarroo.

I have a question, is there a roadmap on how to figure out the Daily/Weekly PPZs???

Thanks in advance

HOLLA
Start on the weekly (and even the Monthly) and find where the flips occur. Then go to the Daily and fine tune them to the nearest round number, unless there are strong ones near the .50.
Attached Images
  
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #23112  
Old Mar 5, 2009 10:55am
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by jarroo View Post
Start on the weekly (and even the Monthly) and find where the flips occur. Then go to the Daily and fine tune them to the nearest round number, unless there are strong ones near the .50.
It's interesting what pops out when you go down to the 4 hour time frame at these levels.
Attached Images
 
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #23118  
Old Mar 5, 2009 11:21am
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by supremeChaos View Post
Jim,
should "base 10" (1.2520, 1.2540, 1.2570 etc.), "base 25" (1.2525, 1.2575 & the likes) prices be ignored altogether? Thanks
Remember these are "zones"/ "areas". The round number also act as psychological level to many traders.
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #23120  
Old Mar 5, 2009 11:29am
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by artov View Post
Would this be a (good) pinbar, I have doubts because the open and close are pretty far from each other.

I am new to J16 and am learning constantly so you can expect some more questions from me every once in a while.
I would also add further to what Mike had said artov, could you show your Daily PPZ levels and how they relate to the location of that PB.
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #23121  
Old Mar 5, 2009 11:34am
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by alter View Post
CADJPY PIN bar hit SL
I would ask the same question to you alter:

I would also add further to what Mike had said artov, could you show your Daily PPZ levels and how they relate to the location of that PB.
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #23123  
Old Mar 5, 2009 11:37am
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by artov View Post
Sure, there you go.

It's good to hear from the experienced guys here, thanks for your active support!
So there you go. Just as Mike pointed out. If that PB was at that Low level (1.2750) then we may have something.
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #23130  
Old Mar 5, 2009 12:30pm
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Chris P View Post
Hey Alter,

As Mike said,
Best,
Chris
Very good post Chris.
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #23152  
Old Mar 5, 2009 3:26pm
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by dmc View Post
Not looking to promising in breaking this one. Still a few hours left but, I doubt it will happen. I liked it off of that .5000 level and divergence. Ah well.
Hey dmc could you post a chart of that setup on the 4 hour Gbp/Jpy you had today? Good example of a 4 hour PA setup off of higher time frame Highs/PPZs. Sorry I can't post a chart right now.
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #23158  
Old Mar 5, 2009 4:12pm
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by dmc View Post
Here was the 4 hr setup today on the GBP/JPY BEOB. We had a triple top, with divergence, and close under the Big Round number. The triple top can be seen clearly on the daily chart as well. This are was a huge area of support. See attached.
Thanks d.

Very nice. Looks like its gaining some more pipage as we speak. There was a 70 pip draw down after the break but a very good setup indeed.

If you look at Price Action on the 4 hour chart at this level over the last few weeks there wasn't any clear PA setup to speak of. As James16, Mike and others have mentioned many times before waiting for the right one to come along takes time. Patience is the key. This may be the only PA setup on the 4 hour time frame this month for this pair. Well, maybe .
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #23094  
Old Mar 5, 2009 8:43am
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by dmc View Post
Anyone's thoughts on this? 4hr BEOB

Pros: swing high, triple top, divergence and off 140 round number

It is only one hour into the bar but I don't like that it looks like a pin is forming the other way. anyone think I set my TP too far away or are there some PPZ's i am not aware of?
I didn't take this one. But it looks like a very successful trade dmc for 30-40 pips.

I like your confluences. 139.00 looks like a better 1st target (round number, and past points of S/R). Also, a hard break at the trigger would also confirm the entry for me.

Is 30-40 pips to little amount? Are you expecting more then this?
Attached Images
 
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #23097  
Old Mar 5, 2009 8:56am
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by dmc View Post
I guess I just looked down a little too far I was looking at 138.85..some bar highs there. I think what I usually forget is that these are areas and not specific points. 30-40 pips is great don't get me wrong I have had much more success by setting my tp's then trying to let my trades run, guess I just sized this one up wrong.
I thought you sized it up great dmc. Your not off base, just need to fine tune a little more. Once you have some positive pips (like 30 pips), put some in the bank and let the other half run at break even. If you get stopped out at break even on the second half . . or the full position . . . so what. There will be a time where it will run to the moon.
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.

Last edited by jarroo, Mar 5, 2009 9:24am
Reply With Quote
  #23099  
Old Mar 5, 2009 9:20am
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by dmc View Post
Thanks jaroo, yea I usually put 2 orders in, but I woke up a little late for this one and wanted to get it in before it broke so I only put 1 order with full position size. As you said it broke extremely quickly.
The one thing about a good PA setup is the momentum of Price at the break. Think of momentum like your driving a boat on a lake and you want to make a complete and sudden stop. It just isn't going to happen in a boat. lol
PA setup, the good ones, then to act in this way. imo.

Well look at that (Gbp/Jpy) looks like it hit your 138.85. Good momentum on that setup dmc.
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #23102  
Old Mar 5, 2009 9:45am
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by dmc View Post
Looks like it did ... Thanks for the compliment Jaroo, and your help, it is always appreciated.
The key to your setup , as always, was the location. Off of recent Daily and Weekly Highs. A must if your trading off the 4 hour time frame. ( along with Daily/Weekly PPZs, Fibs, etc)

Glad I could help.

Jim
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.

Last edited by jarroo, Mar 5, 2009 11:49am
Reply With Quote
  #23105  
Old Mar 5, 2009 10:09am
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by ikki View Post
Hey Jarro.
It's shaping a good pinbar in EUR/JPY + fibo 61.8+ S/R
any comments, and suggestions are welcome?
Didn't close as a PB.

If it did, I still would have been hesitant and passed. Would have liked it at a Daily/Weekly PPZ level and/or their Lows.
Attached Images
  
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #23110  
Old Mar 5, 2009 10:48am
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Turtle View Post
Good day Jarroo.

I have a question, is there a roadmap on how to figure out the Daily/Weekly PPZs???

Thanks in advance

HOLLA
Start on the weekly (and even the Monthly) and find where the flips occur. Then go to the Daily and fine tune them to the nearest round number, unless there are strong ones near the .50.
Attached Images
  
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #23112  
Old Mar 5, 2009 10:55am
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by jarroo View Post
Start on the weekly (and even the Monthly) and find where the flips occur. Then go to the Daily and fine tune them to the nearest round number, unless there are strong ones near the .50.
It's interesting what pops out when you go down to the 4 hour time frame at these levels.
Attached Images
 
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #23118  
Old Mar 5, 2009 11:21am
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by supremeChaos View Post
Jim,
should "base 10" (1.2520, 1.2540, 1.2570 etc.), "base 25" (1.2525, 1.2575 & the likes) prices be ignored altogether? Thanks
Remember these are "zones"/ "areas". The round number also act as psychological level to many traders.
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #23120  
Old Mar 5, 2009 11:29am
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by artov View Post
Would this be a (good) pinbar, I have doubts because the open and close are pretty far from each other.

I am new to J16 and am learning constantly so you can expect some more questions from me every once in a while.
I would also add further to what Mike had said artov, could you show your Daily PPZ levels and how they relate to the location of that PB.
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #23121  
Old Mar 5, 2009 11:34am
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by alter View Post
CADJPY PIN bar hit SL
I would ask the same question to you alter:

I would also add further to what Mike had said artov, could you show your Daily PPZ levels and how they relate to the location of that PB.
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #23123  
Old Mar 5, 2009 11:37am
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by artov View Post
Sure, there you go.

It's good to hear from the experienced guys here, thanks for your active support!
So there you go. Just as Mike pointed out. If that PB was at that Low level (1.2750) then we may have something.
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #23130  
Old Mar 5, 2009 12:30pm
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Chris P View Post
Hey Alter,

As Mike said,
Best,
Chris
Very good post Chris.
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #23152  
Old Mar 5, 2009 3:26pm
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by dmc View Post
Not looking to promising in breaking this one. Still a few hours left but, I doubt it will happen. I liked it off of that .5000 level and divergence. Ah well.
Hey dmc could you post a chart of that setup on the 4 hour Gbp/Jpy you had today? Good example of a 4 hour PA setup off of higher time frame Highs/PPZs. Sorry I can't post a chart right now.
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #23158  
Old Mar 5, 2009 4:12pm
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by dmc View Post
Here was the 4 hr setup today on the GBP/JPY BEOB. We had a triple top, with divergence, and close under the Big Round number. The triple top can be seen clearly on the daily chart as well. This are was a huge area of support. See attached.
Thanks d.

Very nice. Looks like its gaining some more pipage as we speak. There was a 70 pip draw down after the break but a very good setup indeed.

If you look at Price Action on the 4 hour chart at this level over the last few weeks there wasn't any clear PA setup to speak of. As James16, Mike and others have mentioned many times before waiting for the right one to come along takes time. Patience is the key. This may be the only PA setup on the 4 hour time frame this month for this pair. Well, maybe .
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #23291  
Old Mar 7, 2009 11:06am
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by bakko85 View Post
Hi all,
can't see any very good setup on weekly charts in the crosses i'm monitoring. So here there are some ideas..everything it's explained in the chart.
Quote:
Originally Posted by ghous View Post
Hey Bud, nice work on the charts
Nice analysis guys.

No bias on direction, but bias on Location and PPZ levels which is good.
Let Price Action show us the way.

Jim
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #23291  
Old Mar 7, 2009 11:06am
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by bakko85 View Post
Hi all,
can't see any very good setup on weekly charts in the crosses i'm monitoring. So here there are some ideas..everything it's explained in the chart.
Quote:
Originally Posted by ghous View Post
Hey Bud, nice work on the charts
Nice analysis guys.

No bias on direction, but bias on Location and PPZ levels which is good.
Let Price Action show us the way.

Jim
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #23790  
Old Mar 15, 2009 10:44am
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Jduester View Post
This summary is in no way intended to replace reading the whole thread.

It’s simply a single post
Josh

Quote:
Originally Posted by Jduester View Post
I completed goal 1
Finally treating this like a Business,

Josh
WOW . . . . !!
I did the same thing with saving post to "favorites" but nothing like this.

Great job. You have added a very helpful post for all to benefit. I'm sure it took much of your time to but this together . . . well done.

Jim
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #23790  
Old Mar 15, 2009 10:44am
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Jduester View Post
This summary is in no way intended to replace reading the whole thread.

It’s simply a single post
Josh

Quote:
Originally Posted by Jduester View Post
I completed goal 1
Finally treating this like a Business,

Josh
WOW . . . . !!
I did the same thing with saving post to "favorites" but nothing like this.

Great job. You have added a very helpful post for all to benefit. I'm sure it took much of your time to but this together . . . well done.

Jim
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #23792  
Old Mar 15, 2009 11:14am
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Bemac View Post
I know this is a multiple posting but felt I had to do this...
I already posted this on the PF...

I reserve the right to change my mind on a whim. After all, I do Trade.

The Recent PA {over the last month or so if that's recent to you} has given me point to ponder.
Regardless of FA the USD has Gained accross the Board & I, thankfully, increased my cargo by playing in that direction.
NOW, after checking charts from TF's 15Min to 1 Month, it appears that is about to change.

You don't turn a MegaShip on a dime. It takes both Time & Distance.{Diplomats...
To All : Remember this post, a few months from now.

(add to favorites)
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #23798  
Old Mar 15, 2009 2:00pm
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by urchman View Post
A follower of james 16 thread was lost but back and better. i missed not posting here for long time. hope there's room for a prodigal fellow like me?...jaroo hope u still remember me....dibs trader
The prodigal son returns. Welcome back.

I do remember you urchman. Can wait to see some of your A+ PA setups.

G/J Daily PB may not have been A+, but in the A catagory in my book. Good for some solid pips.
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #23800  
Old Mar 15, 2009 2:09pm
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by james16 View Post
chart
"We're not trying to trade every day, we're trying to win every time we trade."

Another classic J16 line that hits home. Gotta love it.

Jim
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #23805  
Old Mar 15, 2009 2:36pm
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by ghous View Post
His voice and words specially the way he delivers them literally haunts me, all the way through my trading decisions!

This Guy's a magician "James16"
The same with Mike as well. They make the complex understandable in a very clear, simple way. I still learn so much from these guys very single day.

Especially when you go back in the thread and re-read some earlier material once you get a better understanding of putting it all together. There are many times when I would go back and read many of Mike's earlier posts and say "OOH . . that's what Mike meant." lol Cool stuff.


Jim
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #23792  
Old Mar 15, 2009 11:14am
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Bemac View Post
I know this is a multiple posting but felt I had to do this...
I already posted this on the PF...

I reserve the right to change my mind on a whim. After all, I do Trade.

The Recent PA {over the last month or so if that's recent to you} has given me point to ponder.
Regardless of FA the USD has Gained accross the Board & I, thankfully, increased my cargo by playing in that direction.
NOW, after checking charts from TF's 15Min to 1 Month, it appears that is about to change.

You don't turn a MegaShip on a dime. It takes both Time & Distance.{Diplomats...
To All : Remember this post, a few months from now.

(add to favorites)
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #23798  
Old Mar 15, 2009 2:00pm
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by urchman View Post
A follower of james 16 thread was lost but back and better. i missed not posting here for long time. hope there's room for a prodigal fellow like me?...jaroo hope u still remember me....dibs trader
The prodigal son returns. Welcome back.

I do remember you urchman. Can wait to see some of your A+ PA setups.

G/J Daily PB may not have been A+, but in the A catagory in my book. Good for some solid pips.
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #23800  
Old Mar 15, 2009 2:09pm
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by james16 View Post
chart
"We're not trying to trade every day, we're trying to win every time we trade."

Another classic J16 line that hits home. Gotta love it.

Jim
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #23805  
Old Mar 15, 2009 2:36pm
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by ghous View Post
His voice and words specially the way he delivers them literally haunts me, all the way through my trading decisions!

This Guy's a magician "James16"
The same with Mike as well. They make the complex understandable in a very clear, simple way. I still learn so much from these guys very single day.

Especially when you go back in the thread and re-read some earlier material once you get a better understanding of putting it all together. There are many times when I would go back and read many of Mike's earlier posts and say "OOH . . that's what Mike meant." lol Cool stuff.


Jim
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #23807  
Old Mar 15, 2009 2:51pm
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by bundyraider View Post
Ditto.

Jaroo combines bars all the time too.

I've probably taken just as many two-bar pins as single bar ones. ...On all time frames.

Comes back to what Mr Trend pointed out recently too, about releasing yourself from the pre-defined bar patterns we push here.

You do get good at putting the raw price movements into context. Lop-sided outside bars etc. lol

I trade a lot of inside bars that are actually two bar pins as well. ...They're the easy IBs to trade.
That I do.

Some are obvious like "railroad track/tweezers" are PBs on a next level time frame. (Chart)

Some are not so obvious. You look at a big move on the Daily, where the location/confluences are good but no definable bar confirmation. (darn it!) Then you look at the same time period and there's a 16 Hour PB in plan view.
Then you say, "That makes sense. "

Jim
Attached Images
  
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.

Last edited by jarroo, Mar 15, 2009 3:09pm
Reply With Quote
  #23810  
Old Mar 15, 2009 3:28pm
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by squeezy View Post
hey jarroo, nice charts
pls hw can i view 8hr,12hr etc charts .....
its not added by default
thnx
Sure, here you go.

http://www.forexfactory.com/showpost...ostcount=15191


http://www.forexfactory.com/showpost...ostcount=15193
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #23813  
Old Mar 15, 2009 3:56pm
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Luso View Post
Hi Jarroo,

You just answered to something i asked to Bundy about looking to more TF to make it easier to find PA around the locations we want them to happen.
ty
Bundy gave some interesting insight into raw price movements that I didn't consider before . . Price spanning its move at differant times of the day, etc. Got my wheels turning in my head for awhile.

But as he said, keeping it simple is the best way to go. Whenever I stray away from that, I get myself in trouble.
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.

Last edited by jarroo, Mar 15, 2009 7:31pm
Reply With Quote
  #23817  
Old Mar 15, 2009 5:46pm
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by ady27 View Post
I used to race cars in the past .
Never crossed my mind to go on a race without practice until every muscle in my body shouted for help.
Practice gave my the ability to test the envelope of the car and myself in different circuits and situations. Only when I dropped from a pre-specified time lap, in practice, I felt ready to go racing.
Used to look a the circuit, plan my "line" as we would call the driving path, to the fastest way around. Usually, sitting in the car during practice will revel if the plan suited the actual real driving surroundings....
Here's a nice one to keep you on the right path.

Usd/Cad: Weekly BEOB

Off Highs (location) and MACD divergence (confluence).

Don't forget the Guest Videos at the James16 site, they will help you greatly.
Attached Images
 
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #23818  
Old Mar 15, 2009 5:51pm
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by jarroo View Post
Here's a nice one to keep you on the right path.

Usd/Cad: Weekly BEOB

Off Highs (location) and MACD divergence (confluence).

Don't forget the Guest Videos at the James16 site, they will help you greatly.
I like this one also because it is clearly shown on many different broke's platforms.
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #23807  
Old Mar 15, 2009 2:51pm
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by bundyraider View Post
Ditto.

Jaroo combines bars all the time too.

I've probably taken just as many two-bar pins as single bar ones. ...On all time frames.

Comes back to what Mr Trend pointed out recently too, about releasing yourself from the pre-defined bar patterns we push here.

You do get good at putting the raw price movements into context. Lop-sided outside bars etc. lol

I trade a lot of inside bars that are actually two bar pins as well. ...They're the easy IBs to trade.
That I do.

Some are obvious like "railroad track/tweezers" are PBs on a next level time frame. (Chart)

Some are not so obvious. You look at a big move on the Daily, where the location/confluences are good but no definable bar confirmation. (darn it!) Then you look at the same time period and there's a 16 Hour PB in plan view.
Then you say, "That makes sense. "

Jim
Attached Images
  
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.

Last edited by jarroo, Mar 15, 2009 3:09pm
Reply With Quote
  #23810  
Old Mar 15, 2009 3:28pm
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by squeezy View Post
hey jarroo, nice charts
pls hw can i view 8hr,12hr etc charts .....
its not added by default
thnx
Sure, here you go.

http://www.forexfactory.com/showpost...ostcount=15191


http://www.forexfactory.com/showpost...ostcount=15193
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #23813  
Old Mar 15, 2009 3:56pm
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Luso View Post
Hi Jarroo,

You just answered to something i asked to Bundy about looking to more TF to make it easier to find PA around the locations we want them to happen.
ty
Bundy gave some interesting insight into raw price movements that I didn't consider before . . Price spanning its move at differant times of the day, etc. Got my wheels turning in my head for awhile.

But as he said, keeping it simple is the best way to go. Whenever I stray away from that, I get myself in trouble.
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.

Last edited by jarroo, Mar 15, 2009 7:31pm
Reply With Quote
  #23817  
Old Mar 15, 2009 5:46pm
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by ady27 View Post
I used to race cars in the past .
Never crossed my mind to go on a race without practice until every muscle in my body shouted for help.
Practice gave my the ability to test the envelope of the car and myself in different circuits and situations. Only when I dropped from a pre-specified time lap, in practice, I felt ready to go racing.
Used to look a the circuit, plan my "line" as we would call the driving path, to the fastest way around. Usually, sitting in the car during practice will revel if the plan suited the actual real driving surroundings....
Here's a nice one to keep you on the right path.

Usd/Cad: Weekly BEOB

Off Highs (location) and MACD divergence (confluence).

Don't forget the Guest Videos at the James16 site, they will help you greatly.
Attached Images
 
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #23818  
Old Mar 15, 2009 5:51pm
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by jarroo View Post
Here's a nice one to keep you on the right path.

Usd/Cad: Weekly BEOB

Off Highs (location) and MACD divergence (confluence).

Don't forget the Guest Videos at the James16 site, they will help you greatly.
I like this one also because it is clearly shown on many different broke's platforms.
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #23821  
Old Mar 15, 2009 6:19pm
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Jduester View Post
Jaroo,
Not sure where you were, but sure glad you're back! And glad you liked my summary post of the thread. There were several in that list from you. You do good work and are also a great teacher. Keep it up.

Josh
Work, family . . . Life.

What's that saying again . . "Man plans while God laughs." lol

Summary post was just great Josh. Everyone should make their own on the ones that standout to them, they have trouble on, their style and so on. Again great work. Glad to be back for a while.

Jim
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #23826  
Old Mar 15, 2009 10:21pm
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Darkstar View Post
What up kids? Nice to see lots of the ol' FF family still around.

Sorry to jack your thread...
Yo Dark Star, still only making 50 pips a week . . . . at a $1000 a pip. lol
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #23834  
Old Mar 16, 2009 4:06am
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by g_j_hook@yah View Post
regarding the cad weekly beob,theres a 4h beob also, better stop size for me n my mini acount(the break is the break of the weekly setup)
Nice approach gj.

Let's zoom in on the Weekly and see some barriers I would like to see Price break through as confirmation that its moving lower. Staying below the previous bar (candle) Low of the Weekly BEOB, breaking the Highs of 1.11.09 & 2.15.09 (1.2672) and breaking the BEOB itself.
Attached Images
 
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #23821  
Old Mar 15, 2009 6:19pm
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Jduester View Post
Jaroo,
Not sure where you were, but sure glad you're back! And glad you liked my summary post of the thread. There were several in that list from you. You do good work and are also a great teacher. Keep it up.

Josh
Work, family . . . Life.

What's that saying again . . "Man plans while God laughs." lol

Summary post was just great Josh. Everyone should make their own on the ones that standout to them, they have trouble on, their style and so on. Again great work. Glad to be back for a while.

Jim
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #23826  
Old Mar 15, 2009 10:21pm
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Darkstar View Post
What up kids? Nice to see lots of the ol' FF family still around.

Sorry to jack your thread...
Yo Dark Star, still only making 50 pips a week . . . . at a $1000 a pip. lol
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #23834  
Old Mar 16, 2009 4:06am
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by g_j_hook@yah View Post
regarding the cad weekly beob,theres a 4h beob also, better stop size for me n my mini acount(the break is the break of the weekly setup)
Nice approach gj.

Let's zoom in on the Weekly and see some barriers I would like to see Price break through as confirmation that its moving lower. Staying below the previous bar (candle) Low of the Weekly BEOB, breaking the Highs of 1.11.09 & 2.15.09 (1.2672) and breaking the BEOB itself.
Attached Images
 
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #23851  
Old Mar 16, 2009 11:44am
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by g_j_hook@yah View Post
thanx for your insight jarroo,price is trying it best to break that level.what kind of TF are you thinking off?? eg, a 4h close below the 126.70 area ,a daily close??
one problem i have in looking at longer TF charts is trying to put a time frame to my expectations. i have done most of my self-studying on the 1h and 15 min charts and find it a real struggle trying to change my mind set!?
Right now Price is dealing with the Daily PPZ level (1.2700ish). Bearish and/or Bullish PA is what we look for at these levels. The Weekly BEOB (blue box) sits right on this level. A break of the Weekly BEOB should show a good amount of down movement as it has done in the past.

A good confirmation for me is if Price breaks the BEOB hard and fast it should provide a good amount of pips.

The possibility of more up movement is also something to watch at this PPZ level. The trend is up and any Bullish PA could provide some good movement again depending on the break of a given bar confirmation.
Attached Images
 
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #23854  
Old Mar 16, 2009 11:50am
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by jarroo View Post
The possibility of more up movement is also something to watch at this PPZ level. The trend is up and any Bullish PA could provide some good movement again depending on the break of a given bar confirmation.
If this 4 hour BUOB formation holds, I may place a buy stop just above it and see how hard Price breaks it. It could work out just fine but may be short lived.
Attached Images
 
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #23862  
Old Mar 16, 2009 12:38pm
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Chris P View Post
Hi Jim,

I like this setup quite a bit for the confluence of factors: PPZ, trendline support, confirming PA. This is definitely a setup that I'll be moving my stop to BE fairly quickly though. Some traffic to get through right around 1.2750 to start with. This one will either be a B/E trade for me, or looking to TP right around 1.2800

Best,
Chris
Many times on BUOB/BEOB, Price will retrace to the previous Bar High/Low. I didn't place my order due to the traffic you mentioned. Looked too tight for me. It could very well work out nicely.

I agree, its a setup that we look for around the PPZ levels.
Attached Images
 
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #23851  
Old Mar 16, 2009 11:44am
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by g_j_hook@yah View Post
thanx for your insight jarroo,price is trying it best to break that level.what kind of TF are you thinking off?? eg, a 4h close below the 126.70 area ,a daily close??
one problem i have in looking at longer TF charts is trying to put a time frame to my expectations. i have done most of my self-studying on the 1h and 15 min charts and find it a real struggle trying to change my mind set!?
Right now Price is dealing with the Daily PPZ level (1.2700ish). Bearish and/or Bullish PA is what we look for at these levels. The Weekly BEOB (blue box) sits right on this level. A break of the Weekly BEOB should show a good amount of down movement as it has done in the past.

A good confirmation for me is if Price breaks the BEOB hard and fast it should provide a good amount of pips.

The possibility of more up movement is also something to watch at this PPZ level. The trend is up and any Bullish PA could provide some good movement again depending on the break of a given bar confirmation.
Attached Images
 
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #23854  
Old Mar 16, 2009 11:50am
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by jarroo View Post
The possibility of more up movement is also something to watch at this PPZ level. The trend is up and any Bullish PA could provide some good movement again depending on the break of a given bar confirmation.
If this 4 hour BUOB formation holds, I may place a buy stop just above it and see how hard Price breaks it. It could work out just fine but may be short lived.
Attached Images
 
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #23862  
Old Mar 16, 2009 12:38pm
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Chris P View Post
Hi Jim,

I like this setup quite a bit for the confluence of factors: PPZ, trendline support, confirming PA. This is definitely a setup that I'll be moving my stop to BE fairly quickly though. Some traffic to get through right around 1.2750 to start with. This one will either be a B/E trade for me, or looking to TP right around 1.2800

Best,
Chris
Many times on BUOB/BEOB, Price will retrace to the previous Bar High/Low. I didn't place my order due to the traffic you mentioned. Looked too tight for me. It could very well work out nicely.

I agree, its a setup that we look for around the PPZ levels.
Attached Images
 
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #23882  
Old Mar 16, 2009 4:15pm
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Anyone got a 4 hour G/J chart handle? Sorry I can't post charts right now.

Looks like an 8 hour PB (2bar 4hour PB) on the geppy. (according to my web chart.)
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #23884  
Old Mar 16, 2009 4:24pm
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by g_j_hook@yah View Post
one quick question for you more experienced guys out there ...
how many pips below/above the bar do you normally place your entry orders??
sorry if this has been covered many times before. i usually place them 5 -10 pips below on the 4h bars and 10-20 on higher TFs.(anything lower 2 pips) i will also wait for price to break any round numbers if they are sitting too close.How does this stand against the general concensus??
thanx
Its always good to have a buffer to help valid your entry and you stated a good standard pip amount. But I always go back to this because it has helped me so much.

James16:

THIS IS CRITICAL.

WE MUST LEARN TO:

1. notice a strong s/r area just beyond our pa if it exists.
2. know that if we trade into it we had better be prepared for a quick reversal that could give us a loss if we are not prepared.

if we know its there we have several choices.

1. get out when it gets there for a small profit.
2. take a small partial profit and move the remainder to BE.
3. stay in with your total position hoping for a break and move your stop to BE.
4. Dont enter until the level has been broken

http://www.forexfactory.com/showpost...ostcount=15568
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.

Last edited by jarroo, Mar 16, 2009 4:38pm
Reply With Quote
  #23886  
Old Mar 16, 2009 4:32pm
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by baz View Post
hi jaroo
i posted this earlier,i am not on my charts as well....about 2 hrs ago

baz
Thanks Baz. Looks good.
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #23888  
Old Mar 16, 2009 4:37pm
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by g_j_hook@yah View Post
will this do??
Thanks gj. Like to see that off the 141.50 level. Its got some room to move down. Not the best time of the day. Should be fun to watch and/or demo.
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #23890  
Old Mar 16, 2009 5:13pm
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by g_j_hook@yah View Post
Hey jarroo, one thing iv noticed lately is that the ranges over the asian sessions have been MUCH bigger than usual.
what do think about this 8h pin on gb/chf ?both seem to promise 1:1 targets at least??
thanx, jon
Looks like a nice PPZ levels at the 1.6550 level which Price may be heading towards again. A lot of traffic to the left and not at new or recent Highs. Not bad but could be alot better and that's what we are looking for, only the best.
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #23882  
Old Mar 16, 2009 4:15pm
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Anyone got a 4 hour G/J chart handle? Sorry I can't post charts right now.

Looks like an 8 hour PB (2bar 4hour PB) on the geppy. (according to my web chart.)
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #23884  
Old Mar 16, 2009 4:24pm
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by g_j_hook@yah View Post
one quick question for you more experienced guys out there ...
how many pips below/above the bar do you normally place your entry orders??
sorry if this has been covered many times before. i usually place them 5 -10 pips below on the 4h bars and 10-20 on higher TFs.(anything lower 2 pips) i will also wait for price to break any round numbers if they are sitting too close.How does this stand against the general concensus??
thanx
Its always good to have a buffer to help valid your entry and you stated a good standard pip amount. But I always go back to this because it has helped me so much.

James16:

THIS IS CRITICAL.

WE MUST LEARN TO:

1. notice a strong s/r area just beyond our pa if it exists.
2. know that if we trade into it we had better be prepared for a quick reversal that could give us a loss if we are not prepared.

if we know its there we have several choices.

1. get out when it gets there for a small profit.
2. take a small partial profit and move the remainder to BE.
3. stay in with your total position hoping for a break and move your stop to BE.
4. Dont enter until the level has been broken

http://www.forexfactory.com/showpost...ostcount=15568
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.

Last edited by jarroo, Mar 16, 2009 4:38pm
Reply With Quote
  #23886  
Old Mar 16, 2009 4:32pm
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by baz View Post
hi jaroo
i posted this earlier,i am not on my charts as well....about 2 hrs ago

baz
Thanks Baz. Looks good.
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #23888  
Old Mar 16, 2009 4:37pm
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by g_j_hook@yah View Post
will this do??
Thanks gj. Like to see that off the 141.50 level. Its got some room to move down. Not the best time of the day. Should be fun to watch and/or demo.
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #23890  
Old Mar 16, 2009 5:13pm
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by g_j_hook@yah View Post
Hey jarroo, one thing iv noticed lately is that the ranges over the asian sessions have been MUCH bigger than usual.
what do think about this 8h pin on gb/chf ?both seem to promise 1:1 targets at least??
thanx, jon
Looks like a nice PPZ levels at the 1.6550 level which Price may be heading towards again. A lot of traffic to the left and not at new or recent Highs. Not bad but could be alot better and that's what we are looking for, only the best.
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #23947  
Old Mar 17, 2009 9:00am
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by g_j_hook@yah View Post
hi guys, hoping someyone can help me,i cant get the alarms working on either of my mt4 platforms??! any suggestions??
thanx, jon
I like this alert GJ. Check it out.

Once you add to your chart, it will immediately say "support hit". Actually that is two horizontal lines at Price. Double click the lines to move them.

When you place your pointer over one line it will flag the name of that line. One will say "Resistence Alert with the 'Price amount'" and the other will say 'Support Alert with the 'Price amount'" Res. is placed on the top and Sup. is place on the bottom where ever you want.

You'll notice that this Alert will be on different time frames. When you go to different times frames it will reset itself. The Alert only goes off once when it is hit, so you will have to adjust the Alert then go to a different time frame to reset it.
Attached Files
File Type: mq4 alerts-ap-v3.mq4 (5.3 KB, 158 views)
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #23947  
Old Mar 17, 2009 9:00am
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by g_j_hook@yah View Post
hi guys, hoping someyone can help me,i cant get the alarms working on either of my mt4 platforms??! any suggestions??
thanx, jon
I like this alert GJ. Check it out.

Once you add to your chart, it will immediately say "support hit". Actually that is two horizontal lines at Price. Double click the lines to move them.

When you place your pointer over one line it will flag the name of that line. One will say "Resistence Alert with the 'Price amount'" and the other will say 'Support Alert with the 'Price amount'" Res. is placed on the top and Sup. is place on the bottom where ever you want.

You'll notice that this Alert will be on different time frames. When you go to different times frames it will reset itself. The Alert only goes off once when it is hit, so you will have to adjust the Alert then go to a different time frame to reset it.
Attached Files
File Type: mq4 alerts-ap-v3.mq4 (5.3 KB, 158 views)
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #23966  
Old Mar 17, 2009 6:00pm
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by james16 View Post
chart
So Jim, would you still be waiting for a break on the Weekly CAD BEOB with divergence or would you already be in it? May be look for Daily Bearish PA.

(Sorry I can't post a current chart, had to take this earlier one.)
Attached Images
 
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.

Last edited by jarroo, Mar 17, 2009 7:27pm
Reply With Quote
  #23966  
Old Mar 17, 2009 6:00pm
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by james16 View Post
chart
So Jim, would you still be waiting for a break on the Weekly CAD BEOB with divergence or would you already be in it? May be look for Daily Bearish PA.

(Sorry I can't post a current chart, had to take this earlier one.)
Attached Images
 
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.

Last edited by jarroo, Mar 17, 2009 7:27pm
Reply With Quote
  #23971  
Old Mar 17, 2009 8:19pm
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by jlmac27 View Post
Hello Jarro,
I have kept my eye on this setup,waiting for a break....Wondering what everyone else thought of it.The 1.25 seems to be a pretty strong ppz.Maybe get in and set SL to BE quickly huh?

Quote:
Originally Posted by jlmac27 View Post
The 1.21 looks a bit stronger than the 1.25.Maybe that is where we would head to?Any comments?
A nice hard break would be a cherry on the top on this one. Quick to break even is always a smart play in my book, because a true validation of a PA setup is that Price will break and run for a decent amount of pipage. imo.

Maybe to the next strongest level of S/R, like the 1.21.
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #23971  
Old Mar 17, 2009 8:19pm
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by jlmac27 View Post
Hello Jarro,
I have kept my eye on this setup,waiting for a break....Wondering what everyone else thought of it.The 1.25 seems to be a pretty strong ppz.Maybe get in and set SL to BE quickly huh?

Quote:
Originally Posted by jlmac27 View Post
The 1.21 looks a bit stronger than the 1.25.Maybe that is where we would head to?Any comments?
A nice hard break would be a cherry on the top on this one. Quick to break even is always a smart play in my book, because a true validation of a PA setup is that Price will break and run for a decent amount of pipage. imo.

Maybe to the next strongest level of S/R, like the 1.21.
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #24093  
Old Mar 18, 2009 4:19pm
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

PayDay on the Weekly BEOB Cad. I sure now we'll see a J16 chart.

(Sorry can't post a current chart now, I wish I could because it looks beautiful .)

http://www.forexfactory.com/showpost...ostcount=23817
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #24093  
Old Mar 18, 2009 4:19pm
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

PayDay on the Weekly BEOB Cad. I sure now we'll see a J16 chart.

(Sorry can't post a current chart now, I wish I could because it looks beautiful .)

http://www.forexfactory.com/showpost...ostcount=23817
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #24110  
Old Mar 18, 2009 5:00pm
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by dengzhi View Post
i thought we were waiting for a breakout on USDCAD.. which happened after the FOMC announcement.. however that is like trading during news..
or you already had your short in place and it hit after the news was rels? what price was that?
i was waiting to enter after a breakout..however that breakout occurred because of news.. and i dont trade news

Was there News today? I don't follow News unless its the first Friday of the month or interest rate announcement.

News is Price and Price is News.

If you must know . . .
I had the Low of the Weekly BEOB of 1.2624, since this is a weekly PA setup I want Price to break convincingly so my "buffer" is about 15 to 20 pips. That would put me at the 1.2600 level (Round Number) so my sell stop was placed at 1.2590.

If I were to play it more aggresively I would have entered at the previous Bar (candle) Low of the weekly BEOB (around 1.2700, interesting another Round Number ) after the 1.2624 break. Man, I wanted to . . . but chose to play it like I had $10,000 dollar on it, which I didn't. Just my 2%, which is much less.
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #24111  
Old Mar 18, 2009 5:03pm
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by g_j_hook@yah View Post
Just for you Jarroo,

Thanks gj. She sure is pretty.
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #24115  
Old Mar 18, 2009 5:32pm
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Verto View Post
The Daily DBHLC combined with the weekly BEOB had me convinced even before the news. Woke up to my limit order being hit.

Not sure on the DBHLC. You want the Highs within 1 or 2 pips , also the Low should be lower the the previous bar, preferably the entire bar. Glad it worked out.
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #24137  
Old Mar 18, 2009 7:21pm
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Verto View Post
Really? The highs are within 1 pip, 1.2766 - 1.2765, and the low is a lower close than the previous bar's close. Yeah.. it wasn't lower than the entire length of the preious bar but yeah it is more of an inside bar with DBH... Oh well.. it worked out, that is all that matters in the end.
Sorry, I was looking at a different pair of bars.
I think Location and Confluences were on our side on this one.
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.

Last edited by jarroo, Mar 18, 2009 7:50pm
Reply With Quote
  #24139  
Old Mar 18, 2009 7:34pm
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by ghous View Post
hey jarroo, you would have caught this beauty too,

You miss very few of them anyways...
I've missed to many lately. Great thing about it is that there's always another bus (or boat) coming down the PA street (or strait).

Funnymentals. lol
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #24148  
Old Mar 18, 2009 10:17pm
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by gorubin View Post
Hi I entered the USD/CAD short when it broke off the weekly BEOB this morning...Had to endure the immediate drawdown of up to -130 I think but now I closed most of it for a nice +145 pips, the rest moved to B/E and a more aggressive target...pheeww, that was a tough one.
On the break of a PA setup, I would use more of a buffer on the Weekly, 15 -20 pips; Daily, 10-15pips; 4 hour, 5 to 10. Taking a 1-2 pip break on the Weekly PA setup is not giving much room for confimation.
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #24137  
Old Mar 18, 2009 7:21pm
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Verto View Post
Really? The highs are within 1 pip, 1.2766 - 1.2765, and the low is a lower close than the previous bar's close. Yeah.. it wasn't lower than the entire length of the preious bar but yeah it is more of an inside bar with DBH... Oh well.. it worked out, that is all that matters in the end.
Sorry, I was looking at a different pair of bars.
I think Location and Confluences were on our side on this one.
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.

Last edited by jarroo, Mar 18, 2009 7:50pm
Reply With Quote
  #24139  
Old Mar 18, 2009 7:34pm
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by ghous View Post
hey jarroo, you would have caught this beauty too,

You miss very few of them anyways...
I've missed to many lately. Great thing about it is that there's always another bus (or boat) coming down the PA street (or strait).

Funnymentals. lol
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #24148  
Old Mar 18, 2009 10:17pm
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by gorubin View Post
Hi I entered the USD/CAD short when it broke off the weekly BEOB this morning...Had to endure the immediate drawdown of up to -130 I think but now I closed most of it for a nice +145 pips, the rest moved to B/E and a more aggressive target...pheeww, that was a tough one.
On the break of a PA setup, I would use more of a buffer on the Weekly, 15 -20 pips; Daily, 10-15pips; 4 hour, 5 to 10. Taking a 1-2 pip break on the Weekly PA setup is not giving much room for confimation.
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #24156  
Old Mar 19, 2009 12:08am
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by mattfx View Post
Any comments ?
I would like to give my take on these PA setups. I didn't take any of these setups.

First the Daily/Weekly PPZs which you have indicated. Heres' mine. (Chart 1)

This is how I would rate them.(Chart 2)

The A+ setup is at a swing Low, off a Daily/Weekly PPZ, with some nice space, size is good compared to previous bars and with a nice hard break at the break. This is what we look for.

The C- setup was off a D/W PPZ but no space (in traffic) and not at a swing Low. Nice hard break at the break. Price Action is a powerful thing at times and can produce some good moves even if it does not meet our (my) patiencely waited criteria. Although if I was to take this trade, how Price acted at the break would be my decision point. Meaning if it didn't break out as it did, I'm out.

The B- setup was off a D/W PPZ, very little space but considered in traffic to me. Not at a swing Low. But I do like the size, very large relative to the preceeding bars (candles).

Just my thoughts. Other comments most welcomed.

Jim
Attached Images
  
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #24158  
Old Mar 19, 2009 12:17am
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by dengzhi View Post
how does the BEOB on CHF/JPY look?
Are you talking about this one dendzhi?
Attached Images
 
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #24160  
Old Mar 19, 2009 12:57am
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by jarroo View Post
Are you talking about this one dendzhi?
Or maybe its the 4 hour BEOB. Blue box is the Weekly BEOB.

I believe that NuckingFuts may use at times the higher time PA bias and look for PA on a lower time frame (4 hour BEOB). In this case bearish.
Attached Images
 
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #24162  
Old Mar 19, 2009 1:11am
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by pipmyride View Post
All,
Any ideas on the gbp/chf i posted earlier (H4 & H1), its still hovering.

I'm planning to long above a break here.
Looks pretty good pmr. If Price breaks the 1.6337 hard and fast would be my confirmation. (orangered line is my D/W PPZs)
Attached Images
 
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #24166  
Old Mar 19, 2009 1:33am
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by krue View Post
Jarroo, you are very experienced trader, hope you not mind I jump in for a response. this pair seems very bullish, it rallied more than 61.8% fib retracement in your chart, and your resistance line of 85 seems still giving it space for climbing? simply for curiousity, would you take this as an A+ setup? thank you
I believe the Weekly BEOB is in the A catagory. At a recent high and a break would be below a strong PPZ level, 82.00.

The 4 BEOB broke pretty strong so I wll move my stop loss to break even and grab some pips when presented. This is how we roll.
Attached Images
  
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #24171  
Old Mar 19, 2009 1:50am
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by ghous View Post
I like price action action pertaining to the weekly BEOB

The 4H Pin bar may well have put an end to that retracment into the BEOB. Since it's off the 61.8 we know we're in business
Interesting when different platforms line up with PA.

Like the 83.20-25 as 1st TP, also yesterdays low and S/R level.
Attached Images
 
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #24172  
Old Mar 19, 2009 1:55am
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by supremeChaos View Post
jarroo,
thanks again for your colored & detailed charts. the colors are very soothing to the eys, if i may say.

let's say u missed this chfjpy 4H BEOB/weekly BEOB (like other jpy crosses now), how would u play it?
others can also answer this Q too..
Thanks
I trade each currency pair independently, on their own PA merit. Sure, if the Yen is on a run I will look at the crosses but only if quality PA is presented.
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #24177  
Old Mar 19, 2009 2:25am
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

First half for 43 pips 2nd half at break even.
Attached Images
 
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #24178  
Old Mar 19, 2009 2:41am
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Delfino View Post
Question about if this would be a valid J16 trade, just checking if I'm getting the hang of this.

At the inside bar, I would put a sell stop being its in a downtrend at the moment and it first broke there anyways. Being a little more conservative I decide to place take profit at the first previous support area I spot on the chart.

Would love any other comments on why not to take the trade or if others feel this would have been a good decision.
Inside bars are played as any other PA setup. They must have a great Location and a supporting cast of confluences i.e. PPZ levels, fibs, divergence, etc.

(Supporting cast of confluences . . stole that one form the big guy. lol)
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #24156  
Old Mar 19, 2009 12:08am
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by mattfx View Post
Any comments ?
I would like to give my take on these PA setups. I didn't take any of these setups.

First the Daily/Weekly PPZs which you have indicated. Heres' mine. (Chart 1)

This is how I would rate them.(Chart 2)

The A+ setup is at a swing Low, off a Daily/Weekly PPZ, with some nice space, size is good compared to previous bars and with a nice hard break at the break. This is what we look for.

The C- setup was off a D/W PPZ but no space (in traffic) and not at a swing Low. Nice hard break at the break. Price Action is a powerful thing at times and can produce some good moves even if it does not meet our (my) patiencely waited criteria. Although if I was to take this trade, how Price acted at the break would be my decision point. Meaning if it didn't break out as it did, I'm out.

The B- setup was off a D/W PPZ, very little space but considered in traffic to me. Not at a swing Low. But I do like the size, very large relative to the preceeding bars (candles).

Just my thoughts. Other comments most welcomed.

Jim
Attached Images
  
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #24158  
Old Mar 19, 2009 12:17am
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by dengzhi View Post
how does the BEOB on CHF/JPY look?
Are you talking about this one dendzhi?
Attached Images
 
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #24160  
Old Mar 19, 2009 12:57am
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by jarroo View Post
Are you talking about this one dendzhi?
Or maybe its the 4 hour BEOB. Blue box is the Weekly BEOB.

I believe that NuckingFuts may use at times the higher time PA bias and look for PA on a lower time frame (4 hour BEOB). In this case bearish.
Attached Images
 
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #24162  
Old Mar 19, 2009 1:11am
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by pipmyride View Post
All,
Any ideas on the gbp/chf i posted earlier (H4 & H1), its still hovering.

I'm planning to long above a break here.
Looks pretty good pmr. If Price breaks the 1.6337 hard and fast would be my confirmation. (orangered line is my D/W PPZs)
Attached Images
 
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #24166  
Old Mar 19, 2009 1:33am
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by krue View Post
Jarroo, you are very experienced trader, hope you not mind I jump in for a response. this pair seems very bullish, it rallied more than 61.8% fib retracement in your chart, and your resistance line of 85 seems still giving it space for climbing? simply for curiousity, would you take this as an A+ setup? thank you
I believe the Weekly BEOB is in the A catagory. At a recent high and a break would be below a strong PPZ level, 82.00.

The 4 BEOB broke pretty strong so I wll move my stop loss to break even and grab some pips when presented. This is how we roll.
Attached Images
  
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #24171  
Old Mar 19, 2009 1:50am
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by ghous View Post
I like price action action pertaining to the weekly BEOB

The 4H Pin bar may well have put an end to that retracment into the BEOB. Since it's off the 61.8 we know we're in business
Interesting when different platforms line up with PA.

Like the 83.20-25 as 1st TP, also yesterdays low and S/R level.
Attached Images
 
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #24172  
Old Mar 19, 2009 1:55am
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by supremeChaos View Post
jarroo,
thanks again for your colored & detailed charts. the colors are very soothing to the eys, if i may say.

let's say u missed this chfjpy 4H BEOB/weekly BEOB (like other jpy crosses now), how would u play it?
others can also answer this Q too..
Thanks
I trade each currency pair independently, on their own PA merit. Sure, if the Yen is on a run I will look at the crosses but only if quality PA is presented.
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #24177  
Old Mar 19, 2009 2:25am
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

First half for 43 pips 2nd half at break even.
Attached Images
 
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #24178  
Old Mar 19, 2009 2:41am
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Delfino View Post
Question about if this would be a valid J16 trade, just checking if I'm getting the hang of this.

At the inside bar, I would put a sell stop being its in a downtrend at the moment and it first broke there anyways. Being a little more conservative I decide to place take profit at the first previous support area I spot on the chart.

Would love any other comments on why not to take the trade or if others feel this would have been a good decision.
Inside bars are played as any other PA setup. They must have a great Location and a supporting cast of confluences i.e. PPZ levels, fibs, divergence, etc.

(Supporting cast of confluences . . stole that one form the big guy. lol)
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #24228  
Old Mar 19, 2009 12:39pm
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Its what we wait for.
Attached Images
 
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #24233  
Old Mar 19, 2009 12:58pm
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by unlv_tj View Post
I am so f***ing pi**ed off at myself. I pulled the order about 1 hour before the FMOC meeting, due to it not breaking strongly, and the worry that the meeting might get me into the trade and then eventually shake me back out.

I was waiting for this set-up for weeks (thanks to Clockwork's excellent thread), and then I chickened out.

I read a post a few pages back that said on the larger time frames, often P/A is already figured in based on the most likely outcome of the news, due to the big money guys having some ideas of where things will go...
I've been there tj, trusting a setup took time for me to develop as well.
Now, if I have pair of Bullets I'm all in . . . I mean . . . 2%. lol
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #24228  
Old Mar 19, 2009 12:39pm
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Its what we wait for.
Attached Images
 
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #24233  
Old Mar 19, 2009 12:58pm
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by unlv_tj View Post
I am so f***ing pi**ed off at myself. I pulled the order about 1 hour before the FMOC meeting, due to it not breaking strongly, and the worry that the meeting might get me into the trade and then eventually shake me back out.

I was waiting for this set-up for weeks (thanks to Clockwork's excellent thread), and then I chickened out.

I read a post a few pages back that said on the larger time frames, often P/A is already figured in based on the most likely outcome of the news, due to the big money guys having some ideas of where things will go...
I've been there tj, trusting a setup took time for me to develop as well.
Now, if I have pair of Bullets I'm all in . . . I mean . . . 2%. lol
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #24366  
Old Mar 20, 2009 7:04pm
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by james16 View Post
CHART
Aahh . . . come on Jim. I thought you would post the Cad Weekly BEOB with divergence.

I made over 300 pips on that trade and still in it with the 2nd half. A classic J16 trade in my book, especailly for those that are working off the Weekly/Daily.
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #24376  
Old Mar 20, 2009 11:17pm
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by james16 View Post
yeah i only hesitated on that one because it looks to a newbie like a neutral bar. its a strange bar actually at least on my ibfx feed. i will probably post it but im sure you guys already have.

jim
I see what you mean. It was a little better on FxPro.
Attached Images
  
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #24380  
Old Mar 20, 2009 11:51pm
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by arcus View Post
Your chart looks different Jarroo
James16 uses Bar charts, I wanted to see what Jim was seeing.
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #24390  
Old Mar 21, 2009 11:43am
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by jlmac27 View Post
Nice two day pin.confluence,But not much room to run.
I agree jlmac. The 97.50 level is also a Weekly PPZ. I may put a buy stop above the 2 day PB and see how strong it breaks (if it breaks). It may reach recent Highs (blue box).
Attached Images
 
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #24392  
Old Mar 21, 2009 12:04pm
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by ghous View Post
The lows should come before those Highs

I like the location nevertheless, i.e the 2 day pin is nicely off the 50 fib and the 93.5 ppz, the overall shape is A+ of course,

the bar lows as I mentioned earlier could be the single biggest worry IMO,

I may sit this one out.

Regards,
Ghous.
Hey ghous.

Yes I aggree, that's why I mentioned the placement of my buy stop and how Price breaks it. Meaning if Price dances slowly around thoses Lows and then break hard I'll manage it according, tight stop. It will not be a full positon trade.
Attached Images
 
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #24397  
Old Mar 21, 2009 1:18pm
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by ghous View Post
I have little doubt to how well you'll manage this trade.
They are pretty easy to manage when they act the way they're suppose to. lol

Take the Daily BUOB on the Gbp/Usd. Price breaks hard and may never look back. This action of how Price breaks the trigger should not be ignored when looking to confirm your setup.
Attached Images
  
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #24366  
Old Mar 20, 2009 7:04pm
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by james16 View Post
CHART
Aahh . . . come on Jim. I thought you would post the Cad Weekly BEOB with divergence.

I made over 300 pips on that trade and still in it with the 2nd half. A classic J16 trade in my book, especailly for those that are working off the Weekly/Daily.
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #24415  
Old Mar 22, 2009 12:26pm
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by mea View Post
Yes the installation is there, but it does not confert!
Didn't you go to "File" and click "Open Offline" . Pick your time frame and pair you convertered and Click "Open". Then just add your template.
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #24418  
Old Mar 22, 2009 12:30pm
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by mea View Post
yes I did follow step by step, no change
what time frame are you converting to?
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #24422  
Old Mar 22, 2009 12:45pm
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by MinceMeat View Post
Sorry Mea, don't know what to suggest.

I see Jarroo is online, perhaps he has come across this before. I'm afraid I can't be of much more assistance
You've been a great help MM.


Mea:
What pair are you converting and are you on the Daily time frame when you add the peridcon to the chart?
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #24424  
Old Mar 22, 2009 12:53pm
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by mea View Post
I try eurusd
and i am on the daily when i add pericon to the chart, yes

You open the peridcon and it looks like this then click "OK.
Attached Images
 
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #24427  
Old Mar 22, 2009 1:04pm
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by mea View Post
I did and it looked like you posted!

Now go the "File" and go to "Open Offline" click that and it should look like this. Scroll down to find "Eur/Usd, D2 click it and Open. then add your template.
Attached Thumbnails
Click image for larger version

Name:	euro1.gif
Views:	11428
Size:	27.1 KB
ID:	222059    
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #24430  
Old Mar 22, 2009 1:07pm
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by mea View Post
MM and Jarroo
I like to thank you both for the effort, just dont know what is wrong because it is so easy to follow. I will try it at an other demo perhaps it works there.
one never knows
Remember this is just a snap shot (a picture) of the converted time frame. It will not show Price moving.
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #24433  
Old Mar 22, 2009 1:10pm
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by mea View Post
Yes it should like look this, just i do not have the D2 in it..lol
I guess i understand everything, just nothing changed at all since i added the
periodcon
So you can see "Open Offline" pairs, but it does not show "Eur/USD, D2"?
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #24435  
Old Mar 22, 2009 1:17pm
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by mea View Post
Right I can see all the pairs with there time frames as usual but none of them like D2 or H8
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #24376  
Old Mar 20, 2009 11:17pm
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by james16 View Post
yeah i only hesitated on that one because it looks to a newbie like a neutral bar. its a strange bar actually at least on my ibfx feed. i will probably post it but im sure you guys already have.

jim
I see what you mean. It was a little better on FxPro.
Attached Images
  
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #24380  
Old Mar 20, 2009 11:51pm
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by arcus View Post
Your chart looks different Jarroo
James16 uses Bar charts, I wanted to see what Jim was seeing.
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #24390  
Old Mar 21, 2009 11:43am
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by jlmac27 View Post
Nice two day pin.confluence,But not much room to run.
I agree jlmac. The 97.50 level is also a Weekly PPZ. I may put a buy stop above the 2 day PB and see how strong it breaks (if it breaks). It may reach recent Highs (blue box).
Attached Images
 
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #24392  
Old Mar 21, 2009 12:04pm
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by ghous View Post
The lows should come before those Highs

I like the location nevertheless, i.e the 2 day pin is nicely off the 50 fib and the 93.5 ppz, the overall shape is A+ of course,

the bar lows as I mentioned earlier could be the single biggest worry IMO,

I may sit this one out.

Regards,
Ghous.
Hey ghous.

Yes I aggree, that's why I mentioned the placement of my buy stop and how Price breaks it. Meaning if Price dances slowly around thoses Lows and then break hard I'll manage it according, tight stop. It will not be a full positon trade.
Attached Images
 
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #24397  
Old Mar 21, 2009 1:18pm
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by ghous View Post
I have little doubt to how well you'll manage this trade.
They are pretty easy to manage when they act the way they're suppose to. lol

Take the Daily BUOB on the Gbp/Usd. Price breaks hard and may never look back. This action of how Price breaks the trigger should not be ignored when looking to confirm your setup.
Attached Images
  
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #24392  
Old Mar 21, 2009 12:04pm
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by ghous View Post
The lows should come before those Highs

I like the location nevertheless, i.e the 2 day pin is nicely off the 50 fib and the 93.5 ppz, the overall shape is A+ of course,

the bar lows as I mentioned earlier could be the single biggest worry IMO,

I may sit this one out.

Regards,
Ghous.
Hey ghous.

Yes I aggree, that's why I mentioned the placement of my buy stop and how Price breaks it. Meaning if Price dances slowly around thoses Lows and then break hard I'll manage it according, tight stop. It will not be a full positon trade.
Attached Images
 
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #24397  
Old Mar 21, 2009 1:18pm
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by ghous View Post
I have little doubt to how well you'll manage this trade.
They are pretty easy to manage when they act the way they're suppose to. lol

Take the Daily BUOB on the Gbp/Usd. Price breaks hard and may never look back. This action of how Price breaks the trigger should not be ignored when looking to confirm your setup.
Attached Images
  
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #24438  
Old Mar 22, 2009 1:21pm
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by mea View Post
Guess what
I tried it with IBFX and it works, can you believe this
does not work on my other DEMO

ty all for your help and patients you are great, now i need you to show me how i can make money with FX lol
Rainer


Well, you were persistent with that converter to get it right. Apply that same persistents to Price Action and you should be alright.
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #24440  
Old Mar 22, 2009 1:31pm
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by mea View Post
One more Q:
since the FX week has 5 days how does this apply to D2 when converted...
No, it doesn't apply. Its just shows Price chopped up in two days.

Start on post #1 (very important) read, study and enjoy.
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #24544  
Old Mar 23, 2009 4:04pm
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by urchman View Post
helllo jarroo im also looking forward to the 2nd half(hope she falls to my traps), though i only managed 140pips on the first run. And BTW i still want to thank jim for this GOD blessed thread, it's really a gem.. peace to you all.
How's that 2nd half treating you on the Weekly Cad BEOB, urchman?

Price Action Rules!!
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #24548  
Old Mar 23, 2009 5:02pm
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by raczekfx View Post
i'm no jarro, but if I was short ucad... I'd watch this pin closely, very closely ....
.
I'm no raczek, and I would agree. lol.

Your probably waiting for that PB to confirm your 1.2201 long entry.
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #24549  
Old Mar 23, 2009 5:06pm
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by supremeChaos View Post
jarroo's finally here... ghous has been looking for u. what do u say, ghous?
Ghous and I were looking at the 2 day PB on the Usd/Jpy. Nice hard break, caught 42 pips/ breakeven on that one. It will now probably go to the moon. lol
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #24553  
Old Mar 23, 2009 7:38pm
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by james16 View Post
this may sound crazy but i almost feel a sense of graitude to these bars and how they have changed my life over the years. it took the price flips to make them really work for me and i feel the same way about them.

it is very common for me to say out loud to my computer screen.

THANK YOU!!!

they rarely fail me if i "treat" them right.

i love it when i see that same graititude toward them from some of you.

they are "market condition" proof and that is why they work such a high percentage of the time if treated correctly.

the holy...
Its funny Jim, how you sense a graitutude towards these Bars as it has change your life over the years. I haven't really thanked the Bars. (yet) lol.

You see, when I see a hard and fast break of a well placed PB that takes place after patiently waiting for days, the THANK YOU is at the computer screen for sure. But its at a funny looking avatar with Merlin's head on it. Which is followed by,"The big guy (James16) is freaking awesome."

Thanks again for all that you and your team do.

Jim
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.

Last edited by jarroo, Mar 23, 2009 7:54pm
Reply With Quote
  #24557  
Old Mar 23, 2009 8:19pm
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by uBERpIP View Post
If I were combining the two bars marked by the yellow arrow to create a 2 day pin bar, should my entry be based on:
  • break of bar #1 (sky blue line)
  • break of bar #2 (red line)
I realize that this set up would not have far to go before running into resistance, especially compared with the stop loss necessary.

Just wondering about appropriate entry when combining bars.

Thanks in advance....and slow this thread down so I can keep up!
Break of the blue line. This is my exact setup that I took today. What caught my eye was the size of the 2 Day PB compared to the preceeding bars (candles). Entry above the setup to help confirmation, about 5-10 pips.

It this a A+ setup? No.

The location could have been a heck of alot better. Meaning at a deeper swing low. The resisitence you mentioned is correct, it needed more space to travel. I'm sure many would pass on this one. My approach was to have a tight stop loss and grab a decent amount and move to break even quickly.
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #24561  
Old Mar 23, 2009 8:55pm
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by mbqb11 View Post
my inspiration and the man for my thank yous

My THANK YOUs have been at the many versions of Mr. Fudd.

God knows where my trading would be without Mr. Mike. Let the ramblings begin. lol.

Your one of the best around, brother.

Jim
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #24581  
Old Mar 23, 2009 11:41pm
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by jarroo View Post
Ghous and I were looking at the 2 day PB on the Usd/Jpy. Nice hard break, caught 42 pips/ breakeven on that one. It will now probably go to the moon. lol
Its going for those Highs. I knew it. (darn it.)
Attached Images
 
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #24590  
Old Mar 24, 2009 12:02am
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by supremeChaos View Post
dang,
Sir J16 is live. jarroo's also live. I think i'm going crazy... Maybe due to lack of sleep

u missed the bus, huh? that seems to be rare.


wait, is that a 2-day chart?? Awesome Jim..
Actually is not that rare. At least I got a piece of her.(jpy)
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #24594  
Old Mar 24, 2009 12:16am
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by supremeChaos View Post
LOL. u ALWAYS get a piece.
most on the time.
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #24613  
Old Mar 24, 2009 4:16am
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by MPP View Post
mine closed as a 4h PB which has just been broken.
Nice jay. Grab those pips quick . .running into traffic which may turn into support.
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #24620  
Old Mar 24, 2009 4:48am
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by ghous View Post
Hey Bro,

What happened with your other half, I gues you took the first one off at 97,

You were anticipating Uj to hit those bar highs near 98 remember?

Nice trade BTW, wasn't A+ but if you know what you're doing it's always worth a bagful of pips,

Again it's for ppl with calibers near that of Jarroo

Regards,
Ghous.
Hey ghous, when I grabed the 42 pips, I move to break even on the 2nd half and it got me. I was think of moving my stop loss to -42 pips so if I did get stopped out it would have been a net zero trade, but I decided to banks some.
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #24624  
Old Mar 24, 2009 4:58am
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by alter View Post

Jim the trade was about 35 pips positive at the most. But the risk was 160pips.

alter
Damn you Risk/Reward.

What's the Risk/Reward of a break even trade with 35 pips in the money?
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #24629  
Old Mar 24, 2009 5:24am
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by james16 View Post
alter if i can get you or anyone else to step out of the box and just trust what im telling you AND....

demo on daily charts only until you have a minimum 3 months in a row positive then i can almost garuntee you can build an account when you go live.

i cant make any of you do it but i can tell you the vast majority that do follow that advice have an ahh ha moment during those months of demo.

it happens to almost everyone.

your taking the hard road thinking your taking the easy one.

its ok ive been there brother and i WILL...
Just great posts as always Jim.

I am one who had many 'Ahh Ha" moments in my 7 months of demoing. It was very tough for me. I always thought "what a great trade I did . . I wish it was live ". I would go live and it didn't go well, to say the least. Then it was back to demoing.

I always thought that a great PA setup would never present itself again. I thought I was missing out by not going LIVE. As time would tell, they would come back again, over and over again. The transition was easy.
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #24634  
Old Mar 24, 2009 5:48am
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by alter View Post
Hm , jaroo so what about USDJPY 2d PIN. It went 65 PIPs up where I see couple of bar lows. If you move your SL to BE you would be already out as the trade came back to your entry . How did you manage the trade?
alter
Sure alter.

As you know I only took 42 pips on the 1st half and break even on the 2nd half.

Chart 1- the PB presented on the 2 Day chart.

Chart 2 - the 4 hour chart to show how I got 42 pips and stopped out at break even on the 2nd half. My entry was 96.71. Price moved up about 63 pips, I didn't think 97.00 would hold because of the previous Lows so I grabbed 42 pips and moved to breakeven. Price came down and stopped me out.
Attached Images
  
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #24641  
Old Mar 24, 2009 6:09am
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by alter View Post
Nice trade. Just to make sure, your SL was on the others side of the PB {330pips}?
Sorry, I forgot my initial stop loss placement. I usually place my stop losses very tight, 30 to 40 pips depending on the pair. My confirmation on a valid PA setup, (besides Location, PPZs and other confluences) is how Price break the trigger.

It must break the entry hard and steady to give me validity to my setup. I've talked about this many times. If Price touches my entry and then starts moving against me pretty hard, I'm out. I'll give it a little time to prove itself, but not much. I believe a quality PA setup is a high momentum setup as well. Check the thread for A+ PA setup and see how the break performed. You'll be convinced as well.
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #24643  
Old Mar 24, 2009 6:17am
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by alter View Post
Nice trade. Just to make sure, your SL was on the others side of the PB {330pips}?
Check this 4 PB Usd/Jpy last week. Pretty good setup, Location PPZ, etc,.
What stands out to me is how it broke. Now that's hard and fast.

(a better look on the Hourly)
Attached Images
  
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.

Last edited by jarroo, Mar 24, 2009 5:57pm
Reply With Quote
  #24648  
Old Mar 24, 2009 6:38am
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by alter View Post
Hm, I had an order placed for this one but it didn't trigger on next 4 bars, how long do you wait?
On 1 hour chart isn't the PIN bar too small in compare to previous move{catching falling knife} ?
The best situation is the next bar break. But I'm finding that the initial break, no matter how many bars away, can prove fruitful. It depends on the time frame as well.
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #24650  
Old Mar 24, 2009 6:47am
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by alter View Post
I think this is similar setup on CHFJPY H8, PIN short. What do you think?
Its at a great location. I would see how it breaks the 87.00. Keep your stop loss tight. At such a great location, Daily PA would be a better setup to wait for.
Attached Thumbnails
Click image for larger version

Name:	cjj.gif
Views:	109
Size:	19.9 KB
ID:	222944    
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #24652  
Old Mar 24, 2009 6:52am
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Great posts today everyone. Gotta go. I wish there was more hours in a day.

Later,

Jim
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #24717  
Old Mar 24, 2009 7:04pm
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by benem View Post
Hallo Jaroo i have a question for you.....Do you enter with the two positions at the same time or you split the entries at different conditions?
i hope you understand my question.

Thank you.
Enter with two position at the same time. Buy stop, in this case.
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.

Last edited by jarroo, Mar 24, 2009 9:23pm
Reply With Quote
  #24720  
Old Mar 24, 2009 7:35pm
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by james16 View Post
im gonna talk about this post by jarroo again.

"A HIGH QUALITY PA SETUP IS A HIGH MOMENTUM SETUP AS WELL".

ive been trying to say that in an understandable manner for nearly 5 years and he just did it in one sentence.

the sheer fact of that statement is why so many people that have gone down this james16 chart thread road have found some success.

i cant force that into your brain.

YOU MUST LIVE AND EXPERIENCE IT ON YOUR OWN.

JIM
Thanks Jim.

This Price break confirmation has saved me many, many times.
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #24721  
Old Mar 24, 2009 7:58pm
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by BWise View Post
A 30-40 pip stop loss on Daily and 4HR charts? Isnt that a bit tight?

And you said above ' I'll give it a little time to prove itself'. How much is a little time in terms of pips?

I always value the insight of the senior members of this thread, yourself included.

Thanks
Yes it is very tight, especially on the Daily and Weekly. (Yes, I said Weekly).

Time to prove itself . . . this come with practise. But if Price doesn't break the trigger hard (robustly) pretty quick I won't wait for my stop loss to hit. I'll get out with a -7 pip loss if need be. Sure, there will and have been times where I'll get out with a -12 pip loss and it will run to the moon. And also the reverse has happen, where I'll get out and it will shoot through the ground.

Check out some of Jame16, Mike's and some others charts where an A+ trade took place. Most, if not all, gave up some good pips with zero draw down.

I've taken some pretty good "B" PA setups using this Price break confirmation as the lone qualifier. I haven't posted them for obvious reasons.

Jim
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.

Last edited by jarroo, Mar 24, 2009 8:11pm
Reply With Quote
  #24768  
Old Mar 25, 2009 9:17am
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Let's see how hard this BUOB on the 4 hour Euro breaks. (if it breaks)
Attached Images
 
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #24773  
Old Mar 25, 2009 10:01am
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by jarroo View Post
Let's see how hard this BUOB on the 4 hour Euro breaks. (if it breaks)
This is how I roll.
Attached Images
 
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #24775  
Old Mar 25, 2009 10:06am
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Ray_1 View Post
Hi jarroo,

I like to ask you is the BUOB on the H4 a good trade? It doesn't seem to be at a swing low and the last few candles are ranging. Pls advise.
Its at a swing low just not very deep. Is it an "A" trade? Probably not.

1st half 73 pips / 2nd half at break even.
Attached Images
 
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #24776  
Old Mar 25, 2009 10:12am
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by zimdonks View Post
jaroo, congrats on that trade! was your entry at 50% fib retracement, or top of BUOB bar?
1.3542 above the obvious S/R level or 4 hour PPZ (green boxes).
Attached Images
 
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #24777  
Old Mar 25, 2009 10:15am
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by jarroo View Post
Its at a swing low just not very deep. Is it an "A" trade? Probably not.

1st half 73 pips / 2nd half at break even.
2nd half stopped out.
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #24780  
Old Mar 25, 2009 10:38am
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by zimdonks View Post
great, thanks. im learning the theory but always good to see it live! appreciate it
Remember this from James16: (This is printed in bold font next to my computer.)

THIS IS CRITICAL.

WE MUST LEARN TO:

1. notice a strong s/r area just beyond our pa if it exists.
2. know that if we trade into it we had better be prepared for a quick reversal that could give us a loss if we are not prepared.

if we know its there we have several choices.

1. get out when it gets there for a small profit.
2. take a small partial profit and move the remainder to BE.
3. stay in with your total position hoping for a break and move your stop to BE.
4. Dont enter until the level has been broken.

http://www.forexfactory.com/showpost...ostcount=15568
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.

Last edited by jarroo, Mar 25, 2009 3:38pm
Reply With Quote
  #24785  
Old Mar 25, 2009 11:14am
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by seboileroom View Post
HI Guys;

I am short EU (don't ask), two mini lots, entries at 534 and 518. Now what!! Should i close with loss or wait? SL at 650.

Thanks for your advise;

Seb
Can you show a chart and why you entered ?
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #24792  
Old Mar 25, 2009 11:32am
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by seboileroom View Post
DBHLC, on Daily;
Joeb is correct about the DBHLC. I would get out with a loss and re-group.
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #24800  
Old Mar 25, 2009 12:17pm
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by mbqb11 View Post
Seb I mean this with the very best intentions, that you shouldn't be trading real money. You need to go back and follow James advice outlined in post 1, about demoing. If you enter a trade and then need to come to ask what to do with it, these are things that need to be dealt with on demo account. We ALL want to see you succeed here and have been through it. The best way to come out with a fighting chance is to listen to the big guy

Take care but and keep asking questions though

MIke
Thy best advise Seb.
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #24872  
Old Mar 25, 2009 8:06pm
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by rustyjeff View Post
Have to agree. I just read this from a bar in key west. no i havent been trading while i'm here. Too Risky.... but having this business alows me to be here..
I think I'll sail home friday.

Wow . . . .
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #24896  
Old Mar 25, 2009 11:52pm
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by joebryce View Post
Broke just like Jaroo likes to see. Let's see what happens tonight.
Beautiful.

This break confirmation puts the "plus" in an "A+" trade in my book.
Attached Thumbnails
Click image for larger version

Name:	euraud.gif
Views:	183
Size:	27.4 KB
ID:	223917    
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #24907  
Old Mar 26, 2009 12:35am
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by marcelnyo View Post
Man those ones always makes me drool, but I'm still forbiding myself to trade lower than dailies after profiting 6 months in a row with daily+weekly.

Touch?, friend.
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #24913  
Old Mar 26, 2009 1:02am
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by james16 View Post
this one chart and the first one from joe should keep all of you up tonight thinking about the day when

1. you only take the best set ups like these and...

2. your doing it with a very large account and the subsuquent money means you can tell your boss good bye and good luck.

jim
The day is coming. I'm ahead of my planned schedule.

The marathon continues . . .
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #24924  
Old Mar 26, 2009 2:22am
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by MPP View Post
Here's my EA 4h - no pin (different feed) but do these still have any meaning, on my chart, i'd be looking for price to settle below this point first and break out of this current pattern - not sure what it's called but it's some kind of flag/wedge on the daily.
If you have a different feed and no PA is there then we wait until there is.

Let me make another post . . in summary . . .
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #24926  
Old Mar 26, 2009 2:49am
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

I've gotten many PMs on a finding good PA setups. I would like to show a quick summary using joebryce's PB on the Eur/Aud. Now mind you, many people have their own way of defining their setups. They are all correct. (Jim's and Mike's setups should be studied and mimiced as much as possible.)

But they all follow the same premise of what Jim teaches at the most basic level. We have areas where Price flips from going up up up and then going down, down, down, (PPZs -Pivot Price Zones/ Price Pivot Zones). We wait for a Price Action formation at these levels to give us a hint where Price may be heading i.e. up, up, up, or down, down, down.

The higher the time frame the strong these PPZs becomes. Meaning a Weekly PPZ is stronger then a 4 hour PPZ.

Eur/Aud on the Weekly and Daily. What a mess. We bring clarity to this mess by putting lines at the PPZ levels nearest to Round Numbers. Now that looks a little clearer. (Charts)
Attached Images
  
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.

Last edited by jarroo, Mar 26, 2009 4:52am
Reply With Quote
  #24927  
Old Mar 26, 2009 3:04am
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by jarroo View Post
I've gotten many PMs on a finding good PA setup. I would like to show a quick summary using joebryce's PB on the Eur/Aud.
(I thought this was a quick summary) lol.

On the 4 hour time frame we see joe's PB at the 1.9500 level. This is a strong PPZ level on the Weekly/Daily charts. This bearish PB presents itself giving us a hint of where Price may be heading. Sure enough, Price break that PB hard and we have an area where Price is likely to reach as our 1st target.

This is a basic illustration. Please feel free to add other important aspects of this example. (Mike, Jim, Bundy, anyone, etc.)

Jim
Attached Images
 
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.

Last edited by jarroo, Mar 26, 2009 4:55am
Reply With Quote
  #24934  
Old Mar 26, 2009 5:17am
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by mbqb11 View Post
Nothing ever needed to add to your posts Jim
Thanks Mike. ( . . . said the student to the teacher.)


(I've been reading too many Bemac posts lately . . . the economy of words) lol
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #24959  
Old Mar 26, 2009 1:16pm
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Shermenator View Post
Rail road tracks in the daily chart...this is a pin bar in a 2 day chart....I am looking to position my self in the smaller timeframes trying to align the daily...

Pretty good break of the 2 Day PB Shermen. Good for 40 pips. I'd be at breakeven or a tight stop right now.

Good eye.

(close look on the Hourly)
Attached Images
  
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #24967  
Old Mar 26, 2009 3:07pm
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by arcus View Post
Nice Jarroo. I'm also in this trade and looking at hourly chart, price broke the previous support with great momentum, the way WE like it I had my TP around ~1.4350 area. This area is also will be the first retest of previous bar high - clearly can be seen in 4H (if we can make it to this area,hopefully and I'm at BE just in case). And confluence .5 and .382 Fib. Sorry no chart. Thanks guy for all the precious inputs.

Nice job. I like the 1.4400 area 1st. I can't post a chart right now, but maybe you can see why on the Daily.
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #24968  
Old Mar 26, 2009 3:09pm
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Shermenator View Post
I attempted to sell on the retracement before the sell off but was unable to get in at the price I wanted. I will now start adding to my short positions from smaller timeframes. As well as counter trade my short with differnt lot size and stops so by no means I am hedging...
Sounds pretty complicated. Maybe its just me. (Its probably is just me).

Nice trade Shermen.
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #24972  
Old Mar 26, 2009 3:33pm
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by james16 View Post
ok krue i talked to it and got you positive a bit.


whacha gonna do with it?
A teaching moment. I love it.
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #24975  
Old Mar 26, 2009 3:39pm
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by coscorp View Post
James..if I send a couple of PA's your way from time to time...will you give them a friendly talk on my behalf too?
You stole my line. before i could . . . .
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #24981  
Old Mar 26, 2009 7:20pm
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by kptMisiu View Post
Hey guys,

There was a lot of discussion last week regarding the weekly BeOB on USDCAD. I was planning to take the weekly trade. However, before this happened, a beautiful Pinbar on 1h showed up. So far I have not taken any 1h trades, but this one was an invitation to trade. I have cleared the 1h chart to show you how it looked like as it closed. It has reacted to minor flip zone and was in a good retracement (61.8 fibo and "space created"). I said to myself, when it can make it under the 1.29 round number and the highs to the left, I am willing...
NuckingFuts would be proud. (if he still trades that way)

Meaning when there is a Higher time frame, good quality PA set up (Weekly Cad BEOB), which has or has not broken yet, he will "fish" on a lower time frame for a PA setup that is inline with the Higher time frame bias (in your case, the "fish" you caught was the Hourly Bearish PB).

Sorry I can't post charts right now. And maybe NuckingFuts can add more to this if he is around.

Very nice indeed kptM.
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.

Last edited by jarroo, Mar 26, 2009 7:55pm
Reply With Quote
  #24986  
Old Mar 26, 2009 9:56pm
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by krue View Post
I believe in this pair has the energy to reach its historical high, and nothing more than that if I am not wrong.
It's energy will come from the break, (if it breaks). The higher quality PA set up, the more energy it will possess. Is this an "A" PA setup? No.

Does it have potential? Yes. Price Action is a power thing when the criteria is met. Should be fun to watch how it breaks.

Jim
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.

Last edited by jarroo, Mar 26, 2009 10:24pm
Reply With Quote
  #24989  
Old Mar 26, 2009 10:24pm
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by jlmac27 View Post
The break is a big part on how you manage your trade.How much empasis do you put on this Jarro?
Good question. It's all important. The Location, PPZ levels, other confluences like Fibs, higher time PA (if any), Round Numbers, etc.

The break let's me know everything stated above is valid or not. It confirms that the setup is correct. And it may be correct but only for a brief time. If that makes sense to you.
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #25059  
Old Mar 27, 2009 1:16pm
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by krue View Post
I am getting into this trouble now...... all the earned pips evaporating

Quote:
Originally Posted by krue View Post
what I will be doing is to keep this trade open and tight, first . . .
Well at least you got out at break even . . . . right?
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.

Last edited by jarroo, Mar 27, 2009 7:00pm
Reply With Quote
  #25066  
Old Mar 27, 2009 2:56pm
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by raczekfx View Post
This is exactly why most of successful traders following j16 method, ignore the news (I meant analysis) written by 'analysts'...

If they were good traders, they wouldn't have to earn a living by writing stories. When they wrong, they twist a story around and come out with a new analysis, correction theory or another b.s.
Once I realized that only 3-5% of folks make it in this business, I questioned myself, why even bother reading. Most of them are wrong anyways.....
Don't get me wrong. Reading news is fun, but use it only for entertainment...
Quote:
This is exactly why Jim stresses trading on a higher TF until you get good....

If you look at the ship from up close (1 min charts), you don't know where it's heading. When you jump on a plane and look from a distance (daily tf) you know exactly where it's heading or if perhaps it's turning)
Great post razcek.
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #25068  
Old Mar 27, 2009 4:21pm
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by layton View Post
Here is what my 4hr chart looks like, but the 1W chart shows a possible bearish pinbar forming on .7000

I'm assuming the W1 has more weight?
Your assumption is correct. The higher up you go in time frame, the more weight or strength a given PA becomes. Not only with PA but PPZs, Fibs, trendlines, triangles, etc. Why? Because the higher time frames provide more data then the lower time frames. More data is more information.

Now here's the fun part. They both, the Aud 4 Hour PB and Weekly PB depending on the quality of each setup, could be successful PA setups.
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #25069  
Old Mar 27, 2009 4:43pm
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by advfntrader View Post
anyone looking at trading the weekly pin on EUR/JPY ?
I can't see my regular charts right now. But from what I see on the Weekly Eur/Jpy PB is . . . . it looks juicy, very juicy.
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #25070  
Old Mar 27, 2009 4:46pm
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Could some post a Daily Eur/Jpy. Is that a DBHLC on the Daily or close to one?
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #25075  
Old Mar 27, 2009 4:56pm
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Greenhaze View Post
I would only add that traders have much more time to notice those levels and plan a trade on higher tfs like weekly/daily then m15 for example. The weekly is not closed yet and the pb still could workout but would you take H4 pinbar just before the market close?
No, I would not take any trade just before the market closes on Friday. I usually wouldn't take any trade on Friday to hold over the weekend. If I'm in a trade with a few hundred pips under my belt, I'll hold over the weekend. I'm looking at these trades for next week.
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.

Last edited by jarroo, Mar 27, 2009 5:07pm
Reply With Quote
  #25077  
Old Mar 27, 2009 5:03pm
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Thanks guys.

4-5 pips difference, not bad.
Very nice. Looks like its off a Monthly PPZ level.

Looking good. Any thing else you guys see?
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #25078  
Old Mar 27, 2009 5:14pm
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by hadleyma View Post
Isn't there a weekly GBP/JPY pinbar as well indicating a possible down movement? I also notice on the hourly, a DBLHC indicating a possible trend upwards? Thoughts?
Yes indeed on the Weekly Gbp/Jpy. Also at a weekly PPZ level. Hourly DBLHC doesn't look to strong. Few pip difference on PA formation on higher time frames is one thing, but on lower time frames they need to be exact.
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #25080  
Old Mar 27, 2009 5:31pm
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Also remember that if we enter a Weekly Price Acton setup and it becomes successful, meaning we bank some pips on the 1st half of our position and the 2nd half is now at break even, we want to manage our trade off the Weekly and/or Daily time frames.

If we see a reversing PB on the Hourly or 4 hour charts, this doesn't mean we end our trade. (for me at least.) It also doesn't mean that these lower time frame PBs won't work out. They may work out just fine but their life may be short lived. I can show this better with charts but I can't post them now.
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #25084  
Old Mar 27, 2009 5:46pm
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Santana55 View Post
A profitable daily pin bar in soybeans with confluence at 61 fibo targeting the 900 level.
Yeah, I saw that Santana. Very nice. Did you notice why it had trouble breaking?
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #25096  
Old Mar 27, 2009 7:15pm
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Santana55 View Post
Jaroo,

The bar following the PB closed above support and this put the brakes on for a day or so. Once it broke under that PPZ the move was confirmed and beans followed corn and wheat down.
Member since March 2009? Is that a misprint. You sound like an old veteran.
Very nice Santana.
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #25099  
Old Mar 27, 2009 7:24pm
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Scot Pippin' View Post
Jarroo look no further than my bonehead mistake last week. USDCAD, I let a small 4hr pinbar scare me out of a weekly trade. It cost me well over 200 pips. I had it in my mind to reenter a sell but I froze up.

Learn from my mistakes guys cuz I make plenty lol.
I'm right with you Scot P.
I wrote that from my own many, many bonehead mistakes . . . let's call them missteps. lol

Its one thing if your trade started on the 4 hour time, but the Weekly is a whole different ball game.

Always learning and improving.

Jim
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #25102  
Old Mar 27, 2009 7:53pm
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by krue View Post
hey, jarroo, I am taking better position to understand where issues might come from. looking into weekly chart, you may realise why this pair moves in a difficult situation. I could be wrong, but, I believe in there is high probability this could happen at this location. thank a lot for your attention, buddy.
I just thought that when you said that you were going to "keep this trade open and tight" that you might have grabed some pips or got to break even which is a good trade also. And leave the stressful trading for someone else.
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #25105  
Old Mar 27, 2009 8:02pm
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by clockwork71 View Post
I have come to understand recently that it really only takes one good trade a month. Not that I only take one trade a month, just that it seems there is always one trade that "shows up" to give me a majority of my gains.

Typical month these days.....5-7 trades.

1 monster winner. 2 losses. 2 smaller wins. But the one monster trade always seems to be good for a few percent of gains.....I like trading this way, it's less stressful. It truly is about waiting.....
Absolutely Chris.
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #25107  
Old Mar 27, 2009 8:10pm
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Santana55 View Post
Thx Jaroo. Just wish the "old" part in veteran would put the brakes on too

I've traded futures on and off since '97 (was a local at the CBOT for a few years). Just started getting into Forex as I was always suspicious of the market makers involved.

Not a misprint though, I've just recently joined this forum although have been following it for a while. The J16 thread motivated me to post a bit I guess.

S/R is how I've always traded starting with the point & figure charts I used on the floor. I am really very glad to see these...
I knew it. I read people for a living, even on paper. lol

This thread is great place to be. James16 (Jim) is the Real Deal, along with many others who share, teach and learn here.

I hope you stay awhile and throw out some nuggets every now and then.

Great to have you here.

Jim
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #25109  
Old Mar 27, 2009 8:29pm
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by krue View Post
Actually, jarroo, I am not good at trading for the moment, from any aspect to say. when I be in a trade, feel stressful, when having no position, still stressful. don't know when I could walk out of this typle of weird condition.anyhow, I think I will get that level of status you were just describing. thank you again for the advise.
Hang in there buddy. One step at a time. Start demoing because guess where most of your losses come from when you start trading? In the beginning.

So why not get all thoses losses out of the way in the beginning with demo pips.
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #25114  
Old Mar 27, 2009 9:48pm
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Jellybean View Post
Hi

Forgive me for asking, but where can I find the video? (I'm not that experienced with these forums.) I've looked around and can't find where it would be.

I'm also not sure what people mean by guest area, public forum and private forum.

I read every post in this thread everyday and take to heart the pearls of wisdom in it. I really want to be sure that I can draw good ppzs before I go much further and I'm hoping Jim's video will help.

Any guidance appreciated.

Cheers
Jellybean
Try this: http://www.james16group.us/ go to "Guests", "I agree", then to "Guest Material".
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.

Last edited by jarroo, Mar 27, 2009 10:02pm
Reply With Quote
  #25116  
Old Mar 27, 2009 10:07pm
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Jellybean View Post
Thanks jarroo

It all becomes clear now - another bookmark in my browser
Cheers

Jellybean
I suggest you view them 10 times or more, but not in one day.
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #25122  
Old Mar 28, 2009 12:01am
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Bemac View Post
Hey "J" one i think you may have missed.

http://www.forexfactory.com/showpost...postcount=7297

Just as a continuation of what you do here.

Thanks friend. your tenacity is not missed.


http://www.forexfactory.com/showpost...postcount=7312
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #25124  
Old Mar 28, 2009 12:17am
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by marcelnyo View Post
It's a 6 pips difference in my feed Jim, I won't call that a DBLHC, but then again, I'm still a newbie here compared to you :P
I will give some leeway to the strictness of Price Action formations on higher time frames like the Daily/Weekly. But I agree with you on the lower time frames.

I just blame it on demo chart data feeds. lol
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.

Last edited by jarroo, Mar 28, 2009 12:46am
Reply With Quote
  #25126  
Old Mar 28, 2009 1:01am
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by marcelnyo View Post
Hi all,

Now in my experience with this material (only 3 months or so), I usually chicken out and take everything out of the trade after it reaches the first danger area.

Those setups reached a place when prices decided to bounce back to a drawdown, and then finally breaks to our favor.

My tendency of exiting with profit is about disliking seeing drawdowns on my trades, well it won't be anything important if the pip value were peanuts, but as jim always said from time to time, it's all about pip value, if I went from an...
Yours is a very good habit to maintain. lol To say the least.

As you gain more experience in the way Jim teaches Price Action and where Price is likely to go i.e. danger areas. You will find that your feelings of "chickening out" is really "simple, reasonable logic".
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.

Last edited by jarroo, Mar 28, 2009 1:30am
Reply With Quote
  #25151  
Old Mar 28, 2009 1:13pm
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by bakko85 View Post
Hi all,
I can see some interesting setup, especially on yen crosses: they're attached in the charts below. What do you think? In this case, do you prefer taking only the BEST setup (weekly pin on ej, with no doubt) or do you watch also to other trades (maybe with smaller positions..)?

IMHO, ej is an A setup, but also the nzdjpy seems to be a nice setup, which can bring us some pips..Any comments?
Nice work bakko.
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #25167  
Old Mar 28, 2009 4:45pm
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by pharmaraider View Post
8 years without direction, trying everything under the sun.

8 months as PF member of J16 (under another name)

Jim, thanks for the Bodhi

I really mean it, Thank You.
Bodhi - "an awakening".

Now I get it.
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.

Last edited by jarroo, Mar 28, 2009 7:25pm
Reply With Quote
  #25170  
Old Mar 28, 2009 5:29pm
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by pharmaraider View Post
Yes, Bodhi means; awakening, enlightment, awareness, understanding. I've been waiting 8 months to make my first post here on this FF thread. Waiting until I felt I had acheived my A HA moment. I'm a member of the PF but not a frequent poster in either. Rather, I am a learner, one who studies.

So what was the genesis of my first post? Well, after spending 6 months studying the material in the PF, I resumed live trading. For the past 2 months, my small account is up 13%. I have taken 4 trades, 3 winners, 1 breakeven. I'm a little more aggresive...
That's about how it hits you. It's that one trade or series of trades that you say to yourself "I believe I'm getting this . . and wow, it's easy too."

Thanks for sharing that, pharma.
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #25208  
Old Mar 29, 2009 6:51pm
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by bundyraider View Post
Yeah, they both give you the same information. I have to semi-disagree with you on bars been clearer.

It's obvious it depends on the individual. Look at Jaroo.

I use candle charts myself to see different things clearer occasionally.
Personal taste. Neither is better.
Actually I was thinking of changing to the Forest charts.
Attached Images
 
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #25209  
Old Mar 29, 2009 6:51pm
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by jarroo View Post
Actually I was thinking of changing to the Forest charts.

Just kidding.
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #25212  
Old Mar 29, 2009 7:05pm
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by bundyraider View Post
Why complicate things. Kagi. Fo' sho' Bro'
Its actually spelling "Pin Bar". I love it.
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #25227  
Old Mar 29, 2009 9:43pm
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by james16 View Post
its a 12 gauge pattern after i actually tried to trade it one time.

I caught the one Jim, loud and clear. Not everything goes over my head. Well, most of the time. lol
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #25237  
Old Mar 29, 2009 10:42pm
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Good stuff there Mike, Bundy and Joeb.

I thought I'd post this Weekly Eur/Jpy PB.


If Price tends to consolidate the majority of the time, we maybe staying in the 131.00 and 113.00 range. Green lines are some targets I'm looking at if we get a nice hard break of the PB.
Attached Images
 
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.

Last edited by jarroo, Mar 29, 2009 11:15pm
Reply With Quote
  #25239  
Old Mar 29, 2009 10:58pm
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by joebryce View Post
I guess what I am seeing is that it would be much easier, less stressful and less time consuming to trade Jim's way where he seems to take profits quicker than I. If my risk was larger it would be worth exiting a first resistance. With my small trade I just have a hard time taking small profits so I end up with a lot of BE and a few big winners.
Joeb I know what you mean. I like the way Jim trades and I have adopted that approach even though my account is not as big. (well not yet. )

Mike, on the other hand, understands a great (not a good), a great quality A+ trade is and the power behind it. ( and so does Jim). He knows that the bottom of that PB is not going to be reach any time soon or ever and manages his trade accordingly.

I have many positive trades on the 1st half and break even on the 2nd half. Very few losses. But then again some of these trades Mike wouldn't take a 2nd look at and rightfully so.

The thing I'm doing more is respecting an A+ trade when they ocurr and not moving so quickly to break even on the 2nd half. The key being, its on the 2nd half.
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #25240  
Old Mar 29, 2009 11:06pm
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by joebryce View Post
Nice Jarroo.

I could not help but nibble on this a little.
Wow. Nice nibble.
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #25245  
Old Mar 29, 2009 11:25pm
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by frankm7 View Post
I keep reading "break of the pb" and I'm not sure I completely understand what this means. Is it when the 3rd bar simple breaks the close of the pb, or is it when the 3rd bar breaks and closes above/below the close of the pb?

Thanks!
When it breaks the Low of the PB. In this case the 129.38
Attached Images
 
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #25247  
Old Mar 29, 2009 11:28pm
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by bundyraider View Post
Sorry Joe. I actually didn't read your post very well. lol

I've mentioned this before, but I take a different strategy based on what I see as the likely hood of various targets being reached. A really really good "Cherry Mike" trade ( ) I will hold the WHOLE position through draw down with confidence. But the majority of trades I trade the Jim-Jim(Jaroo) way.
(heh heh ...Jim-Jim(Jaroo) )

....Jim- Jimmeny - Jim - Jimmeny - Jim - Jim - Jaroooooo, A Chiminey sweeps the life... and that's what I dooooo...

...Side tracked. lol

Ennny way......

Good grief. lol have another pint on me bundy.
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #25252  
Old Mar 29, 2009 11:39pm
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by frankm7 View Post
Ohh I see, and this is regardless of whether the session has closed or not? If it breaks during the session, the pb is "valid" and can be traded?
If you mean the Asia, London, New York session then, yes. I solid PA setup knows no time in my book.
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.

Last edited by jarroo, Mar 29, 2009 11:54pm
Reply With Quote
  #25258  
Old Mar 30, 2009 12:23am
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

pretty easy stuff . . . right guys
Attached Images
  
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #25261  
Old Mar 30, 2009 12:26am
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Blackinc View Post
I'm waiting for another "Thats how we roll" posts from jarroo re EUR/JPY

First spot 128.50/60.

Sorry can't post chart.

I like hearing it from others . . but your right . . .that's how we roll
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #25263  
Old Mar 30, 2009 12:27am
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by jarroo View Post
I like hearing from others . . but your right . . .that's how we roll
This isn't the only pair . .Aud, G/J . .
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #25264  
Old Mar 30, 2009 12:29am
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Flem26 View Post
euro yen has triggered wooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooo!
Nice hard strong steady break . . . confirmation that the setup is correct.
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #25275  
Old Mar 30, 2009 1:05am
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by ghous View Post
....can't post enough of these, I am sick of laughing .

Love your jocular posts Bundy, Keep up bro. Sorry there Jarroo it was your shoulder he triggered the gun shot from this time
That got me cracking up too ghous. That bundy's a great guy.
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #25278  
Old Mar 30, 2009 1:11am
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by ghous View Post
He doesn't give more time to the public thread.
Check out all his posts (if you haven't already) plenty of Gems in there to keep you busy.
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #25282  
Old Mar 30, 2009 1:18am
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by joebryce View Post
Nice Jarroo.

I could not help but nibble on this a little.
Funny how a little nibble can be so filling.
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #25284  
Old Mar 30, 2009 1:25am
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by ghous View Post
It's the best part I like abt you Jim,

That delicate articulation you're mostly successful with between the B+ and the B trade.

You're an inspiration yourself dude
The break confirmation has helped me with that.

I am being pickier on the trades I take. It something I am always working on.

Recent post from Jim, Mike and Clockwork (Chris) have shown that the less frequent, high quality trades rule out the day. Time and time again.
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #25286  
Old Mar 30, 2009 1:28am
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by joebryce View Post


took some off now I may sleep
Good for you Joe. Nicely done.
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #25293  
Old Mar 30, 2009 1:59am
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by ghous View Post
Chart.

How many pips did that BEOB give up before it retraced ? Also the traffic to the left would had made me grab them pips quick.

Worst case is that I would have had 30 to 40 pip loss.
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #25295  
Old Mar 30, 2009 2:14am
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by BWise View Post
Heres my situation. Maybe the more experienced traders here can ring in with their advice.

I took the break of the Weekly EUR/JPY PB.

At this point in my trading my account size only allows me to trade 1 lot @ $1/pip.

Do you recommend I take profit at the first problem area and look to re-enter if i get another price action setup? Essentially trading from problem area to problem area. Or do you think I should wait out the storms, since the trade was taken based on a weekly PA setup?
This is just me. Yes, I would recommend you take profit (be it 1st half or full) at the first problem area. Why? These areas are S/R levels (PPZs) mostly or High/Lows. This is where Price is uncertain, undecided. NO ONE knows where Price will go. Especaily at these areas.

Waiting out the strom is what I let the 2nd half of my position weather through with no stress because my s/l is at break even.
Attached Images
 
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #25296  
Old Mar 30, 2009 2:17am
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by ghous View Post
less than 30, i.e not enough to move the stop to BE. a loss was IMO imminent for anyone with a preset stop above that ppz.

Regards,
Ghous.
Less then 30 pips, like 25 or 20? Then my result would have been a break even trade. That is enough for me to move to break even . .easily.
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #25298  
Old Mar 30, 2009 2:23am
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by jarroo View Post
This is just me. Yes, I would recommend you take profit (be it 1st half or full) at the first problem area. Why? These areas are S/R levels (PPZs) mostly or High/Lows. This is where Price is uncertain, undecided. NO ONE knows where Price will go. Especaily at these areas.

Waiting out the strom is what I let the 2nd half of my position weather through with no stress because my s/l is at break even.
1st half out at 127.82 for 146 pips / 2nd half at break even.
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #25300  
Old Mar 30, 2009 2:46am
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

A better look at why I took my 1st half at 127.82. Now it could down to 113.00 and I hope so because my 2nd half will ride that pony all the way down.

I'm sure there is still a lot more pips to give up on this trade because of the strong momentum. But I'm not willing to let to many pips get away from me at such an obvious "problem area".
Attached Thumbnails
Click image for larger version

Name:	ejdd.gif
Views:	87
Size:	21.6 KB
ID:	225659    
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #25302  
Old Mar 30, 2009 2:54am
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by supremeChaos View Post
jarroo,
113? that's a BIG piece.
as always, u are getting a piece of it.
lol. That's not a prediction, just an example.

It would be nice.
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #25305  
Old Mar 30, 2009 3:02am
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by ghous View Post
Chf/Jpy,

The blue ppz should now act as resistance
Very nice ghous. Many setups this morning with some strong breaks.
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #25306  
Old Mar 30, 2009 3:03am
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by ghous View Post
Before you guys head for 113 make sure you respect the 126 and the 120 - 122 regions. lol!
You got it buddy. lol
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #25308  
Old Mar 30, 2009 3:22am
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Gotta go gang. Great trades today.

I'm sure we made James16 (Jim) proud today.

Later,

Jim
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #25384  
Old Mar 30, 2009 4:03pm
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

How are we doing today everyone?

Price Action Rules!!
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #25385  
Old Mar 30, 2009 4:05pm
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by james16 View Post
i see a thread i started many years ago doing what i started it for... helping people.

i see a group of great friends and decent people that give of themselves.
God knows how I would be trading today if this wasn't so. I try not to think about it.
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #25389  
Old Mar 30, 2009 4:16pm
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by james16 View Post

Great chart as always Jim
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #25445  
Old Mar 30, 2009 8:31pm
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by mbqb11 View Post
Man I don't even know where I was going with all that but when my rambles come out I can't stop em

Mike
Thank God for those ramblings. You were due for one, its been awhile. lol

You nailed me on so many different levels of my trading it's almost scary.

Great ramble . . . . I mean post . . . Mike.

(new traders and old . . click on the avatar of mbqb11(Mike) and read every post from this guy . . . they will answer every question you have on trading the J16 way. )
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.

Last edited by jarroo, Mar 30, 2009 8:42pm
Reply With Quote
  #25452  
Old Mar 30, 2009 8:56pm
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by scott087 View Post
Anyone else planning on taking the daily pin on GBP/USD? It looks like it's about to break with good momentum.

edit: charts added
Looks interesting scott. Not in this one. Should be fun to watch. Let's see how hard she breaks. (if it breaks).
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #25456  
Old Mar 30, 2009 9:05pm
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by scott087 View Post
My long order just triggered at 1.4302. I'm going to move my stop to BE around 1.4350 and TP1 is at 1.4400
I would have had that trigger a little bigger scott. Say 8-12 pips above the PB. Let Price prove that the set up is correct and that there is momentum behind it.
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #25463  
Old Mar 30, 2009 11:38pm
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Yes, I would consider that a hard break.
Attached Images
  
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #25465  
Old Mar 30, 2009 11:48pm
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by scott087 View Post
Thats the break I was looking for. Price hit 1.4335 and I moved my stops up to breakeven. I may take some profit at 1.4350 and then 1.4400. Free trades are what it's all about

I'm quick to move my stops up because I'd rather get out at breakeven and then see it run in my favor than not moving my stops up and taking a loss.
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #25583  
Old Mar 31, 2009 3:29pm
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by james16 View Post
when its all said and done its those 40 pip profits on a daily chart instead of losses that will seperate the boys from the men with this material.

nice,

jim
KissFan and I believe scott087 may have realized this.

For me, it was truly one of many J16 "Ah HA" moments. Even though the setup looked like it could produce more pips.

I like taking these moments, re-living them and never look back.

__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #25587  
Old Mar 31, 2009 4:01pm
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by james16 View Post
exactly.

if you always only take the best set ups the best set ups are always going to give you a profit.


jim
That's one thing I'm always working on Jim. Knowing the difference between the "best" setups and the "good" setups. It does get easier.
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #25602  
Old Mar 31, 2009 5:16pm
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by raczekfx View Post
nice....
this is what happens when you daydreaming....

.. a few sec too late
I would consider that a hard and fast break.
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #25626  
Old Mar 31, 2009 7:16pm
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by KissFan View Post
That GU trade was just a great example of what Jim said many posts ago. "it ain't such a bad thing to get stopped out at break even". He's right of course, but a skull as thick as mine needs to lose some money from bad trade management to get the drift of that philosophy. I still however, need to be more selective of my trades. Another key to success in this business. I feel certain that a "# of trades open at one time" record has been broken by me back in late 2007 early 2008. While...
I understand your internal fight all to well. But I would rather light a candle then curse your darkness. Once you get some 500-1000+ pip trades from a overly patiently waited PB or Outside Bar off the Daily and/or Weekly, it starts to sink in.

Your on the right path KissFan. Keep the good fight going, you will win over time.

Jim
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #25628  
Old Mar 31, 2009 7:34pm
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by marcelnyo View Post
Another fun to watch setup, it's very tempting to trade, but I would hold my guns just yet, quite risky due to the 0.7000 round number.

What do you guys think?
This James16 post automatically appears in my head when I see a potential PA setup developing. Yours marcelnyo is no exception:

James16:

THIS IS CRITICAL.

WE MUST LEARN TO:

1. notice a strong s/r area just beyond our pa if it exists.
2. know that if we trade into it we had better be prepared for a quick reversal that could give us a loss if we are not prepared.

if we know its there, we have several choices.

1. get out when it gets there for a small profit.
2. take a small partial profit and move the remainder to BE.
3. stay in with your total position hoping for a break and move your stop to BE.
4. Dont enter until the level has been broken.

http://www.forexfactory.com/showpost...ostcount=15568
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #25631  
Old Mar 31, 2009 8:24pm
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Gerard212 View Post
Hi All

Just entered USD/JPY short on 4 hr with rational being PPZ at 99 ( my entry )

and hammer bar with SL at 99.44 / > prev hi. Cant win them all !!!!!!!!!!

Any comments ????

Ta Gerard
Sorry I can't see my regular charts now. Can you post a chart?
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #25644  
Old Apr 1, 2009 2:14am
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by ghous View Post
Talking of the power of ppzs...

Here's a chart of the Eur/cad weekly
Raczek would be proud of your analysis ghous.
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #25646  
Old Apr 1, 2009 2:26am
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by benem View Post
Hello guys, I would give my small contribution to the forum with this little check list found on the net.Some of you will already have it, but many beginners like me will find it useful ... I hope.

See you soon.
I don't think I've see that before. I like it.
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #25651  
Old Apr 1, 2009 3:52am
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Gerard212 View Post
Hi Rac / Jarroo

Thanks for taking an interest in my question, you are both very helpful,and sorry i cant post a chart.

Gerard
Not sure what hammer or Pin bar you were talking about on the 4 hour Usd/Jpy.

(On posting charts) No problem with this, right?
http://www.forexfactory.com/showpost...ostcount=20665


.
Attached Images
  
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.

Last edited by jarroo, Apr 1, 2009 5:09am
Reply With Quote
  #25654  
Old Apr 1, 2009 4:54am
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by KissFan View Post
I agree that this is a high probability trade. I am placing a long position at 1.4312. Here is my reasoning.
1. Pin Bar off 1.4200 area.
2. Pin Bar is of similar range as previous candles.
3. [font=Calibri][size=3]Body of pin bar is off 50% fib area. Nose is off of the golden...
I know this was a 35 pip/ break even trade for you KissFan. You managed the trade perfectly in my book.

You initially analysis was, as it turns out, right on the mark. As it should be because it was top notch.

Your next one will go to the moon.
Attached Images
 
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.

Last edited by jarroo, Apr 1, 2009 5:41pm
Reply With Quote
  #25688  
Old Apr 1, 2009 5:17pm
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Triton18 View Post
I am looking at it as well, even if I do not like the pair. I am a bit scared, thought, because on other feeds it does not look like a PIN.
I like it Triton and sn3h. Let's see how she closes. Forget the other feeds.
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #25691  
Old Apr 1, 2009 5:23pm
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by james16 View Post
very nice ghous.

this shows that even less than A PLUS set ups are usually very tradable and profitable once you know where its going and what to do when it gets there.


jim

I was going to say to ghous, "Looks like someone been studying Jim's videos".
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.

Last edited by jarroo, Apr 1, 2009 5:34pm
Reply With Quote
  #25697  
Old Apr 1, 2009 6:01pm
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by alter View Post
Ok, here is another SL on EURGBP 2 days PIN bar, long.
Nice shape, taken from daily PPZ, 38.2 fib ret. confluence.
Location, location, location. Real estate and trading my friend. PPZ, shape and fibs mean nothing if its not at a swing High or Low. That one is in the middle.
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #25716  
Old Apr 1, 2009 7:21pm
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by raczekfx View Post
Imho, we'll see a retrace to about 2630/40 before it breaks tomorrow... (or small break and retrace to area mentioned and then hard break to 2450)
Wow . . . You was that masked man? lol
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #25718  
Old Apr 1, 2009 7:27pm
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by alter View Post
USDCAD is not the swing high and you like it?
I thought good location doesn't mean only swing high or low but PPZ and fib ret. mean something. My mistake.
If that Eur/Gbp 2 Day PB was a bearish one instead of a bullish one then we would have something to considered.

The Cad is at a swing High and the PB is a bearish one. Its not at thee High or the Highs of the year(s). That would be better.
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.

Last edited by jarroo, Apr 1, 2009 8:29pm
Reply With Quote
  #25719  
Old Apr 1, 2009 7:37pm
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by mbqb11 View Post
I just thought I would throw out my view on this one as I got a bunch of emails about this one.

Is the bar a real nice BAR. Yes nice shape, good open close, nice long nose.

Is the location ideal enough to trade? Sure maybe. Is it worth it to me. Nope.

Onto the whys, and where it might still visit. Is it off some resistance yes you can see it is. But the usd/cad has been wedging up(see chart 1). This indicates consolidating market, which they do most of the time. Now the more this thing consolidates into that wedge, the more choppy price...
Wow . . what he said.

I may take this one, with all things considered by Mike, I will let the break be my final confirmation on how long I hold this trade.
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #25745  
Old Apr 1, 2009 10:23pm
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Cad PB break. Like to see it break harder, time of day a concern. As long as it's steady and continuous. (Sorry I can't post my regular charts).
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #25758  
Old Apr 2, 2009 12:22am
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Here's my thoughts on the Cad Daily PB.

Is it an A+ setup? No. Is it in the "A" category? I think so.

Would Mike take it? No way. Would Jim take it? Maybe, but probably not.

The barrier, I believe is the 1.2540ish Daily PPZ level noted by the green box. But I see that this barrier(1.2540ish) has lost its respect (noted by the plum boxes) where Price smashed through it several times.

A hard break of this level will confirm the setup for me. Let's see what happens. I'm in at 1.2564.

Are there better setups just around the corner? Absolutely. Is this a full position for me ? No.
Attached Images
 
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.

Last edited by jarroo, Apr 2, 2009 3:19am
Reply With Quote
  #25761  
Old Apr 2, 2009 12:39am
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by arcus View Post
New info for me, I think I haven't read anything about this before.
Its just an observation.

It may regain it's respect and bounce back up to 1.2700. I'm just looking for it to regain it as it breaks through and then act as Resistence.
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #25762  
Old Apr 2, 2009 12:52am
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by jarroo View Post
Its just an observation.

It may regain it's respect and bounce back up to 1.2700. I'm just looking for it to regain it as it breaks through and then act as Resistence.
Just to answer my own question. "Then why don't you wait for the break below the 1.2540?"
That makes sense.

Sorry to keep bring this up, but it changed my trading immensely.

James16:

THIS IS CRITICAL.

WE MUST LEARN TO:

1. notice a strong s/r area just beyond our pa if it exists.
2. know that if we trade into it we had better be prepared for a quick reversal that could give us a loss if we are not prepared.

if we know its there, we have several choices.

1. get out when it gets there for a small profit.
2. take a small partial profit and move the remainder to BE.
3. stay in with your total position hoping for a break and move your stop to BE.
4. Dont enter until the level has been broken.
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.

Last edited by jarroo, Apr 2, 2009 2:14am
Reply With Quote
  #25765  
Old Apr 2, 2009 1:34am
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by daveadamsbds View Post
Hi Guys
With all the discussion about the U/C anyone else interested in the E/Chf
I think someone mentioned it in an earlier post.
Two day pin-bar at a swing low with nose poking through 38.2 fib.
Could be good for 100 pips before first serious obstacle.
Anyone see any problems with this?
Good luck all
Looks good dave.
Attached Images
 
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #25772  
Old Apr 2, 2009 2:35am
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by james16 View Post
i think this is one of those trades thats going to give a set of choices.

a profit
a breakeven
a partial profit and breakeven
a loss.

if i had taken the initial break my stop would be at breakeven right now and i would be looking for 2500 to watch and see if it turns quickly.

if it did some comes off the table. if not and it closes under that level im looking for a bigger move.

its 2536 as i post this.

jim
Thanks Jim.

(edit: For Pete's sake, i don't know how to spell 'lost' . . lossed. lol)
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #25775  
Old Apr 2, 2009 4:35am
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by daveadamsbds View Post
Hi Guys
With all the discussion about the U/C anyone else interested in the E/Chf
I think someone mentioned it in an earlier post.
Two day pin-bar at a swing low with nose poking through 38.2 fib.
Could be good for 100 pips before first serious obstacle.
Anyone see any problems with this?
Good luck all
Looking good dave. Nice hard break.
Attached Images
  
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #25858  
Old Apr 2, 2009 12:13pm
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

I'm still in Cad on the 2nd half. My 1st half was 32 pips. I have mentioned in an earlier post that I will give a little more leeway to an "A" category trade on the 2nd half. The key being, it's on the 2nd half.

So I moved my stop loss on the 2nd half 22 pips above my entry. To many times Price will retrace and test the break and then continue on.

I've done the same with the Eur/Chf.
Attached Images
 
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.

Last edited by jarroo, Apr 2, 2009 12:51pm
Reply With Quote
  #25861  
Old Apr 2, 2009 12:18pm
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Eur/Chf 42 pips on the 1st half and then moved my stop loss on the 2nd half just below my entry about 20 pips.
Attached Images
 
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.

Last edited by jarroo, Apr 2, 2009 12:49pm
Reply With Quote
  #25865  
Old Apr 2, 2009 12:50pm
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Chris P View Post
I was scratching my head Jim when you said EUR/GBP. Had a look at the chart and couldn't spot a typical Jaroo setup. And then came the chart... EUR/CHF! lol It all makes sense now

Personally I'm TP'ing the short Loonie at the rising trendline. If we get a breakout and pullback to the downside I'll take that after, but there's a good chance price will have a reaction there.
Some times my head doesn't listen to my typing fingers.
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #25866  
Old Apr 2, 2009 12:54pm
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by SeekingLight View Post
You meant EURCHF both times, right?

I, too, wonder about what the commods, oil, metal, stocks, USD will end up doing..
Yeah, sorry about that.
Attached Images
 
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #25877  
Old Apr 2, 2009 1:21pm
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by rustyjeff View Post
......
this pa @ ppz's sure makes life easy Jim.
When I start over complicating things, that's when I get into trouble.
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #25905  
Old Apr 2, 2009 4:30pm
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by james16 View Post
how many of you are envious of jarroo and mad at my post that i would move my stop to BE?

This is a great lesson.

why?

because the next time i make a statement like that it might rocket off the other direction and i will be everyones hero instead of the goat.

LOL.

Im about not taking losses, what more can i say.

These happen to me all the time but on the bright side i rarely take more than tiny losses.

the other thing to remember?

they dont all come back and stop you at BE. sometimes you get these huge runners after you have moved...
mad at your post . . . goat . . . LOLOL. I don't think anyone here felt that way, at all. (too funny)

I have more break even trades then losses, this is due to me not being picky enough on many of my setups. I view them as "real good" , but they're not the "BEST", A+ trades that we all seek to enjoy. (see any James16 chart).

It is these A+ setup that once you move to break even, they run to the moon. But a lot of times, you get stopped out then they run to the moon. Like KissFan earlier Gbp/Usd trade.

I tend to manage my trade the best I can to where I can give a little more room for it to run while still having a worst case senario of a net zero loss.

I'm sure as my account grows larger this view will change.

"mad at your post" . . . yeah right.

Jim
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #25914  
Old Apr 2, 2009 5:02pm
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by james16 View Post
LOL. well i know for a fact a lot of people did what i said and missed on a couple of hundred pips. i had to say something.

i could just see the faces and hear the voices..

"damn!!! i knew i should have left that stop alone."

This is why i dont comment on live trades. people are always better off learning from how they react personally.

it was a good lesson for me.

i was very proud and impressed at how you handled it jarroo.

it showed me that your comfortable in your own skin and with your own way of doing things.

that always tells...
Thanks Jim

I just read PipGator's post (which was great). He's going throught the same thinking that one goes through when learning and practising this wonder method and mindset you have given us. Its Priceless.

It's great leaning from you, Mike, Bundy, Clockwork, Seeking and even that wacking guy, razcek. (Just kidding Mark. lol)

You start developing your own eyes and style when seeing a Price Action setup forming. It does take time, demoning, practise, learning, listening, mistakes, successes, and so on.

and . . oh yeah . . . its a whole lotta fun.

Jim
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.

Last edited by jarroo, Apr 2, 2009 7:06pm
Reply With Quote
  #25921  
Old Apr 2, 2009 5:31pm
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by james16 View Post
CHART
Just saw this. Thank Jim. All the credit goes to you sir.
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #25922  
Old Apr 2, 2009 5:34pm
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by ghous View Post
Great poet?...lol!
I'm a poet and don't even . . . realize it. lol
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #25923  
Old Apr 2, 2009 5:39pm
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Jduester View Post
We have a nice pinbar formation occuring at a channel high in the GBP/CAD.

Pros
- Great bar itself (O/C in prior body, good extention)
- Solid PPZ

Cons
- If we are in a channel, can we be at a swing high? I guess the last 4 bars have each made higher highs and higher lows...you're call.
- Blue line represents first TP at 1.81, which would only be about 50 pips beyond the entry, depending how far you play the break. 1.80 would be next level

After all we've discussed today, make your own decision on this one. Write down your thoughts. Will...
Looks good to me. Nice one Josh.
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #25964  
Old Apr 3, 2009 12:37am
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by G550 View Post
What do you guys think of this outside bar on the 4 hour? Swing low, off of support, room to run up. Would like to see some more room but certainly enough to move stops to BE.

Thoughts?
Some thoughts.

It has potential g550, good eye.

I like that the Pin-ish bar (green box) did not fail.

I like your break even expectation.

It's a good setup. Is it the Best setup? No.
Let's see how hard she breaks.
Attached Images
 
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #25970  
Old Apr 3, 2009 12:50am
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by rustyjeff View Post
Like it sherm.. you scalpin these retraces??? or looking at something more??
Looks real good. Off of a Daily/Weekly PPZ.
Attached Images
  
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #25974  
Old Apr 3, 2009 1:07am
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by oltciter View Post
I'm trying to be good on this ! I hope will be soon!
Very nice oltc. The key is its location. Check your daily and weekly charts on the Aud.
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #25981  
Old Apr 3, 2009 1:48am
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by MPP View Post
Looks better on mine
Looking good, J-Man.
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #25982  
Old Apr 3, 2009 1:48am
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by ikki View Post
Hey Jarro, you don't sleep....
I'll sleep when I'm dead. lol
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #25983  
Old Apr 3, 2009 1:49am
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by arcus View Post
It's on top of the of weekly range (box). imho, very nice place to go short. I'd already called it a weekend,so no more trades for me since I close all my positions. Like rusty said in CW's thread, after great win, take it easy
Good advice.
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #25986  
Old Apr 3, 2009 2:08am
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by arcus View Post
Jarroo seems always here to help which is great Clawson is in Michigan? I've only been to michigan once..and sorry for the wrong advice
Yes. Clawson, Mi.

Not wrong advice. You were just being very picky on your trades. Just becareful, you may just turn into a trader like Mike and Jim.
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.

Last edited by jarroo, Apr 3, 2009 2:23am
Reply With Quote
  #25987  
Old Apr 3, 2009 2:15am
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by krue View Post
Hi, mike, pardon me to jump in your topic if I may. in the end of this post, you mentioned support/resistance, ppz...... it seems you differentiate these two concepts, what could be the difference between support/resistance and ppz? I am working hard to build up my awareness reading these components, so, please help me to see the subtlity.

what my current understanding about support/resistance and ppz is that they seem the same stuff, ppz is the flip of support and resistance across the time series. probably I missed something in between? hope...

Just to add on to Mke and rustyjeff. This post was one of my better ones.

http://www.forexfactory.com/showpost...ostcount=12729
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #25989  
Old Apr 3, 2009 2:31am
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by MPP View Post
Gu not so clear, Pb just below res 1.48, next support for me is close to 1.44 (daily charts)


Not in this one as taken the AU. and it's a little out there in the open

BEOB with a hard break.
now just get passed the 1.4640
Attached Images
 
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #25991  
Old Apr 3, 2009 2:44am
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by mbqb11 View Post
if I wasn't getting sick it would be faster
not the flu again
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #25998  
Old Apr 3, 2009 3:26am
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by bundyraider View Post
Hey! ...Synchronized laughing fellas!! ................................... ...........
Someone talks about drinking and bundy shows up. Interesting.
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #26000  
Old Apr 3, 2009 3:32am
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by bundyraider View Post
lol. ....It's funny how I've given that impression over the past couple of years!

I'm not a big drinker, BTW.
XMas / New Year time I enjoy myself though.
Cheers brother. I plan on getting my fill this weekend.
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #26002  
Old Apr 3, 2009 4:12am
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by pipmyride View Post
Pros,
Anyone think the GU H1 pin, and also H4 forming pin is tradable ?
Pretty sure its not a great one but interested to hear some thoughts..

In between zones

thx
Are you talking about this one pmr. Looks like it worked out.
Attached Images
 
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #26006  
Old Apr 3, 2009 4:34am
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by pipmyride View Post
Thats the one ... didnt take it at this stage so i'm slightly annoyed.
But i know it happens
Got to be quick and nimble on the 1 hour time frame. It can be too fast for me. Unless they really stand out.
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #26012  
Old Apr 3, 2009 5:06am
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Eklavya View Post
I took the AUDUSD 4Hr pin bar and am currently in a draw down..anyone else out there in the trade?
It didn't break very hard and once it started breaking hard the other way would be my signal to get out with a small loss.

With the Cad trade yesterday it was on the Daily (better strength) didn't break all that hard but it was declining very steady and continuous. This does take practise especially on the lower time frames.
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.

Last edited by jarroo, Apr 3, 2009 11:14am
Reply With Quote
  #26014  
Old Apr 3, 2009 5:12am
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by raczekfx View Post
Here is my last strat of the week for NFP....

1. limit buy 15-20ps away from current price (as of 8:28)
2. crosses involved: eu, gu, gj, ej and uj
3. sl 20-30ps, tp for half at 30ps profit, sl moved to be on remainder
4. question is long or short limit...? I know the answer but it would be signaling...
I'll be watching that one. My guess is long.
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.

Last edited by jarroo, Apr 3, 2009 5:26am
Reply With Quote
  #26016  
Old Apr 3, 2009 5:26am
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by raczekfx View Post
oh really?....
The key words is "I'll be watching" from the sidelines. lol
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #26057  
Old Apr 3, 2009 2:59pm
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by jlmac27 View Post
Considering the vast locations of everyone here,We are practically neighbors
Jarro.I am from NW Indiana.Do any fishing up there?
Not much fishing . . I don't have the patience for that. . . just kidding. lol

I do some hunting and water sports . . I have a few brothers that have places on a lake.
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #26060  
Old Apr 3, 2009 3:05pm
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by ghous View Post
You surf Bro?
Yes, but in Michigan we call it water skiing. lol
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #26070  
Old Apr 3, 2009 3:51pm
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by james16 View Post
AS GOD IS MY WITNESS WILL SOMEONE PLEASE EXPLAIN TO ME WHY PEOPLE VOTE LIKE THIS.

can you tell me dutch because im not from an area like that.

how do these people get elected?

jim
There's just a lot of Yellow Dog liberal Democrats in this UAW state. Yellow Dog Democrat is a person that will always vote for a Democrat even if its a yellow dog. Much like Blue Dog Republican.

They think that Converatives (Rep.) are for the rich and Liberals (Dem.) are for the common man. I think they are starting to understand that its the other way around.

I agree. Econ 101, less taxes increases revenue.
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #26072  
Old Apr 3, 2009 3:53pm
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by jlmac27 View Post
When I was 16 my girlfriends father took me out to try sking....I swallowed about a gallon of water and flew about ten feet in the air only to come down crashing my head into the water....Maybe he had something to do with my failer of that sport
That's called a fun day water skiing in my book. lolol
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #26088  
Old Apr 3, 2009 5:38pm
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by pakiestra View Post
Hi all,
That wasn't the best week for me, enough to say I've screw up BIG WAY (I know it's strong wording). BUt it's true, first I didn't take profits on eur/jpy of the table, I was hypnotised watching hundred pips turning into loser I'm sick when I think about it, then I have made worse, I overtraded in revenge loosing almost three weeks gains on the account and now profit/loss is as it was after first profitable setup.
This is demo but I feel like I've lost a real monies. Is so hard to win that battle with your ego, it pricks you...
Jim nails it again. The 1st step is Realization. Realizing what happened (honestly) and knowing how to deal with it is next. This is where Jim's insight and experience is so valuable. Many would continue on to the bitter end and fail in this business.

But we here have a secret weapon, the big guy (good 'ole James16), to steer us, guide us and to say, "Hey man, I've been there. If you want to get here, this is what I do." Its freaking awesome.
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #26089  
Old Apr 3, 2009 5:41pm
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by raczekfx View Post
Ok. Why invent the wheel when there is a solution.

I was in the same boat few years back and no matter what I tried, it didn't work as expected. Too many losses on profitable setups, etc. It was sickening...
And then one day it hit me when I was watching James's video where he moved to BE on weekly setups once (i think) 30ps in profit.
Once I realized why he does that, it has changed my trading by 10 folds.

The issue was that having a small account I didn't care much about moving to BE to quick and I was getting stopped out for -50, -100ps...
Raczek this is freaking awesome. Almost my exact thoughts as well. A very big "ahha" moment for me. I think it was the same video too. lol.

I going to read this one many times because it's just great.

Jim
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #26095  
Old Apr 3, 2009 6:04pm
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by pakiestra View Post
On the charts side.
I've just noticed similar setups on most of the weekly JPY pairs, same pattern BUOB piercing through multiple S/R levels. But one BIG BUT: this BUOB are located at the swing high, this should disqualify them, am I right ?? Location wise. Hope everybody else enjoys a nice weekend, I'm going back under the stone.


Could James, Mike, Jaroo, Rac, Ghous have a look on this and share an expert opinion please.
You are correct sir. A higher probabilty trade for a BUOB is at a swing Low. So disqualifing this trade would be the right thing to do. Because we want only the "Best" trades to consider. ( You can post this to ghous. lol)

Is it a "Good" set up? Yes, if you think the uptrend is continuing. This BUOB would be an indication that this might be happening. Bullish Price Action in an uptrend, bearish Price Action in a downtrend.

Let's see how she breaks with a tight stop loss. (demo only, of course)

Jim
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #26096  
Old Apr 3, 2009 6:05pm
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by raczekfx View Post
LOL... We have way too many things in common...
Just shout, next time you're in Toronto... the beer is on me...
You got it Mark.
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #26121  
Old Apr 4, 2009 12:20pm
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by bakko85 View Post
Ok, here is my post with personal ideas for the week.

We've tons of weekly BUOB on the yen crosses; what do you think about them? I don't think they are all tradeble, i personally like that on Eur/jpy.

I see also a well formed BUOB on Aud/usd (weekly), off an important PPZ. But on my chart i've also a PPZ at about 0,73 (just above the high of the buob) and the buob is not at a swing low.

Attached below there is also a chart about the PIN on Eur/chf, glad to read your opinion, i really don't know what to do and how to give it a value (A?...
The BUOB on the Eur/Jpy Weekly and Bullish PIN on the Eur/Chf are correct formations as defined by the J16 material. But their locations are very poor.

If they were at a swing Low or off the yearly Lows they would be in the "A" category. They would be like kicking a penalty without a goalkeeper. Let me refer you to this post by bakko . . . . wait a minute . . . . that's you. lol

http://www.forexfactory.com/showpost...ostcount=25139

Hey babkkos just having a little fun here. But as I look at your charts from last week they are great. And look how they turned out. There was some easy pips for the taking.

The key being was their location along with the confluences of PPZ levels, their formations, fibs, etc., brought about a very high probably PA setup.

Jim
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.

Last edited by jarroo, Apr 4, 2009 1:46pm
Reply With Quote
  #26122  
Old Apr 4, 2009 12:34pm
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by bakko85 View Post
Attached below there is also a chart about the PIN on Eur/chf, glad to read your opinion, i really don't know what to do and how to give it a value (A? B? C?)
So they are not the "Best" setups that we look for, are they "Good" setups?

Hard to say.

One rule of thumb (for me) is that Price Action can also be used to gauge the trend. Meaning that if we see Bullish PA in uptrend and Bearish PA in a downtrend could mean that the trend is continuing.

So trading these PA setup formations can be risky and should be managed very carefully.
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #26125  
Old Apr 4, 2009 1:00pm
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by bakko85 View Post
Thanks Jarroo! I agree with you, the location is poor and i'll stay out these trades.
I'll wait for better setup!
I liked your words, "penalty kick without a goalkeeper". That's what an A+ trade is like.
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #26127  
Old Apr 4, 2009 1:03pm
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Jduester View Post
Ok, as some of you know I have been testing various exit strategies. I've attached the results. I ended up testing 13 unique strategies. I know this post is going to be longer than I wanted it, but I think everything I write here is necessary to fully explain my rationale. Sorry to bore you if that is the case.

A few notes:
- I have placed 31 trades in Feb/March, so that was my sample size...quite small, but I felt enough to point me in the right direction.
- 26/31 trades reached the first PPZ, 83.9%.
- In many cases, the first PPZ was very...
Great work Josh.
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #26163  
Old Apr 5, 2009 2:55pm
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Nanook438 View Post
Hey group-
I see a pin bar on the EURGBP H-4 poking down through a 50% fib from a higher time frame. (See chart if it attached correctly.)
Enter long @.9103
SL= .9065
1/2 out @ first S/R level of .9165
Daily & weekly trend looks down so this would be a counter trend trade and short lived.
Any thoughts/ comments / what did I miss so far?
TIA
Quote:
Originally Posted by mbqb11 View Post
Hey Tia

Careful here, that isn't a pin that is a neutral bar. When the open and close are near the middle of the bar(you can tell when you have noses of equal length sticking out also). That shows indecision and can often be mistaken for a pin.

-Mike
Mike beat me to it. Those neutral bars can be misleading. Mike has pointed this out to me a few times in my earlier posts on this thread. God bless him and hope he's feeling better. IBFX shows more of a PB on the 4 hour but its way to small.

More interesting is on the Daily where Price looks to be heading back to the .9000. I'm very sure Mike is looking for some confirming PA at this level.

Seekinglight (Patrick) has a great post showing how all of this developed.

http://www.forexfactory.com/showpost...ostcount=25323


Note: At the blue check, where the double barrel PA setup broke, moving to break even quickly (on the DBLHC, it's not exact but pretty close) would have never been hit.

Jim
Attached Thumbnails
Click image for larger version

Name:	egdd.gif
Views:	125
Size:	21.3 KB
ID:	229024    
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.

Last edited by jarroo, Apr 6, 2009 5:16am
Reply With Quote
  #26167  
Old Apr 5, 2009 3:28pm
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by TiaForex View Post
Hey Dave,

I had a look through your post history and see that you're very experienced, so I hope my answer didn't come across as patronising. Hopefully it'll be useful to someone looking over the thread.

It seems your question is whether on the breach of the bar at a breakout level we wait for a retrace to that level before getting in. The simple answer is, in general, no. Once the highs and buffer are broken, the trade is on. There is often retrace/drawdown especially on outside bars and if you wanted you could finesse an entry there using...
Some great posts from you TiaFx.

Absolutely, the best play on Outside Bars are at swing High/Lows.

Refer to Mike's earlier post where a breakout of a wedge formation was confirmed with BUOB. This BUOB is not at a swing Low, but what gave it supportive strength was the breakout.

http://www.forexfactory.com/showpost...ostcount=25904
Attached Images
 
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #26179  
Old Apr 5, 2009 7:41pm
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by urchman View Post
don't know how to thank THEM (u all) but my chart will tell of what james16 thread has done to my trading/learning life. It OPENED my eyes in so many ways that i can live to say that im "successful" TA trader.God will surely repay you all with this tireless effort to make the world a better place.


Thanks urchman
Very nice chart urchman. Mike would proud of that one.
I knew there was more to that setup that gave it strength.
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #26188  
Old Apr 5, 2009 10:49pm
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by jarroo View Post
Note: At the blue check, where the double barrel BUOB broke, moving to break even quickly (on the 2nd BUOB) would have never been hit.

Jim
Sorry about this, I guess I meant to say double barrel PA setup. The 2nd is not BUOB, closer to a DBLHC. I haven't check other feeds, not at home.
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #26190  
Old Apr 5, 2009 11:27pm
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by albchr View Post
Well I guess we both have the same personal problems 4fun...LOL

I know this puppy is running out of steam so I moved my SL to 4896 (top of the last bar) and going to sleep. Let it stop me out...LOL. I can live with 562 on this one and sleep very well knowing it. Who knows, if we get a nice signal, might just ride this baby back down, or up even more if it decisively breaks 4983.
Stop loss is pretty tight and there's nothing wrong with that at all.

But maybe it will ride to 5900 or 7900 maybe even 9900. Will you be able to sleep knowing you got out with 562 pips instead of maybe 3562 pips.

Sleep well my friend.
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #26194  
Old Apr 5, 2009 11:48pm
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by albchr View Post
Oh sure thanks... Now I'll have to stay up and watch it...LOL

Quite frankly Jarroo, this will make the biggest trade (by almost 3x now) I ever had or thought I'd have. I've been pretty good at getting what I need to average per day and fighting like crazy to get it. This is almost what I need for the month and it was easy and FUN!! NOPE, I'm NOT gonna get greedy....till I get good....LOL

How do I say thanks to Jim and you guys? You all have change my entire view of this and the possibilities are staggering.

lol.

For you to stay with it this long shows you got the right stuff for handling a long term trade. Meaning the big pip swings that accompany a long term trade.

Just thought I'd give a longer term perspective. I try to trail my stops by hiding behind strong PPZ level. Again in the long term state of mind.

Great trade al. I hope it goes all the way to the moon.
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #26196  
Old Apr 5, 2009 11:56pm
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by oltciter View Post
I've opened trade on weekly BUOB EURJPY. I've made 143 pips profit.Nice trade in the begining of this week.

A quick move to break even and it would have never been touched.

Very nice.
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #26197  
Old Apr 6, 2009 12:05am
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Yes, I'm in a few of these setups for thoses that have asked. I didn't want to post them because they are not in the "A" category. I have mentioned using Price Action as a trend continuation setup. But one has to find there own way when learning and demoing. They can be fruitful when managed carefully.
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #26199  
Old Apr 6, 2009 12:16am
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by albchr View Post
Oh baby she's getting close. Just out of curiosity Jaroo, where do see the last strong PPZ to hide behind? I'm no expert for sure but I'm seeing somewhere around the 4800 level perhaps? Hmmmm...now you got me thinking. Dam I'm tired too....LOL
Sorry I can't post charts right now. Can you post a Daily Gbp/Usd?
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #26202  
Old Apr 6, 2009 12:34am
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Hey, thanks guys.

I got one of your Chris. I like under the 4675 level.
Attached Thumbnails
Click image for larger version

Name:	GU%20Daily.jpg
Views:	119
Size:	96.8 KB
ID:	229167    
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #26204  
Old Apr 6, 2009 12:44am
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by mbqb11 View Post
here ya go
Probably the 4500 would be stronger, if this is a new uptrend change.
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #26208  
Old Apr 6, 2009 12:55am
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by mbqb11 View Post
Sorry Jim, you know me and my round number fetish
lol yeah, but the 4000, 4500, 5000,. are extra special round numbers you like.
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #26209  
Old Apr 6, 2009 12:58am
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by albchr View Post
Yea...lol..I was afraid you'd see that too. So now I have to decide whether I think it's going up, or about to turn around. I think I might back the SL off whilst I think about it...LOL

Thanks for the answer on the pin too Jarroo...... That was my thinking as well from what I've read so far.
That's beauty of your position chris, no matter what you decide you win. From a pips perspective and a learning one.
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #26211  
Old Apr 6, 2009 1:01am
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by ghous View Post
I'd like my Chf/Jpy puppy to wag it's tail a bit...

i.e I'm waiting for a pullback, the market shooting up like that straight after opening gives more weight to such a possibility...

Nice one on the Eur/Jpy oltciter

Regards,
Ghous.
Nice charts as always ghous.
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #26294  
Old Apr 6, 2009 4:49pm
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by DutchTrader View Post
Greatest country in the world that has allowed me from the age I was 14 to pursue every dream imaginable. I get teary eyed when I listen to Ray Charles singin' "America the Beautiful". I served this country once, and would do so again in a heartbeat.
I somtimes get teary eyed just looking at the Flag, Old Glory. Much of which is from the men like you, who gave their last full measure of devotion.
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #26330  
Old Apr 6, 2009 8:25pm
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by mbqb11 View Post
you definitely made me chuckle with that edit

Mike
The eyes of Mike are always watching. Which is not a bad thing.

("Would Mike take this setup. . .No" . . . "Mike would like this setup . . . hmm . . . maybe not the Daily PPZ is way over there . ." ) and so on. lol
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #26332  
Old Apr 6, 2009 8:33pm
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by mbqb11 View Post
that sounds wrong and creepy on so many levels
Do you know how many people would like to sit next to you while your trading and thinking out loud. Not so creepy. My hand is raised.
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #26335  
Old Apr 6, 2009 8:38pm
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by KissFan View Post
I just use my "would I post this trade on the James16 thread" indicator. It really is a great way to profits.

K.I.S.S.
I like it. It's helped me alot over the years.
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #26337  
Old Apr 6, 2009 8:49pm
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by jarroo View Post
Do you know how many people would like to sit next to you while your trading and thinking out loud. Not so creepy. My hand is raised.
What am I saying . . . . your videos come pretty darn close.
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #26350  
Old Apr 7, 2009 1:38am
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Maklla View Post
hello
my second post here but so many questions to ask dont know where to start! but first thanks again for all the hard work and explaining you guys it is the best thread off them all!! im looking at chf jpy weekly and daily chart and both have a pinbar is it valid?dont know how to post chart if somebody could explain!thank you!im from former yugoslavia so my english is not the best!

maklla

To post a chart:

If you?re a meta trader user just right click on the meta trader chart and go to ?Save As Picture?.
Then ?Select the image you would like to save:? Pick ?Active chart? at ?600 x 600 pixels? then click ?OK?
Save anywhere you want i.e. Desktop.

Then when you enter to post comments go down to ?Manage Attachments? click that.
Then click ?Browse? to find your pic you want to attach, i.e. Desktop.
Click the pic you want and hit ?Open?, Then hit ?Upload?.
Wait for it to upload then close the ?Manage Attachments? window. Then make sure you hit the ?Submit Reply? button that is under the ?Manage Attachments? button.
Done.
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #26370  
Old Apr 7, 2009 7:33am
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by g_j_hook@yah View Post
im also in on this trade but from a beob on my feed again, i have .5700-5720 as my next problem zone
Nice catch guys.

Nice bearish divergence as well.
Attached Images
  
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #26447  
Old Apr 7, 2009 5:06pm
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Nanook438 View Post
2 inside bars in a row. Breakout long @ 1.3305, sl= 1.3223
Move to BE asap and take 1/2 off at 1.3347

Anything I'm not seeing?

Thanks
It may break short.
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #26448  
Old Apr 7, 2009 5:07pm
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Maklla View Post
and thank you jaroo for explaining how to attach picture

maklla
Your welcome.
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #26478  
Old Apr 7, 2009 9:16pm
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Nanook438 View Post
2 inside bars in a row. Breakout long @ 1.3305, sl= 1.3223
Move to BE asap and take 1/2 off at 1.3347

Anything I'm not seeing?

Thanks
Did you take the short? Sorry I can't post a chart right now. Can someone post a 4 hour Euro chart?

There's a member named Dale that I have talked to on the DIBS thread that swears by these double inside bars on the 4 hour and Daily time frames. He may have some other criteria, I don't know, but they do not happen often.

Sure, its just a wedge type formation on the lower time frames but not always. Check some back testing on these, it's an interesting Price Action formation.
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.

Last edited by jarroo, Apr 7, 2009 10:50pm
Reply With Quote
  #26482  
Old Apr 7, 2009 9:42pm
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by mrsingha View Post
There you go Jim.
Thanks mrsingha.

Inside Bars are usually looked for just like any other PA formation i.e, Location, PPZs , swing High/Low, with the trend and other supporting cast of confluences.

With these double barrel IBs, Price tends to be sqeezed tighter and tighter until strong breakout ocurrs. Managed carefully ( meaning quick to break even trade, etc.,) they can prove to be quite successful.
Attached Images
 
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.

Last edited by jarroo, Apr 8, 2009 2:09am
Reply With Quote
  #26485  
Old Apr 7, 2009 9:48pm
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Nanook438 View Post
Hi Jim,
Sadly no. I didn't set up for it but decided to wait and see what it would do. It was sitting on the 150 and a fib confluence on my chart hence the original thinking it might break long.
The professionals were right in that it broke lower. There will be others though. No sweat.

BPP Grasshopper

Inside Bars by definition are an indecision or neutral formations. So depending on the Location, PPZ, swing High/Low, etc., they can tip their hand and give us a hint to where Price may be going.
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.

Last edited by jarroo, Apr 7, 2009 11:18pm
Reply With Quote
  #26489  
Old Apr 7, 2009 11:09pm
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Nanook438 View Post
Thanks Jim,
It didn't seem to have far to go before hitting support but if it breaks 1.3150 area it may go a ways. Looking to train myself to trade longer moves but 75 pips to support on my chart is certainly nothing to sneeze about.

BPP Grasshopper
75 pips is a HUGE trade at $50 to $100 a pip, but at $.50 to $1.00 a pip its not overwhelming. James16 talks about account size very much recently and through the thread. I'm sure when you reach that level of pip size a "longer pip move" may be only 20pips to 30pips to be worthwhiled.

Most of the top quality, A+ PA trades do break hard when tiggered, but the initial pip amount given may only be 30 to 50 pips. Learn to caputure these moves first and grow from there. imo
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #26493  
Old Apr 8, 2009 12:24am
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by raczekfx View Post
That's the problem with many new traders and a sign that they don't treat trading seriously.

In our circle of traders-friends there are several, who trade at only $10-15/pip and manage 50-75pips day-in and day out.
I still remember when back a couple of years ago I carried company BBs, pagers, sat phones... you name it, being available 24hrs on call and didn't even come close to their daily income...

Folks, respect your 'pips' even if you only trade at 0.1$/ps. One day you will be grateful for that.
Amen brother.
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #26494  
Old Apr 8, 2009 12:35am
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by ghous View Post
When we approach such a huge ppz we want price to show some "DECENT IRREVERENCE" for the ppz zone, . . .

. . . A the fact that price still had to bounce off this region bruised and hurt and made to flee should straight away make you feel that a long isn't a good idea . . .


Ghous.
I think we know who the poet is around here. lol
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #26499  
Old Apr 8, 2009 1:58am
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Jduester View Post
Jarroo,
I have actually become quite fond of these setups as well. I included that setup in my backtesting (post 26257) and it gave me great results when we had some space. There are a few things I like to look for (space is main one). I take the break of the First bar with stop at opposite end of the First bar. Cuts down on false breakouts. Definitely worth some backtesting though, as I found it to be very good.

Josh
Thanks for the info Josh.

You have surely done some great work here and have shared it on the thread. It is greatly appreciated by the many people you are helping. So many people that you would be surprised by number.

You are definitely on the right path of success.

A Star Trader in the making. (no pressure though. lol)

Jim
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #26545  
Old Apr 8, 2009 7:51am
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Chris P View Post
I have a feeling Jaroo would approve
Absolutely. What's not to like. Swing Low into a Daily/ Weekly PPZ. Nice hard break.

The key to lower time frames is picky, picky, picky.
Attached Images
 
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #26548  
Old Apr 8, 2009 8:02am
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by mrsingha View Post
Stopped out at B/E.
never mind.
Next!
Just curious, what did you get on the 1st half?
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #26550  
Old Apr 8, 2009 8:10am
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by albchr View Post
Hi Jarroo,

I have a question...lol. I'm using FXpro MT4 as well and I was wondering how you get a 3 hour chart as opposed to the 4 hour default? I thought I knew the platform well (pretty darn good with software) but for the life of me I can't see how.
Sure. Here's the links to the period converter and how to apply it.


http://www.forexfactory.com/showpost...ostcount=15191

http://www.forexfactory.com/showpost...ostcount=15193
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #26553  
Old Apr 8, 2009 8:22am
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by mrsingha View Post
I was looking at 132.65-70 for the first half so got nothing.
A bit too greedy I guess.
Yes, maybe a bit too greedy. lol But smart enough to go to break even and keep it there to give it a chance. You would be surprised who would remove that breakeven stop loss and risk a potential a loss.

I say, well done.
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #26555  
Old Apr 8, 2009 8:43am
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by albchr View Post
I'm in the EJ as well but from the 4H.
You must understand Chris that the E/J 4 hour "Pin Bar" does not qualify as a Pin Bar. Because the Open and Close are not within the previous bar (candle).

The strength of this move is it's Location (Daily/Weekly PPZ) and the confluence of being at a swing Low. The areas I have marked in green are areas that Price will have a problem and may reverse.
Attached Images
 
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #26556  
Old Apr 8, 2009 8:44am
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by mrsingha View Post
Hit it now look. Like I said, never mind. There's no way I'm going to let +36 turn into -24 and then hope it comes back my way. NO WAY. So I've missed out on a profitable trade because preserving my capital was more important than potential profit.
I live to fight another day.

Steve.
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #26560  
Old Apr 8, 2009 9:03am
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by albchr View Post
Thanks Jarroo, you've confirmed my thinking as well. I was also thinking along the lines of the Daily/Weekly PPZ on my chart and not so much the pin. Actually wish I had stayed in it but being the "conservative" newbie I am, In at 132.217, out at 132.635 on a 1 lot. I'll take trades like this all day long...LOL
Those are not Pivot Price Zones. They are mathematical floor pivots.
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #26563  
Old Apr 8, 2009 9:11am
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by albchr View Post
Ummm....OK........and the difference being?
PPZs are given by the market (or pair) itself. The other is a math equation.

I strongly urge you to continue your study from the 1st post. Many of your questions will be answered.
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #26567  
Old Apr 8, 2009 9:18am
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Delfino View Post
Probably a simple question.. With the pinbar setup, does the close have to be lower than the open of the pinbar when its bearish, and vice versa for bullish?

Ive been passing up a few because they didnt follow this criteria only to watch them work out to be good trades had I taken them.
It is preferable but not written in stone. The key is that they are within the previous bar (candle).
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #26575  
Old Apr 8, 2009 9:38am
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by markmm View Post
This is something I was thinking about, if we mark PPZ based on S/R where price has shown to respect, then we shouldnt need the Pivot point indicator. If price respected the Pivot Point lines (math ones) then we would catch them with our PPZ drawing.? Unless you give more weight to Weekly Pivot points over PPZ's?
I don't use floor pivots and I'm not saying one shouldn't use them. If I did use them, when they line up with a PPZ it would add a point of confluence to a given setup.
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #26586  
Old Apr 8, 2009 10:28am
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by moneybags View Post
If you look closely, Ghous' pinbar did close within the previous bar.
EJ closed just a little bit lower than the previous bar's low.

Tom
You are correct, my mistake. Open is within, Close off just a bit.
Attached Images
 
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #26633  
Old Apr 8, 2009 7:51pm
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by markmm View Post
Ill pass on the E/D daily pin (if it ends as one) as its heading into 3300, pivot zone, 150ema and fib confluence!!, It has its work cut out, maybe a buy stop above 3300?
I like it. I know others may pass on it. I believe its in the "A" catagory. Above the 3315-25 would be my buy. How it breaks will be the key for me. Should be fun to watch.
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #26634  
Old Apr 8, 2009 7:57pm
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Eur/Gbp looks good at the 9000. Sorry I can't post charts.
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #26640  
Old Apr 8, 2009 8:42pm
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by stoli7188 View Post
Still working out my plan, here's the trades I took today. Both with trends, off TL, off weekly S&R, going to try and let them ride. Only 1% on small a/c risked for each.

Eur/Gbp long @ 90.57 stop @89.77
I like the Eur/Gbp. Also at swing Low off a strong Daily/Weekly PPZ Round Number, 9000. Nice.
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #26646  
Old Apr 8, 2009 11:25pm
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by ghous View Post
Location? A (61.8 fib, ppz, trendline, round number)

Shape? C (long upper wick, shorter lower wick)

Space? B (2 matching bar lows immediately to the left and some bar highs further on the left.

I need an AAB atleast, I pass.
We'll have to wait for the break to give it a letter.
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #26648  
Old Apr 8, 2009 11:32pm
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by ghous View Post
I liked the deleted post better lol! JK.

Anyways yeah it will be fun to watch, you're jumping into this one Jim?
Absolutely.

8 hour PB already gave me some pipage.

Sorry can't post charts right now.
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #26654  
Old Apr 9, 2009 1:14am
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by dkmb92 View Post
just a thought, but after a pb (or other pa) tests a significant ppz (round#), fib, or ema and then retreats to form the pb itself; is there an even better chance that the pb will break on the next bar & break hard? just a thought, thx.
Interesting thought dkmb.

I guess it depends on where the PA setup is located in relation to the PPZ level (RD). Meaning is the PPZ level located at the top of the PB where the break would ocurr or at the bottom/middle of the PB to give it supportive strength.

I can't post charts right now. There looks to be a strong Weekly PPZ on the Euro at 1.3250 which is in the middle of the Daily PB. And the Eur/Gbp .9000 PPZ level in the middle Daily PB.

I like the PPZ in the middle or bottom of the PA, for supportive strength. I would rather jump off of these levels then to try and run into them.

If I am understanding your thought.

Jim
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #26756  
Old Apr 9, 2009 5:04pm
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by james16 View Post
ive seen some very good break downs of this.

here is mine.
Took a -30 pip loss on this one, because I got away from my trading plan.

I didn't do #1., #2., #3. and definetly not #4.

James16:

THIS IS CRITICAL.

WE MUST LEARN TO:

Notice a strong s/r area just beyond our pa if it exists.

Know that if we trade into it we had better be prepared for a quick reversal that could give us a loss if we are not prepared.

if we know its there, we have several choices.

1. get out when it gets there for a small profit.
2. take a small partial profit and move the remainder to BE.
3. stay in with your total position hoping for a break and move your stop to BE.
4. Dont enter until the level has been broken.

The hard break AWAY from the 1.3350 S/R level (Daily 150 ema in blue on the Daily and Hourly) was also a clear sign for me. I guess I wanted more then 20 pips before moving to break even.

Thanks Jim

Always learning and improving.

Jim
Attached Images
  
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.

Last edited by jarroo, Apr 9, 2009 8:51pm
Reply With Quote
  #26762  
Old Apr 9, 2009 5:33pm
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by james16 View Post
yeah but what all of should pay attention to in j's post is the part about only taking a 30 pip loss.

i still take losses of course and often im totally shocked at what price "has not done."

in those cases i never let the loss get out of hand.

30 pips in this situation is a sign of trading maturity in every sense.

jim
Absolutely. Not to long ago, I would be still in this trade "hoping " it would come back and losing more hair. Those days are over. Period.

Your right, no shock on this one of why Price did what it did.
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.

Last edited by jarroo, Apr 9, 2009 7:40pm
Reply With Quote
  #26783  
Old Apr 9, 2009 8:44pm
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by markmm View Post
Sorry Jim, I disagree, eveything you teach told me to stay out of this trade (PA pointing into a brick wall). I prefer to have not traded this than have a 30 pip loss.

Mark mm

Quote:
Originally Posted by dengzhi View Post
agreed, i followed what Jim has been teaching all along and to me this was not an A+ setup (running into strong S/R zone and plus the look of the candle wasn't that great), therefore i did not take the trade. I am patiently waiting for the next perfect setup only on daily or higher TF.
Good Job guys, your on your way to a better trading life.

I sometimes view a potential "A" trade differently then Mike and Jim. Or should I say, a more aggressive approach at times. lol

When the end of the month comes and a trading review is taken, the Jim and Mike A+ trades win every time. Not sometimes . . . . . every time.

Also I need to reprint Jim's " THIS IS CRITICAL . ." info next to my computer in bolder print.

Jim
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #26791  
Old Apr 9, 2009 11:38pm
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by jpa0827 View Post
Hey everyone,

I was just checking to make sure I am drawing my horizantal S&R lines in the correct spots.

Do they look ok?

Thanks

Jim
They look great Jim. I got the same levels. It looks like you started on the Weekly which is a great place to start your search. The strong ones will be the same on the Daily and Weekly. I like to highlight areas on the Daily (green line) that stand out as well.

Looking good.
Attached Images
  
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #26797  
Old Apr 10, 2009 1:24am
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Aliassmith View Post
Hello All,

I have been reading this thread for years off/on. I finally broke down and made a decision to be serious about practicing the material. So I first want to start off by saying THANKS to everyone that posts here. The sharing of ideas no matter how big or how small make this thread a great place. I look forward to my continued readership and interaction with all of you.

Thanks Jarroo for this post, I saved it to remind me of this trade. I took the EUR/USD trade also with a 181 pip loss. Man was I blind for not seeing the 1.335ish area...

"This is CRITICAL" info from James16 was a huge piece of the puzzle for me when I started putting it all together. I was finding great PA setups with good results but something was missing to allow me to manage these trades more efficiently. This was IT.

"This is CRITICAL" info is the second step when I search for that great PA setup. The first step is patiently waiting for the ideal situation when a PA formation presents itself at the best location with strong supporting confluences. When that happens, then this second step becomes very easy.

Glad to have you here Al. I look forward to seeing some of your charts.

Jim
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #26800  
Old Apr 10, 2009 1:35am
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by g_j_hook@yah View Post
2 questions please...
how do you multi qoute posts???
what are you guys using to put the text boxes on your charts??
thanx jon
Multi post: Open another window of the thread and find the 2nd quote you want, highlight it and use "Ctrl" "C". Then in the 1st post use "Ctrl" "V".

That's what I do.
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #26803  
Old Apr 10, 2009 2:09am
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Aliassmith View Post
I'll be sure to post some when I figure out how to do it most efficiently edit: looks like I figured it out.

I am currently looking at the GBP/JPY inside bar on the daily. Looks like it needs to break resistance (long) at 148.58 then it has plenty of run to the next speed bump at about 150.3 area. I don't have a great feeling about taking a short because the support looks closer from the break.
Inside Bars can be a tricky setup. They're best played, as with other PA formations, at a swing High/Low. Zooming out to get a bigger picture (Thanks Mike) to see where the Daily/Weekly PPZ levels are is what I like to do 1st.
Attached Images
  
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.

Last edited by jarroo, Apr 11, 2009 12:40am
Reply With Quote
  #26804  
Old Apr 10, 2009 2:21am
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Aliassmith View Post
I am currently looking at the GBP/JPY inside bar on the daily. Looks like it needs to break resistance (long) at 148.58 then it has plenty of run to the next speed bump at about 150.3 area. I don't have a great feeling about taking a short because the support looks closer from the break.
I agree. Taking the short off the IB could be short lived due to the S/R levels at the 145.50ish level. So a quick move to break even would be my move.
Attached Images
 
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #26831  
Old Apr 10, 2009 4:50pm
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by ghous View Post
Hi Adam,

You need to know of a few very important issues here.

Firstly I am not sure if you realize this but the trade you took of the daily BEOB was'nt A+. The location was pretty much ok (50 fib and trendline confluence), the scary part was the 133 price level, notice the large wicks price gave off this region (points 1 and 2 on the first chart), when you see such "to the pip" support and resistance you've got to be VERY careful when trading into them, the BEOB break was headed straight for this region...fortunately...

Great post ghous. A lot of good stuff in there.

However, its a good idea when we offer our help of ones charted post to use the same feed they use. Case in point . . . Adam is using IBFX feed and the break of his BEOB is below the PPZ (1.3350ish which is more current and stronger then the 133.00) at 1.3321. When Price broke his BEOB it was a beauty.
So he wasn't trading into the brick wall, he was trading below it which is a better entry on the setup.

Also yesterday's BEOB would give confidence to stay in the trade and place my stop loss above the 1.3350 PPZ.
Attached Images
  
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.

Last edited by jarroo, Apr 10, 2009 5:20pm
Reply With Quote
  #26832  
Old Apr 10, 2009 4:56pm
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

We still can use ghous's feed (FxPro, I think) but we have to follow #4 on James16's "This is CRITICAL".
Attached Images
 
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #26836  
Old Apr 11, 2009 4:43am
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by ghous View Post
IBFX closed above 133 too, Jarroo, I have that brick wall around 133 so it would still be a trade straight into the brick wall....

But Yeah you're right, the feeds should be same when 2 charts are compared...thanks for the correction bro,

(below is the IBFX chart, and why I still wouldn't trade it...)

Regards,
Ghous.
I saw the 1.3350 as a stronger PPZ then the 133.00, as I mentioned in my post. A tight stop entry on the BEOB was a very strong break with no draw down.

I'm not saying that the 133.00 had no strength, it did as shown on the 4 hour chart. I just saw the 133.50 as more current, thus more strength.
Attached Images
  
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #26852  
Old Apr 11, 2009 2:46pm
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by benem View Post
Hello Jarroo,thanks for your beautiful explanation with Ghous....you handle with this stuff pretty good.
I'd like to ask you if you always adjust your PPZ at rounded numbers like 1.3300 or 1.3350?
I had this feeling looking at your post and i'd like you to clarify this for me.

Cheers
Round numbers are an important psychological level that every trader sees on all different data feeds. When they line up with a PPZ or PPZ lines up with them, they become a powerful confluence.

Search out mbqb11 (Mike) posts on Round numbers, he explains more on how they interact with Price.
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #27021  
Old Apr 15, 2009 4:52am
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by jarroo View Post
I would like to give my take on these PA setups. I didn't take any of these setups.

First the Daily/Weekly PPZs which you have indicated. Heres' mine. (Chart 1)

This is how I would rate them.(Chart 2)

The A+ setup is at a swing Low, off a Daily/Weekly PPZ, with some nice space, size is good compared to previous bars and with a nice hard break at the break. This is what we look for.

The C- setup was off a D/W PPZ but no space (in traffic) and not at a swing Low. Nice hard break at the break. Price Action is a powerful thing at times and...
I thought I would revisit this post I did on March 19th on the 4 hour Gbp/Jpy of this year. It was a quick summary of rating these PBs at the time.

The B- set up would be an "A" if you followed #4 of James16's "This is Critical".

But the A+ trade really stands out.

Question? Is there any other trades that you can find on the Gbp/Jpy, 4 hour time frame from the beginning of the year that stands out like this A+ setup?
I found maybe 3.
Attached Thumbnails
Click image for larger version

Name:	gj4hour.gif
Views:	127
Size:	23.4 KB
ID:	233118    
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #27026  
Old Apr 15, 2009 5:18am
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by MPP View Post
it's not jumping out at me and my feed shows different Bars

buts heres my take on it - good or bad
I like that April 6th PB as well MPP, but would you put it in the same league as the March 12th PB? Probably not. But you get the idea.
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #27030  
Old Apr 15, 2009 5:31am
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by MPP View Post
No but i do think it was better than the b- and c- trades, here's my feed not a real good PB within a body.
I agree. Location was very good. Tight stop and with a strong break was all I needed with that one.
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #27031  
Old Apr 15, 2009 5:34am
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by laromanell View Post
Jarroo, that march 18 pb that has B- grade on your scale was synthetic. If you take a closer look at it, it materialized only due to the sharp drop in usd. so true grade is F.
I was burned with couple of pin bars on the sythetic pairs. now I pay very close attention to the lower timeframes.
Would do you mean "synthetic"? I don't care how a Price Action setup is formed or why it is formed. If it meets our criteria of location and supportive confluences, its a trading opportunty.
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #27033  
Old Apr 15, 2009 5:41am
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by laromanell View Post
what I mean that there was no change in underlying currencies, in this case GBP and JPY. the pair just draw the pin bar out of nowhere(basically there should be no pin bar), because they are both related through usd. check your lfx charts you'll understand what I'm talking about.
I'll check it out, but that PB had some weight to it. It just needed to break the 138.00 PPZ to be successful.
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #27083  
Old Apr 15, 2009 6:22pm
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

No James16 today. I'm sure he's attending some of the many Tea Parties in Texas today. lol
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #27092  
Old Apr 15, 2009 7:38pm
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by KissFan View Post
Could I get some feedback concerning this possible trade opportunity. I see a Bearish Outside Bar forming here on the EUR/AUD daily chart. I think that some wait for a retrace before executing a trade on this set-up. I see some room to profit from a continuation down. I am looking for the most conservative entry idea and I think the retrace might be it. I am also aware of the 8100 area possibly being a thorn in my side as the weekly suggests. Thanks in advance.

K.I.S.S.
Since this is not the ideal location for a BEOB, it would (for me) be a tight stop loss, quick to break even trade at the break. Also how hard it breaks would tell me it the setup is confirmed or not.

Retracements on BEOB/BUOB usually retrace to the previous Bar (candle) Low/High. That's when they act like they're suppose to do. lol
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #27096  
Old Apr 15, 2009 8:33pm
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by dengzhi View Post
jarro,
tight stop loss or large stop loss isn't it all the same? you are risking 1-3% of your account each time. if you lose the trade you are hurt the same amount as any other trade.. (that is if you trade this way)

or on trades like these do you risk less than your standard, so when you have a tight SL maybe you only risk .5% of your acct as opposed to the std 1% per say?
The position size is bigger on a tighter stop loss.

Yes, I would reduce my acct percentage on less then ideal setups.
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #27112  
Old Apr 15, 2009 11:19pm
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Watching.

Let's see how these close. Gbp/Jpy and Gbp/Usd.
Attached Images
  
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #27115  
Old Apr 16, 2009 12:11am
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by MPP View Post
Nothing like yours on my feed pos 8h pb on GJ, but GU has nothing of value as yet - still 2 hrs till bar close
I like the location of both the Gbp/Usd and Gbp/Jpy at nice round numbers of 1.5000 and 150.00, respectively. And the divergence confluence.

They are rather small Outside bars and may lead to nothing. I have alerts at these levels.
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.

Last edited by jarroo, Apr 16, 2009 12:46am
Reply With Quote
  #27117  
Old Apr 16, 2009 12:46am
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Denarii View Post
Should we consider the GBP/USD a PB or a BUOB? I don't trade 4h but just wondering how others would.
Sorry my mistake , they are Outside bars.
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #27118  
Old Apr 16, 2009 12:53am
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Denarii View Post
Should we consider the GBP/USD a PB or a BUOB? I don't trade 4h but just wondering how others would.
It is a developing PB on the 8 hour. It still has a few hours to go before it closes.
Attached Images
 
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #27119  
Old Apr 16, 2009 1:01am
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Small break of the 4 Gbp/Jpy Outside bar (neutral bar). Let's see how hard she breaks. A break of the 4 hour PPZ level at 148.00 will be the real test.
Attached Images
 
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #27122  
Old Apr 16, 2009 3:18am
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by mrsingha View Post
Can't post a chart its falling too quickly.
Your The Man Jim!
What gave this trade its strength was its location, PPZ (off a nice round numbers 150.00 & 149.00) and added confluence of divergence.

Bar confirmation was not good at all.
Next bar break, yes.
Hard break, so-so. I would have liked to see it break harder but it was in a bit of traffic.
29 pip draw down after the break, not bad for this pair.
Attached Images
 
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #27188  
Old Apr 16, 2009 12:35pm
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by 4fun View Post
I know its only April but to me its simple and obvious JDUESTER your the man. Your discipline,patients,attention to detail are really an inspirition to me I am placing a 5% long order on you with no sl cause we will never see you at this price again.From my point of view your ROOKIE OF THE YEAR.......
I'll put 10% on that trade myself. lol

If there is a detailed script to follow when starting to learn and understand this amazing thread, Josh is the MAN.
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #27209  
Old Apr 16, 2009 4:27pm
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by smikester View Post
Jarroo I notice you like to make use of the period multipliers to find set ups - in particular pin bars. I just wondered if you had thought of this: A pin bar on, say, the daily is almost a self fulfilling prophesy because a lot of traders will see and recognise it and trade it. However, this is less likely on the H8 or D2 timeframes for example.
Have you any evidence that these are less likely to play out?

Railroad tracks (tweezers) on a given standard time frame i.e., Hourly, 4 Hour, Daily, Weekly are well known to be a reversal pattern. When they are combined i.e., 2 Hour, 8 Hour, 2 Day, . . they form a PB. So in that sense they are seen by many traders.

But on different combinations of Bars like a 12 hour PB, 16 hour BUOB, 2 Week DBHLC etc., I have found that they do act just like any other Price Action formation when they have the supportive strength of key confluences.
(Location, PPZ, Off of Highs/Lows, Fibs, Divergence, etc.)

Jim
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.

Last edited by jarroo, Apr 16, 2009 4:42pm
Reply With Quote
  #27215  
Old Apr 16, 2009 4:40pm
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by bundyraider View Post
Correlations come about from a liquid market equalising and closing up any discrepancies that can be taken advantage of. The price point isn't created through a solid unchangable law of physics. It can still create an independent signature.

I agree. (I think.)
That's some pretty heavy stuff for my feeble mind, bundy, I like it.

I trade every pair independently of all others.
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #27218  
Old Apr 16, 2009 4:48pm
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by jpa0827 View Post
If this chart closes with this pin will it be a valid trade? Any reason not to trade this one. To me it looks like one of those obvious pin bars if it closes this way.
Pin Bars with the trend (at a retracement, swing High/Low) can be a very good trading opportunity. If other confluences can be found to support the setup i.e., PPZ level, divergence, etc., all the better.
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #27221  
Old Apr 16, 2009 4:59pm
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by KissFan View Post
Valid yes. Clean set up no. It might just move south from here, but one of the first things i look at is the range of the bar. This one is a little short for me. One thing to consider especially on these lower TF's the set up needs to follow pb trading criteria very much so to the letter. I would wait till the daily closes and watch the bearish outside bar forming at the swing high. Just MHO.


K.I.S.S.
Well its not a valid Pin Bar because the Open/Close is not within the previous Bar (candle). But I agree KissFan waiting to see it closes at a BEOB on the Daily at a swing High is a better trading opportunity by far.
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #27224  
Old Apr 16, 2009 5:19pm
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by KissFan View Post
OK. School me Jaroo. This did NOT open/close within the previous bar? Does the wick count on the previous bar. Thanks in advance bro!
Yes, the wick counts. That PB's Open/Close is within the previous Bar.
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #27231  
Old Apr 16, 2009 5:39pm
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Jduester View Post
First time with Ping software... bear with me...
Higher time frame PA rules over lower time frame PA. They do not conflict or off set.

I agree that it would be nice if the Close would be lower the previous bar, but it's not a trade breaker for me. Let's see how she breaks. (if she breaks).
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.

Last edited by jarroo, Apr 16, 2009 8:06pm
Reply With Quote
  #27250  
Old Apr 16, 2009 8:02pm
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Forex007 View Post
Really?..
I don't know what other confluences there are by your chart, besides the swing high. But Inside Bars can be very effective PA formation when the key confluences meet.
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.

Last edited by jarroo, Apr 16, 2009 8:19pm
Reply With Quote
  #27260  
Old Apr 16, 2009 10:07pm
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Jduester View Post
Thanks Jarroo. This is something I have not even started to explore. Since I rarely look at intraday charts and never trade them, I probably shouldn't have even commented on the AUD/USD. I've heard it said that the higher timeframe governs the trade/direction when trading, but that concept was lost in my head somewhere.

The best BEOB close below the prior bar, which this one did not. But as you said, it doesn't make it a deal breaker. May not even trigger the BEOB anyway... Good luck with it for those that do take it.

Time to get a few zzzzz's....
Yeah Josh, I've seen it time and time again. You'll get a great Daily bearish PB and Price is heading where it suppose to go and then a 4 hour bullish PB presents itself. It maybe a sign to get out of the trade but more often then not it will fullfill itself and start heading back down the direction of the Daily bearish PB. Sorry I can't post charts right now.
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #27327  
Old Apr 18, 2009 2:20pm
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Aliassmith View Post
Hey Jarroo:

I Have seen you and others group bars together to make PBs. Do you ever combine 3 bars such as the chart I am posting? (last 3 bars on the daily chart) There was a bounce from the 1.2000 level and bounce off of the 150 EMA and Now I am looking at a break of 1.2200 level for a trend continuation. Quick move to break even and half off will be first step.
Very nice Alias. Good eye. Yes I'll combine many different time periods when Price has reached a good location and confluence.

My only concern is the size of the 3 Day PB, may not be strong enough.

Bounce of the 1.2000, extra special round number and the 1.2100 is very strong as well. Strong break of the 1.2200 not the PB, very good.

Also look for the break of the 1.2200 then retrace back. 1.2200 then may act as support from resistence.

Well done sir.

Jim
Attached Thumbnails
Click image for larger version

Name:	cad3d.gif
Views:	133
Size:	22.8 KB
ID:	234855     Click image for larger version

Name:	cad.gif
Views:	82
Size:	25.3 KB
ID:	234856    
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #27345  
Old Apr 19, 2009 1:57am
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by ghous View Post
Yup! It can be treated as a 2 day beob, a 3 day pin although valid would not be off a great shape...

@Squeezy,

Considering the 2 day BEOB...

The probability ratio would be:

location: 3/4 (with the trend, 50 fib, however not at a true swing high but rather on a pullback)

Space: 3/4 (The 1.46 level looks obtainable some prior bar highs however may raise a question mark)

Shape: 2/2 (fine in this department)

8/10 would be my answer

Regards,
Ghous.
Very niced ghous. This is what we look for, BEOB at a swing High off a strong PPZ 1.5000. The 3 Day may not be a "great" PB but it is a Bearish PB none the less.
Attached Images
 
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #27375  
Old Apr 19, 2009 6:50pm
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Watching for a strong break of the 1.4780 then the break of the 2 Day BEOB at 1.4750.
Attached Images
  
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #27382  
Old Apr 19, 2009 8:42pm
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

I would have liked to see this break later tonight/morning. let's see if she goes for a little run.
Attached Images
 
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #27385  
Old Apr 19, 2009 10:08pm
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Mr Smith View Post
Hi Jaroo, quick question, when like this setup, when you speak of hard break, are you entering and watching as it breaks, and if its hard and fast you stay in trade, or are you waiting for hard break then retrace to get in, I luv your work and fiddling with moving stops up fast if things don't follow thru, just wanted to know more of how you treat it.

Regards
Smith
I usually don't wait for a retrace to enter. I enter at the break or a few pips beyond it.
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #27386  
Old Apr 19, 2009 10:43pm
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by jarroo View Post
I usually don't wait for a retrace to enter. I enter at the break or a few pips beyond it.
Sorry for the quick answer.

Just to add to this . . .

A retrace to the entry point and then a continuation in our direction, is a good confirmation that our setup is correct. But many times, Price will break hard and give up a good amount pips (my 1st half) and then retrace to the entry point (my break even half) and not continue in our direction.

The high momentum setup or quality Price Action setup, Price tends to break hard and never look back (well almost never, lol). I like to be on this bus when it happens.

Jim
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.

Last edited by jarroo, Apr 19, 2009 10:55pm
Reply With Quote
  #27389  
Old Apr 19, 2009 11:45pm
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by pipmyride View Post
So Jaroo - i'm also in this GU trade - what are you looking for now at this consolidation area ?
Right now I'm waiting to see if my 2nd half will be stopped out at 1.4755.

My entry was 1.4750 and I took 35 pips on the 1st half and placed my stop loss on 2nd half just above the break of 1.4754.

I am thinking of placing my stop loss on the 2nd half 35 pip away from my entry (just above the 1.4780) so that the worst case senario would be a net zero trade.
Attached Images
 
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #27391  
Old Apr 19, 2009 11:58pm
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by pipmyride View Post

My entry was 4760 and my stop is at 4750 for +10. Not worrying about managing any further, just hoping for that next zone of 4600/4650

Thx
Little bit of a itchy finger there pmr. lol

very nice.
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #27393  
Old Apr 20, 2009 12:13am
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Blackinc View Post
Yea, thats my plan also. My first half didn't make my 1.47 target though unfortunately(by 5 pips), so i'm still risking a little.

My stop is 1.4790. Just above a minor ppz (1.4780) (Go back a couple of weeks on daily)

As i speak, its come back to 1.4750 and rejected it slightly so hopefully that continues to be a good sign
That hit your target (1.4705), on the nose. When it went to 1.4710 it hit your target. Just my opinion.
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #27397  
Old Apr 20, 2009 12:37am
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Blackinc View Post
Not quite sure what you mean by this. If you could elaborate?

My broker price had to hit 1.4700(which is 1.4700/03) to execute, but it hit 1.4705/08
Take this 2 Day BEOB. I have a target of 1.4600. The 1.4600 is a PPZone. It is not defined as a pin point level of 1.4600. It is more like 1.4600ish level.

So if Price comes within +/-15 or +/-20 pips of this area/zone.
I consider it as . . .target hit.
Attached Images
 
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #27401  
Old Apr 20, 2009 1:00am
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Blackinc View Post
uhhh. Yea i know what you're saying, my second target is 1.4625 because of the 1.46 zone.

I can't keep my eyes on the charts all the time, so the reason i set 1.4700 is because i wanted 1.4790 to be my stop on second half, which would've netted a breakeven trade because my entry was 1.4645.

I set all my trades the same way for the times when i can't watch the market, so i don't like to change that.

Thanks for your feedback tho
Oh I see . . . you free trade target. got it.
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #27402  
Old Apr 20, 2009 1:06am
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by pipmyride View Post
Sorry - talking about this area
I see.

Could be a retrace to the entry and then continue on down or it could be going upwards with the Daily trend, which is in an uptrend. Hard to say.
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #27406  
Old Apr 20, 2009 2:10am
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Looking good on the 2 Day BEOB.
Attached Images
 
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #27408  
Old Apr 20, 2009 3:15am
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Mr Smith View Post
Thanks for the responses Jaroo, and nicely executed, maybe in for a runner on that trade.
I'm sure even Mike (mbqb11) would have put this one in the "A" catagory. I was just cautious of a possible retrace.
Attached Images
 
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #27410  
Old Apr 20, 2009 3:30am
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by LasVahGoose View Post
Nice trade, I'm not in this one, but waiting for PA to show the way north. Coming up on some support.


I still like the 1.4600.
Attached Thumbnails
Click image for larger version

Name:	2009-04-20_0020.png
Views:	30
Size:	53.2 KB
ID:	235288    
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #27413  
Old Apr 20, 2009 3:41am
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by LasVahGoose View Post
Hmmm.... How did I miss that? LOL, yeah that intersects the TL perfect.
lol LVG. No one knows where Price will go. It may just form some bullish PA at this level, which would mean that the uptrend is continuing. But, as you said, we'll let PA show the way.
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #27414  
Old Apr 20, 2009 3:46am
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by alter View Post
I'm looking at EURCCK weekly BuOB. The spread is little bigger but on weekly TF it's ok. BuOB is at 50fib retrace + PPZ at 26.30 with potential target at 27.30 area. Do you think it's A setup or C?
alter
To much traffic alter. Pass on that one.
Attached Images
 
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #27415  
Old Apr 20, 2009 3:51am
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by alter View Post
I'm looking at EURCCK weekly BuOB. The spread is little bigger but on weekly TF it's ok. BuOB is at 50fib retrace + PPZ at 26.30 with potential target at 27.30 area. Do you think it's A setup or C?
alter
Check out the yellow circle BUOB or DBLHC. A lot less traffic on that one.
Attached Images
 
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #27418  
Old Apr 20, 2009 4:06am
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by ghous View Post
Trying to chase trades was one of my biggest weakness. Had I been the same as 6 months ago I would have taken this trade 30 pips late (and not even waited to atleast wait for a pullback to the actual entry point). This is probably not the best time to throw this post up as pound has dropped like hell lol! But I am happy to have followed my rules, on another occasion I would have been sitting on my buts at -80 while Ya'll would have atleast managed a BE (those who would have moved thier stop to BE at +30)

That said, trade well...
I understand all to well ghous. I think posts like that can't be posted enough, to rote it in to people the importance of not chasing trades. I'm sure the big guy (James16) would say its a sign of trading maturity. Just wish I learned that when I was 19 instead of in my 40's. lol

Wait a mintue . . I didn't start trading until I was in my 40's.
You get my point.
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #27421  
Old Apr 20, 2009 4:14am
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by alter View Post
So the traffic is more important then PPZ+fib confluence?
I found that there is always traffic unless I trade extreme high or extreme low as BuOB you have shown. Unfortunatelly these trades are very rare .
Welcome to the club alter. You just hit the nail on the head.
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #27423  
Old Apr 20, 2009 4:25am
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Target hit.

Great session gang. Gotta go.

Later.

Jim
Attached Images
 
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #27427  
Old Apr 20, 2009 5:00am
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

She's really moving now. Take me to the moon.

Stop loss keeps moving down.
Attached Images
 
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #27429  
Old Apr 20, 2009 5:05am
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by alter View Post
Jaroo do you think this 2D BeOB on GBPUSD has no traffic on the left side?
Well, I see a lot of bars, how would you classify that?
Good question alter. The traffic on this setup was a concern, absolutely. But the swing high, PA formation and off a strong round number (1.5000.) gave me the green light to take the trade.
Attached Images
 
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #27430  
Old Apr 20, 2009 5:13am
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by alter View Post
Jaroo do you think this 2D BeOB on GBPUSD has no traffic on the left side?
Well, I see a lot of bars, how would you classify that?
This was a more ideal situation on the chart you posted. Notice what happen to Price when it reached above the red circle at the red line. Price started coming down.
Attached Images
 
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #27433  
Old Apr 20, 2009 5:22am
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by jarroo View Post
Very nice Alias. Good eye. Yes I'll combine many different time periods when Price has reached a good location and confluence.

My only concern is the size of the 3 Day PB, may not be strong enough.

Bounce of the 1.2000, extra special round number and the 1.2100 is very strong as well. Strong break of the 1.2200 not the PB, very good.

Also look for the break of the 1.2200 then retrace back. 1.2200 then may act as support from resistence.

Well done sir.

Jim

Hey AliasSmith. How's that 3 Day PB looking on the Cad.


Alright now, I really got to go.

Later,

Jim
Attached Images
  
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #27486  
Old Apr 20, 2009 12:37pm
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by jarroo View Post
She's really moving now. Take me to the moon.

Stop loss keeps moving down.
I closed the 2nd half at 1.4517, for those that asked.
The 1.4500 is strong PPZ and round number. PA at this level is on the watch.
Attached Images
 
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #27507  
Old Apr 20, 2009 3:59pm
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by rustyjeff View Post
38 day pin.....

I'm waiting for Jaroo's 38 day tf chart for confirmation..

I think the Open/Close is within the previous bar. lol.

Periodcon can't display a 5 Week candle (at least for me). If I could, you bet I'd show it. lol
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #27510  
Old Apr 20, 2009 4:09pm
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by rustyjeff View Post
C'mon Jim... I want to see a chart..
I may have to cut and paste on this one. lol
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #27512  
Old Apr 20, 2009 4:28pm
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by hipcio View Post
For me looks interesting, I can see some TL
and fibo 70
if next h4 closes below my ema8 I will be happy, but what with 1,600 level
I do not know if it worth taking

Peter
This is just a suggestion Hip, not a criticism.

I would get rid of all those wiggly lines. All we deal with is Price here. Once you get a better understanding of Price, you can add your favorite MA. imo

Jim
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #27515  
Old Apr 20, 2009 4:46pm
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by hipcio View Post
Jim, I really love my lines

but if You suggest so I do

Peter
I use to love them too Hip. lol

If you have to many lines it can distract you and cause confusion on what Price is really showing you.
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #27516  
Old Apr 20, 2009 4:48pm
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by gorubin View Post
Lots of BUOBs on EUR pairs today like EUR/AUD, EUR/CAD and EUR/GBP and also Gold. I guess they're all related to the sell off in equities today.

I like the EUR/GBP the most also because it's at a swing low + a triple bottom at 0.8793 I haven't seen these too often. Also bouncing off of EMA(150) green line. First area of resistance if it breaks 0.8917 might be not too far around 0.8975...

Any opinions?
Looks good gorubin.
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #27524  
Old Apr 20, 2009 5:35pm
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Rainmaker View Post
Looks like a pin by proxy to me. But will do the job..

RM
Nice RM. I 'll have to check them out.
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #27550  
Old Apr 21, 2009 12:11am
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by raczekfx View Post
It is only my opinion off course, but If I were you, I would just commit 100% of my time to j16PA method. Once you get enough practice here, you will never look anywhere else.
Trust me...
Ditto that, brother.
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #27666  
Old Apr 21, 2009 7:44pm
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by scott087 View Post
I've had my eye on this one for a while after it broke short. The only thing I'm caught up on is where to place my sell order. In my chart I highlighted some bar highs and lows and the round number/ppz at 1.23 which is about 23 pips under the low of the pin.

I'm thinking of either:
1) Selling at 1.2313 and moving my stop to B/E when it hits 1.23

2) Waiting for a break of 1.23 and selling at around 1.2293

Regardless of which entry I will be watching for the reaction at 1.23
Very nice scott.

Ditto Mike.
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #27671  
Old Apr 21, 2009 8:51pm
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by scott087 View Post
I haven't taken a daily trade for a while now, so I'm looking forward to this one. I have a feeling that it it going to encounter trouble at around 1.23 and then continue downward. I'm planning on entering 10 pips below the low (1.2313) and setting my stop to B/E after it hits 1.23 but I'm not sure if I should give it more room to play out. I will definitely be looking for the hard and fast break that validates quality PA though.

I'll be trading it the same way Scott. The setup looks pretty solid, I would but it in the "A" catagory, but not in the "A+" catagory. So how it's managed is critical.

As you have mention, a hard and fast break for 30 to 40 pips quickly and then moving to break even will make this an easy trade. A true "A" PA setup will act this way. imo
But if it starts dance around like a clown at the entry and /or 1.2300 level, especially around the London open, would give me cause to get out for a small profit or loss.

Sure, it may then take off and run to the moon, but so what. My focus is risk and managing it to the minimum.


Just my thoughts

Jim
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.

Last edited by jarroo, Apr 21, 2009 9:13pm
Reply With Quote
  #27673  
Old Apr 21, 2009 9:25pm
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by scott087 View Post
I used to get frustrated when I was stopped out at BE and then proceeded to watch it run in my favor.

Most traders (including myself at one point) have their main priority set on making money. I found that once you shift your main focus from "making money" to either "capital preservation" or "minimizing risk" you will really see a difference in your trading.

Scott
Absolutely, and being very picky on the setups you take sure helps on the capital building. lol

But I 've seen it time and time again that after a hard break, Price will retrace and test that entry (just to make sure it's correct) and then continue in our direction. So I like to give little leeway to that entry/retrace point after I take my 1st half.
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #27678  
Old Apr 21, 2009 10:04pm
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Lou View Post
jarroo,

are you saying ... take profit on the first run as you see it lose momentum, say on the 15 or even 5 min chart with some of your position and then give the rest of your position more room to breathe.. with a wider SL , even as far back as the entry point?
If I am understanding this correctly, Yes. At times the momentum will be hard at the break then the retrace will ocurr and it seems that the momentum will resume (a retest of the entry). I'll take some off the table (1st half) to offset any retrace that moves past the breakeven point.

Much like a DIBS "Free Trade" setup if your familar with that method.
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #27680  
Old Apr 21, 2009 11:20pm
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by adam777 View Post
Was the recent 4h pin on the USDCAD a C-class trade (untradable) and the daily pin a A-class trade?
No disrespect adam, but I can't see a thing on your chart.
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #27685  
Old Apr 21, 2009 11:53pm
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by adam777 View Post
Thanks Ghous

... and yes Jarroo I do need to clear my chart and include the rest of the chart before I post anything in future.
You'll get a better picture of what Price is doing without any distractions or confusing wiggly lines.
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #27688  
Old Apr 22, 2009 12:11am
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by adam777 View Post
I have the 150 & 365 ema, PPZ's, round numbers, daily channel lines, 2x fibs, macd & volume

... but I notice that you just have the major and the most recent PPZ
Yes, PPZs (RNs) and Price.

No doubt, I'll use 150, 200 & 365 emas at times, I'll check MACD and a few fibs levels, but if there is no confluence on a key location I'll remove them.
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #27729  
Old Apr 22, 2009 8:55am
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by markmm View Post
Does anyone know if the PF is still doing the lifetime membership after 12 month deal?
Yes, they still have that deal.
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #27747  
Old Apr 22, 2009 10:22am
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Schneeule View Post
I have tested something similar. I noticed that when a good pinbar is penetrated, the price usualy does not make it back to the high of the penetation move. But I looked only at daily and weekly TF. The only problem is you have to enter manualy (stay at pc for the day) and choose only the best ones.
Picture explains everything...
Test the current left eye level AFTER the break.

Nice chart.
Attached Images
 
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #27754  
Old Apr 22, 2009 10:33am
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Jigsaw View Post
Oh lovely , now it decides to go down

Another victim reporting in

I was trying to get snazzy with a 1HR BEOB (The earlier one, not the one that is just after working lol) . . . Needless to say, -1%
That's freaking great.
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #27757  
Old Apr 22, 2009 10:39am
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by TiaForex View Post
This is exactly what I meant. Go back over my post and you'll see that I said that nothing in my testing shows anything to warrant an entry before the breach. That's just me. Rac is hugely profitable doing this.

What I meant was that entering after the breach, if you were minded to be aggressive (and I'm not) you could set your stop above the left eye. I'm pointing this out to show that there are ways to be aggressive and still wait for the breach.

Personally I want to keep things simple for now. And today it's saved my bacon.

Jim,...
Nicely said Tia. The key being that they are "A" catagory setups.

No, I wouldn't cancell my pending order, especially if the preceeding candle turns into a Inside Bar (candle). Momentum building? Maybe.
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #27758  
Old Apr 22, 2009 11:04am
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

I know this is a 30 min chart but it could be on the Daily.

Nice hard break.
Nice space, no traffic.
Breaking and then retesting a strond round number (PPZ) 1.4500.

I really don't know why anyone would trade without some assemblage of Price Action. Maybe that's just me. lol
Attached Images
 
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.

Last edited by jarroo, Apr 22, 2009 11:24am
Reply With Quote
  #27767  
Old Apr 22, 2009 11:55am
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by adam777 View Post
Hi Jarroo

Tia mentioned not using aggressive stops. Do you place your stops bellow the eye of the pin or under the pin. ... if the question is too personal then I am sorry. I have seen everyone placing their stop differently.

On this pair, I tend to use 30 to 40 pip stops, be it on the hourly or weekly. On this 30 min trade, it was just below the left eye for about 26 pip. This was my maximum loss I would take on this trade. If Price didn't break as it did, I would have be out with a much smaller loss.

Most importantly, above all of this discussion, is that these PA setup are "A" catagory setups, in my view. The ideal is the A+ PA setup where stop losses don't even come into play most of the time. I tend to be more aggressive in catagorizing/measuring PA setups.
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #27777  
Old Apr 22, 2009 12:31pm
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by TiaForex View Post
While it's "Question Jarroo day"...

When you say 26 pip stop, does your MM mean that you trade a fixed percentage of your account per trade? Or do you base it on say 1R for the full bar and then have your stop behind the second eye thus reducing the risk.

I'm genuinely curious as to how others manage it. As we know, a smaller stop means nothing if the percentage of the account risked is the same.
Higher time frames like the Daily and Weekly some times the 4 hour, I'll use full position of 2-3%. Lower time 1%, again depending how I measure the quailty of the setup. It's a fixed percentage of my account.
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #27836  
Old Apr 22, 2009 11:47pm
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by gorubin View Post
Lots of BUOBs on EUR pairs today like EUR/AUD, EUR/CAD and EUR/GBP and also Gold. I guess they're all related to the sell off in equities today.

I like the EUR/GBP the most also because it's at a swing low + a triple bottom at 0.8793 I haven't seen these too often. Also bouncing off of EMA(150) green line. First area of resistance if it breaks 0.8917 might be not too far around 0.8975...

Any opinions?
Did you take the trade? I was just wondering because I missed it.

This BUOB engulfing a couple of Daily candles (pretty close to the same size with a 3rd candle), at a swing Low and a supportive touch of the 150 ema as you mention, sure brought about a nice PA setup.

Talk about a break that never looks back, this one was it. The 30min shows the hard and fast break.

Could it really be this simple?
Attached Images
  
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #27838  
Old Apr 23, 2009 1:05am
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by adam777 View Post
... so that's what we're looking for. I guess if price slows down near the resistance and your buy stop, it just won't climb fast enough to make a profit, and I guess such a trade may as well be cancelled. It's a momentum play.
If your buy/sell stop is just above/below a given quality PA setup then a hard break (momentum break) should follow. If I'm understanding your post.

If it doesn't break it could result like the proceeding bearish candle did (check mark). This trade shows the importance of waiting for the break.
Attached Images
 
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #27840  
Old Apr 23, 2009 1:39am
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Alexandra View Post
Indeed, one could debate the merits of waiting for the break versus aggressively waiting for a retracement of a long candle like that to enter. Risk/Reward comes into play at some point.
I've had that debate and waiting for the break wins hands down for me.
Its just that the break gives me many other confirmations of the validity of the setup.

But it I were to enter prior to the break (in this case, the bearish PB), I would look for bearish PA on a lower time frame that fit the same criteria of any other quality PA setup. We have a 4 hour BEOB and Inside bars that may just fit. (Although the 4 hour BEOB's break point is the same as the PB's)
Attached Images
 
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.

Last edited by jarroo, Apr 23, 2009 2:05am
Reply With Quote
  #27844  
Old Apr 23, 2009 1:56am
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Alexandra View Post
Indeed, well said. I agree with that. Wise words about the importance of a good setup versus a somewhat aggressive one. There is sometimes a temptation on a large PB break to place a "hopeful" stop at an intrabar retracement, but overall, I find one has to accept the amount of risk offered by the appropriate stop below the bar. If it's too much, then there is another opportunity elsewhere.

That is a nifty bit of 4-hour spotting from your eagle eyes on USDCAD. Perhaps we are simply re-testing that weekly TL.

So if you cast those eagle...
Well said youself.

Not sure what your seeing. Got a chart?
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #27845  
Old Apr 23, 2009 2:00am
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by adam777 View Post
Thanks Jarroo

So if you were watching this pair, hypothetically you may have placed the buy stop say 5 pips above the BUOB candle, plus spread, and use the usual 30-40pip stop once the buy is triggered. Then just let price wander around (for the next 2 candles) till it hits your buy stop?
Well on this particular Daily EurGbp trade . . . yes, it would be. lol.

I still like to set an alert and view the trade as it unfolds. Not quite ready for set and forget.
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #27848  
Old Apr 23, 2009 2:21am
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by dengzhi View Post
jarroo, if you are playing the break of this maybe you would enter about 5 pips above the high, so that's .8920.. it made a clean break and hit a peak of about .8988 as i speak, that's 68 pips.. but where do you place your stop?
if you play it conservative and have a stop below the support around .8780 that means you need 140 pips just for a 1:1 RR ratio.
currently the price is back down to .8930, close to where we would have entered for break out.

i'm curious where you place your stop on plays like this where you can still manage to have a 1:1...
My Price Target would be the Lows that I marked in green and/or the very strong PPZ level and round number, .9000. My stop loss would be tight about 30 to 40 pips. Depending how Price broke, my stop loss may have been reduced to maybe 20 pips. Once Price hit 30 to 40 pips my stop loss would be moved to break even quickly. This baby broke very hard so it would have been a very easy trade and hit my target easily.

What type of risk reward is that, I don't know.
Attached Images
 
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #27849  
Old Apr 23, 2009 2:34am
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Alexandra View Post
LOL - apparently I learned my chart posting skills from Jacko .... anyway, the recent hourly EURJPY shows a nice PB three bars ago, but, to my mind, there are also a series of potentially unprofitable trades in there as well that might have been taken in the rush of the hourly analysis. The Yen crosses in particular seem to entice a trader to find a more aggressive entry in an attempt to limit stop distances. The recent 4 hour and potential daily trades have my attention.
That little baby PB in the middle of a consolidation and on the hourly, not very appealing. Swing High/Lows are where we like our PBs.

Although it did break pretty hard. . . . . . Just kidding. lol
Attached Images
 
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #27859  
Old Apr 23, 2009 5:46am
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Couple of Inside Bars on the Daily ( one is pretty close), at a swing Low. Interesting how they are made up of a couple big BUOB on the 4 hour chart.. Let's see if she runs.

Edit; spoke to soon.
Attached Images
  
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #27860  
Old Apr 23, 2009 5:53am
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by jarroo View Post
Couple of Inside Bars on the Daily ( one is pretty close), at a swing Low. Interesting how they are made up of a couple big BUOB on the 4 hour chart.. Let's see if she runs.

Edit; spoke to soon.

Saw the same thing on the Eur/Gbp a few weeks ago, although they were on the Daily. (blue check marks)
Attached Images
 
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #27904  
Old Apr 23, 2009 4:29pm
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by bertie123 View Post
Hi Jarroo

Just wanted to ask if the orange and green Horizontal lines on your charts are PPz's? Is one colour major and the other minor(green)?

thanks,

berti
I use the green line for my Target Price. It's not a written in stone level. So let me restate that, its my Target Area.
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.

Last edited by jarroo, Apr 23, 2009 5:11pm
Reply With Quote
  #27905  
Old Apr 23, 2009 4:44pm
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by gorubin View Post
Hey Jim,

I actually missed this sweet EUR/GBP trade because I usually cancel my orders if it didn't trigger the next day. Do you do the same? It would have hit my target exactly at...oh well I can't get them all. At least I think someone here got in.

On a separate note: Do you ever sleep? That's one of my weaknesses...I like to sleep at night (East Coast) so if something triggers during London hours I won't know until 8AM....and lots can happen overnight...

Rubin.
I missed that sweet Eur/Gbp trade that you pointed out. I didn't place a pending order.

That's the beauty of higher time frame trading, you don't have to sit next to the computer all day and night. You have to make adjustment to the market.

I'll sleep when I'm dead. lol

I love this business, viewing charts and watching trades develop actually relaxes me. If I have a bad day (outside of trading) I'll go study some charts, look at my watch list, etc., and it calms me down.

What makes it more fun is talking, learning, teaching and discussing this business from every one on this great thread/forum.
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.

Last edited by jarroo, Apr 23, 2009 5:39pm
Reply With Quote
  #27906  
Old Apr 23, 2009 4:49pm
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Looks like some got in the Usd/Cad. Great job.

Pretty simple trade, who cares about News . . . I don't, nothing complicated about this classic J16 trade.

How fun is that.
Sorry I can't post a chart.
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #27909  
Old Apr 23, 2009 5:08pm
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by bundyraider View Post
And once again illustrates the simplicity and win rate you get waiting for a break of the bar, eh J?
Absolutely, bundy.

Once I start complicating a trade it gets me into trouble every time.
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #27922  
Old Apr 23, 2009 7:15pm
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by raczekfx View Post
don't be too hard on yourself. would you still be unhappy if a pip was worth $100 to you..?
... besides, you can double that on fiber now.....

Nice BUOB on the Euro, swing low, strong round number, 1.3000.

Let me guess, your long at 129.00?
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #27924  
Old Apr 23, 2009 8:01pm
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by PipGator View Post
I was looking at my IBFX feed and found a couple of interesting setups.

The USD/CAD that has been the recent buzz of this thread has formed a 2-day pinbar. It had a bounce of of the 1.25 PPZ and has fib confluence. As mentioned in a few posts, the region near 1.23 is an area of concern. Maybe an entry below 1.23 would be approproriate? As far as I am concerned, this setup is as valid as the pinbar we saw on the daily chart yesterday.

The USD/CHF has a BEOB near the swing high. It has pierced the PPZ near 1.17, which has proven to be an important...
Very nice PipG. I didn't like the view of a 2 Day PB, even though it might have been. I liked looking at it as a PB and IB at a swing high.

Quote:
Originally Posted by mbqb11 View Post
Hey Pip

One thing I am big on is size of bar. I like a bigger bar that shows some significance in terms of the "action" that took place that day. With that said, your analysis for anyone who believes this is worth trading is very good. If this is a retracement of that larger move down, then 1550 could be the trouble point and certainly the b/e point. Beyond that it is trading into the heavy PPZ at 1500.
Just my view

Mike
I never tire of Mike's analysis, because it always A+.

Jim
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #27925  
Old Apr 23, 2009 8:06pm
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by raczekfx View Post
I was long at 128.60 but closed way too soon...
I though for sure that BUOB gave you confirmation of your entry.. Classic old school raczekfx.
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #27927  
Old Apr 23, 2009 8:29pm
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by raczekfx View Post
I know... and it did, but I decided to take a day off today...
Looking to buy one of these.... Great hobby for the old man and boys.
Sweet. Looks like a lot fun.

I wonder if you could drop cherry bombs from those. lol
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #27936  
Old Apr 23, 2009 9:51pm
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by krue View Post
I shorted both U/C and U/F, but, closed both before their breakdown, with tiny profit. guess what happened? previously, I would have enough of patience to hold position, but, recently,whenever I feel doult about anything, I close.

Let me tell you another story happened early of this week, I was Long A/U on H4 tf, a lot of profit, so, breakeven, I was thinking some rule - cut loss short, let profit run. what happened in the end of the day? got nothing.

the other day in this same week, Long at the breakup of BUOB of E/U, got some profit too,...
Confidence in a quality A+ PA setup will come over time through repetition, back testing and study.

Demoing these trades over and over again it will soon start to sink in. It sound like your on the right path, krue. It does get easier as you put in the necessary time and practise. Keep it going.
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #27957  
Old Apr 24, 2009 4:44am
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by g_j_hook@yah View Post
us/cad heading to second tp on my chart..1.2180-1.2200, anyone still in this??this is one of those breaks that hasnt retraced anywhere near the break price yet so im thinking they may be some nice proifts out there??
jon
Hey jon.

I like the 1.2100, its such a clear defined PPZ since Oct. 2008.
Yes, the 1.2200 has some strong Resistence in recent weeks, Price did just break it which is a good sign that we may have more on the table.

Trading sure is easier when you have banked some good pips and the stop loss is at breakeven.
Attached Thumbnails
Click image for larger version

Name:	cadd.gif
Views:	56
Size:	24.4 KB
ID:	237719    
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #27965  
Old Apr 24, 2009 5:09am
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by alter View Post
EURCAD daily PIN, was stop out. We could expect this as it is common in last couple of months. Maybe it would be smart to take trades against the PIN, what do you think? Statistically speaking I would be much better off.
Your recognition of the formation of a Pin Bar is good alter. Now we need to work on the best location of where a Bearish PB and a Bullish PB should be. That would be at a swing High and a swing Low.
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.

Last edited by jarroo, Apr 24, 2009 6:02am
Reply With Quote
  #27968  
Old Apr 24, 2009 5:20am
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by alter View Post
I'm not saying this was A+ setup, but it was decent setup in my opinion. Similar to USDCAD where you didn't have any objections because it was profitable trade. This was PIN with the trend, taken from round number and solid PPZ.
Big difference with the Cad and Eur/Cad my friend when it come to location (swing High) and other confluences (fib retracment.) I'll let the charts speak for themselves.
Attached Images
  
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #27972  
Old Apr 24, 2009 5:34am
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by alter View Post
The main difference is that USDCAD PIN would be taken directly into 1.2300 PPZ. That was reason I didn't take it.
USDCAD is as swing high as EURCAD is, it is clear from your chart. Maybe USDCAD is little higher.
If you draw fib retrace from last swing high you would get confluence on EURCAD as well. Note, it is drawn from the top on EURCAD but not on USDCAD.
Refresh your page, I made the adjustment. Sorry you don't see the difference.
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #27980  
Old Apr 24, 2009 5:42am
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by alter View Post
Difference is in the result. If both are positive , both would be nice trades to take. As EURCAD was not, I see that we can always find reasons why the setup was not so good to take. After the fact of course.
Thank you for your opinion.
Sorry you feel that way. Good luck to you.
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #28039  
Old Apr 24, 2009 6:51pm
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by alter View Post
Difference is in the result. If both are positive , both would be nice trades to take. As EURCAD was not, I see that we can always find reasons why the setup was not so good to take. After the fact of course.
Thank you for your opinion.
I apologize for being short with you alter. But your posts came across to me as being contentious for no reason. It also told me you haven't read the Thread.

If you had read the Thread you would know that I am one of few who post many setups before the fact and even live trades, (as they are happening). Just to show how this method works, when ideal conditions are met.

I understand the frustration of learning this method all to well. And I should have taken that into account when reading your posts, but I didn't.
Again I apologize if I came across badly.

Jim
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #28040  
Old Apr 24, 2009 7:02pm
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by mbqb11 View Post
Hey Jim

The pinbar is part of the swing high. As opposed to the eur/cad which was at a swing low. You will have both major and minor swing points. On usd/cad I drew a chart and we can see these swing points. The more space a swing point creates away from price the more major and obvious it becomes(think pinbar at swing high open space). The usd/cad was a much more clean trade. It was on the pullback to a very large trendline, off a major round number PPZ.

Also note eur/cad how low down on a swing low it is. This is the number 1 trouble sign...
Quote:
Originally Posted by mbqb11 View Post
One last thing, hang with me Alter

Ok now when a pinbar sits at such a swing low, what happens is the s/r levels that are normally more minimal now come into effect much quicker. Lack of space creates this problem(for the most part). So what happens is we now need to look to close bar highs and lows for possible turning points to clear. If you look to the left the bar high which sits at 1.5950 is where price hits and stalls. Being so close to our pin b/c it is at that direct swing low. So if one wants to trade this still(and of course that is up to you), the best thing would be to place your order under that. To me though, when that next day was such a large bullish bar, that is when it is best to close out your order. BUt now we cans ee if price clears the 5950 level the next set of lows I marked off in blue.

I hope this clears up some things, maybe not though

Mike
Leave it to Mike to show the way. I could have never presented this clear of a picture distinguishing the difference between the Cad and E/C, even with charts. Simply great as always. wow

Jim
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.

Last edited by jarroo, Apr 24, 2009 7:20pm
Reply With Quote
  #28041  
Old Apr 24, 2009 7:11pm
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by jarroo View Post
Hey jon.

I like the 1.2100, its such a clear defined PPZ since Oct. 2008.
Yes, the 1.2200 has some strong Resistence in recent weeks, Price did just break it which is a good sign that we may have more on the table.

Trading sure is easier when you have banked some good pips and the stop loss is at breakeven.
I misspoke here, I meant to say . . the 1.2200 had some strong Support in recent weeks, . .
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.

Last edited by jarroo, Apr 25, 2009 2:29am
Reply With Quote
  #28050  
Old Apr 25, 2009 2:20am
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by PipGator View Post
I am posting a weekly chart for Gold. I do not plan on trading this setup, but wanted to see what others thought about it. To me it looks like a high probability trade (possibly A+): BUOB at a swing low, through the PPZ and nice round number of 900.00, with confluence of a 38.2 fib. The BUOB is large relative to the previous bars and in my opinion has a decent amount of space. Also, it looks like we are at the end of a retrace from a strong uptrend that started in Sep 2008.

I was following the discussion between Mike and Alter and have had similar...
Very nice PipG. Well thought out.

Technically it is a BUOB, but I also catagorize it as a Triple Bar Low Higher Close, (TBLHC) which is obviously stronger then a DBLHC.

The big questions are : Is the swing Low, low enough? And: How strong is the current uptrend?

I like your Weekly PPZs and your concerns with the 926.00.

By lower time frames do you mean the 4 hour and hourly then Yes, they are less significant. But the Daily PPZ will play a role. The break of this BUOB may find trouble at the 916.ish. (blue area on the daily), which may trigger the retest of the 900.

If it breaks hard and runs or retests the 900 and the runs upward, then trend is very strong. If it doesn't break or if the break is weak and retest the 900 and drops even more, then a deeper swing Low ( 50/61.8 fib) may be in its sights.

Yes, it does depend on what type of trader you are, Gator man. You know my style, I would place a order just above the trigger, with a tight stop and see how she's breaks. I would like the swing Low much lower to really give me confidence in this setup. Also she may not be done with that 900 level just yet.

Should be fun to watch.

Jim
Attached Images
  
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.

Last edited by jarroo, Apr 25, 2009 2:42am
Reply With Quote
  #28051  
Old Apr 25, 2009 2:22am
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by supremeChaos View Post
jarroo,
it seems u are still online.... where in the US are u in? Take some rest, would u?

Have a healthy weekend guys/gals...
Michigan, the Great Lake State.
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #28053  
Old Apr 25, 2009 3:10am
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by alter View Post
I know Jaroo, you post trades before the fact. What I meant to say is, that after the fact we can always find reasons why the setup was not perfect. I saw a lot of times posts with B or even C setups that were winners , but what I rarely can see is reasoning, why these setups were bad ("great trade" is common responds). What would you say if EURCAD is huge winner? A lot of people here post just winners, but I learn more from losers, therefore I posted this trade and I really didnt mean to be rude. Im sorry if I sound that way.
alter
Point taken and well received alter.

Yes, much can be gained from a failed PA setup that looks to be of high quality, your B and C setups. Price Action can be a powerful thing even with these lower quality setups.

Its tough to see a B trade that you would have taken in the past but now ignore, run to the moon. But that's what you do. Because the one important thing these setups do not have is consistency. That's what we want to have in our trading and that's what we want in our setups.

Jim
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote
  #28057  
Old Apr 25, 2009 3:52am
jarroo's Avatar
J16 Senior Member cczar
 
Member Since Sep 2005
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by ghous View Post
Quite frankly I was pretty appalled to see this one fail.

IT actually worked out eventually but I can see that under all kinds of sensible stop placements this would have ended up as a looser.

The world isn't a perfect heaven is it.

Interesting ghous. Do you play the break of these IPB?

Can you show an example of an A++ IPB setup?
__________________
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
Reply With Quote